高铁对城市经济增长效应的实证分析

发布时间：2018-03-19 13:27

  本文选题：高速铁路　切入点：经济增长　出处：《统计与决策》2017年17期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：高铁作为一种新型的交通运输方式,具有高效舒适、绿色环保的优点。高铁的开通,给城市经济发展注入新动力。文章以武汉市为例,通过建立回归分析模型和灰色预测GM(1,1)模型,运用有无对比法,实证分析了高铁对经济增长的影响及贡献。结果表明,高铁开通对城市经济增长有积极的拉动效应,高铁对经济增长的贡献率呈现先递增又递减趋势,尤其是高铁开通最初几年对经济增长的贡献势头迅猛,影响显著,之后有所减缓。
[Abstract]:As a new mode of transportation, high-speed rail has the advantages of high efficiency and comfort, green and environmental protection. The opening of high-speed rail has injected new impetus into the economic development of the city. This article takes Wuhan City as an example. Through the establishment of regression analysis model and grey forecast GM1 / 1) model, this paper empirically analyzes the impact and contribution of high-speed rail to economic growth by using the method of comparison. The results show that the opening of high-speed rail has a positive pull effect on urban economic growth. The contribution of high-speed rail to economic growth is increasing and decreasing, especially in the first few years of its opening, the contribution to economic growth has been rapid and significant, and then slowed down.
【作者单位】： 武汉科技大学城市学院;
【基金】：湖北省教育厅科学研究项目(2016437);湖北省教育厅人文社会科学研究项目(16G248) 武汉科技大学城市学院校级教学研究重点项目(2016CYZDJY005)
【分类号】：F299.23;F532
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本文编号：1634467