中国双边FTA的利益分析及战略构想

发布时间：2018-04-03 04:37

  本文选题：双边FTA　切入点：利益分析　出处：《东北师范大学》2014年博士论文

【摘要】：随着多边贸易体系对贸易全球化的推动作用逐渐减弱,多哈回合谈判举步维艰,许多国家开始转向了通过建立自由贸易区实现贸易自由化。双边自由贸易区以其独特的优越性,成为各国自由贸易区战略的首要选择。到2012年底,向WTO通报的区域贸易安排有354个,仅2011-2012年就产生了27个RTA,全部为双边的贸易安排。2012年,美国、欧盟、韩国、墨西哥的自由贸易伙伴国分别为20个、56个、48个和44个。而中国的FTA伙伴国(除港、澳、台)仅有8个。金融危机之后,以美国为主导的跨太平洋伙伴关系协议(TTP)和跨大西洋贸易与投资伙伴协议(TTIP),试图构建全球最大的两个贸易和投资自由化组织,而中国被排除在外。TPP和TTIP谈判几乎把中国最主要的贸易伙伴全部包括其中,TPP包括美国、日本、东盟等中国主要贸易伙伴,在TTIP里边包括了我国最大的两个出口市场美国和欧盟。如果TPP和TTIP能够达成,包括中国在内的金砖国家将会被排除在两大贸易区之外,中国将在全球经济贸易格局中处于不利地位。中国只有积极构筑自己的FTA网络,才能避免被边缘化。 中国作为世界第一贸易大国,已经成为120多个国家的第一大贸易伙伴。双边自由贸易区战略是中国从贸易大国走向贸易强国的便捷途径之一。制定双边自由贸易区战略,可以更好地指导中国双边自由贸易区实践的开展。双边自由贸易区战略作为一项国家战略,应当服务于多元化的战略意图。因此,在制定双边自由贸易区战略时既要考虑经济因素,也要考虑非经济因素。选择目标伙伴国时,既要考虑贸易规模、贸易结构、贸易成本、市场规模、技术引进等传统的经济因素,也要考虑能源供应等资源安全因素,以及联合反恐等地缘安全因素。 本文共分为五章内容： 第一章导论介绍了本文的研究背景、研究内容和研究思路,对RTA、双边FTA的概念进行了界定,并阐述了本文研究的自由贸易区(FTA)与上海自贸区(FTZ)的区别和联系。 第二章回顾了区域经济理论,FTA相关理论以及与本文研究相关的文献。关税同盟理论与FTA相关理论学说为本文的研究提供了理论基础。已有研究文献为本文的研究提供了有价值的参考,但是,已有文献没有明确提出系统的选择双边FTA伙伴国的指标体系。 第三章阐述了中国参与双边FTA的背景。双边FTA在全球蓬勃发展的原因,双边FTA在全球的发展现状,发达经济体、新兴经济体参与FTA的情况,以及中国参与FTA的情况。美国、欧盟、日本、墨西哥、新加坡、韩国双边FTA战略的实施为中国制定FTA战略提供了有益参考。中国参与FTA的实践活动为中国双边FTA战略的制定奠定了实践基础。 第四章是中国参与双边FTA的利益分析。首先,从基础理论的角度分析了中国参与双边FTA的利益形成机理,即贸易创造效应、贸易转移效应和投资促进效应。然后,通过中国-东盟双边FTA、中国-智利双边FTA,中国-新西兰双边FTA的利益分析,总结了以上三个具有代表性的FTA的成功和不足,作为今后中国双边FTA的典型范例。 第五章在前四章的基础上提出了中国双边FTA的战略构想。中国在选择双边FTA目标伙伴国时,应当综合考虑贸易导向、技术导向、能源导向、市场导向、地缘安全导向五个方面的因素。中国双边FTA布局应当从周边战略和跨区域战略两方面同时展开,积极构筑以中国国家利益为中心的FTA网络。
[Abstract]:With the promotion of multilateral trade system of trade globalization gradually weakened, the Doha Round negotiations difficult, many countries began to realize trade liberalization through the establishment of a free trade zone. The bilateral free trade area with its unique superiority, become the first choice of the national strategy of free trade zone. By the end of 2012, the regional trade arrangements notified WTO of the 354, only 2011-2012 year produced 27 RTA, all bilateral trade arrangements for.2012 years, the United States, European Union, South Korea, Mexico's free trade partners are respectively 20, 56, 48 and 44. China and FTA partners (except Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan) only 8. After the financial crisis in the United States as the trans Pacific Partnership Agreement (TTP) and the trans the Atlantic trade and investment partnership agreement (TTIP), tries to construct the two largest global trade and investment liberalization and organization, China was ranked Except at.TPP and TTIP Chinese talks almost all of the most important trade partners including TPP, including the United States, Japan, ASEAN and other major trading partners in China, TTIP includes two of China's largest export market of the United States and the European Union. If TPP and TTIP can be reached, including the BRICs countries will Chinese excluded from the two trade zone, China will be in a disadvantageous position in the global economic and trade pattern. China only actively build their own FTA network, in order to avoid being marginalized.
Chinese as the world's first trading power, has become the more than 120 largest trade partner countries. The strategy of bilateral free trade area is one of the most convenient way to China from trading power to trade power. Strategic bilateral free trade area, can better guide the China bilateral free trade zones in practice. As a strategic bilateral free trade area a national strategy intention should serve a diversified strategy. Therefore, in the formulation of strategic bilateral free trade area should consider economic factors, but also to consider the non economic factors. Select partners, it is necessary to consider the trade scale, trade structure, trade cost, market scale, economic factors of traditional technology introduction. Also consider the safety factors of energy resources, geopolitical security factors and joint terrorism.
This article is divided into five chapters.
The first chapter introduces the background, contents and ideas of the research, defines the concept of RTA and bilateral FTA, and expounds the difference and relationship between the free trade area (FTA) and the Shanghai free trade area (FTZ).
The second chapter reviews the theory of regional economy, FTA theory and research literature in this paper. And the theory of customs union theory and FTA theory provides a theoretical basis for this research. The existing research literature provides valuable reference for the research of this paper, however, the existing literature does not explicitly put forward the system of choice for bilateral FTA partners the index system.
The third chapter expounds the background. China participates in bilateral FTA bilateral FTA in the world with the rapid development of bilateral FTA in the global development situation, developed economies, emerging economies in the FTA, and China in FTA. The United States, European Union, Japan, Mexico, Singapore, South Korea bilateral FTA implementation strategy a useful reference for formulating Chinese FTA strategy. Chinese formulated in FTA practice China bilateral FTA strategy laid the practical foundation.
The fourth chapter is the analysis of Chinese participates in bilateral FTA interests. First of all, from the basic theory of Chinese participates in bilateral FTA interest formation mechanism, namely the trade creation effect and trade diversion effect and investment effect. Then, through China ASEAN bilateral FTA, bilateral FTA China - Chile, New Zealand China analysis of bilateral FTA interests, summarizes the three representative FTA success and shortcomings, as a typical example Chinese bilateral FTA in the future.
The fifth chapter puts forward the strategic conception of Chinese bilateral FTA on the basis of chapter four. Chinese bilateral FTA partners in the choice of target, we should consider the trade oriented, technology oriented, energy orientation, market orientation, factor five aspects of Geopolitical Security oriented. China bilateral FTA layout should be carried out at the same time from two aspects surrounding strategy and cross regional strategy, actively to build China national interests as the center of the FTA network.

【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752.7

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