中原经济区省际边界效应测度及转化机制研究

发布时间：2018-04-03 12:29

本文选题：省际边界效应　切入点：时空演变　出处：《河南大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放三十多年来，中国经济历经了翻天覆地的变化，社会的繁荣、人民生活质量的提高见证了改革开放的辉煌成就。但同时，不均衡发展战略的实施在资源禀赋差异的基础上使得中国区域经济出现差异。进入21世纪，中共十六届三中全会提出区域协调发展战略，以此逐步缩小区域间差异。当前，中国已实现“三步走”战略的第一、第二步目标，正在向全面实现建成小康社会而努力。统筹区域协调发展的实施正是实现第三步目标的重要环节。在此发展转型期，地方保护势头萌发、恶性竞争屡禁不止等现象已衍生出阻碍区域间要素正常流通、阻碍经济正常交往乃至区域不协调等的一系列消极现象——“边界效应”。运用趋同分析法，以城市人均GDP、城市间最短交通距离及省界虚拟变量为指标，构建Barro回归方程模型。通过对省际边界效应进行定量研究，本文得出如下结论： ①人均GDP是影响边界效应的首要因子，人均GDP较高地区增长速度逐步放缓，较低地区城市经济增速愈加明显，省际经济由趋异逐渐向趋同态势演进。河南省作为中原经济区主体区，与周边省份均呈现趋同；②整体上中原经济区省际边界屏蔽效应正在减小，中介效应在逐步增强，个别省界的屏蔽效应已经开始向中介效应转化。边界的开放程度在普遍增强，表现出一体化趋势；③距离要素作为次要因子对省际边界效应的影响不显著，并且随着中原经济区城市交通的改善，影响力不断减弱。整体上交通条件已经不能够阻碍中原经济区一体化的趋势。根据边界效应测度定量研究结果，结合中原经济区实际，总结出省际边界效应转化路径选择。宏观上，应在完善法律机制保障下，建立以市场机制为主导、更好发挥政府机制与社会机制的边界效应转化系统。微观上，豫西-晋之间应从能源领域的合作拓展到多领域的合作；豫北-冀之间应依托老工业基地基础向新型工业化迈进；豫鲁边界区域应为加强扶贫的重点，完善交通体系深化边界的开放；豫东-皖北-鲁西南边界区域依托民间合作的优势传统，抓住经济区国家战略的时代机遇，迎接挑战；晋-冀-鲁西边界区域应依托现有的交通条件，构建沿线经济带以扩宽经济交流的渠道。本文所构建的边界效应分析框架，对中原经济区省际边界效应是否存在进行了判断和测度，对边界效应的转化机制进行了系统的分析和研究，希望对边界效应理论的扩展有一定的参考价值，，更希望对中原经济区科学推进省际经济协调发展带来积极的作用。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up more than 30 years ago, China's economy has undergone earth-shaking changes, the prosperity of society and the improvement of people's quality of life have witnessed the brilliant achievements of reform and opening up.But at the same time, the implementation of unbalanced development strategy on the basis of the difference in resource endowment makes the regional economy of China appear different.In the 21st century, the third Plenary session of the 16th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China put forward the strategy of regional coordinated development, so as to gradually reduce regional differences.At present, China has achieved the first and second goal of the "three-step" strategy, and is striving to build a well-off society in an all-round way.The implementation of coordinated regional development is an important link to achieve the third step.In the period of development and transformation, the tendency of local protection germinates and the vicious competition is not only forbidden, but also a series of negative phenomena, such as "boundary effect", which hinder the normal circulation of regional elements, hinder the normal economic communication and even regional disharmony, etc.The Barro regression equation model is constructed by using the convergence analysis method, taking the per capita GDP, the shortest distance between cities and the virtual variables of provincial boundaries as indicators.Based on the quantitative study of the interprovincial boundary effect, this paper draws the following conclusions:(1) per capita GDP is the primary factor affecting the boundary effect. The growth rate of per capita GDP in higher regions is slowing down gradually, the growth rate of urban economy in lower regions is becoming more and more obvious, and the inter-provincial economy is gradually evolving from divergence to convergence.As the main area of the Central Plains Economic Zone, Henan Province shows convergence with the surrounding provinces. On the whole, the shielding effect of the inter-provincial boundary of the Central Plains Economic Zone is decreasing, and the intermediary effect is gradually increasing.The shielding effect of individual provincial boundaries has already begun to transform into intermediary effect.The opening degree of the boundary is increasing generally, showing the trend of integration. As a secondary factor, the influence of distance factor on the inter-provincial boundary effect is not significant, and with the improvement of urban traffic in the Central Plains Economic Zone, the influence becomes weaker.Overall traffic conditions can no longer hinder the integration of the Central Plains Economic Zone trend.According to the quantitative results of boundary effect measurement and the reality of the Central Plains Economic Zone, the paper summarizes the choice of the transformation path of the inter-provincial boundary effect.Macroscopically, under the guarantee of perfecting the legal mechanism, we should establish the system of border effect transformation between government mechanism and social mechanism, which is dominated by market mechanism.At the micro level, the cooperation between Western Henan and Shanxi should be expanded from the cooperation in the field of energy to the cooperation in various fields; between North Henan and Hebei should rely on the old industrial base to advance towards new industrialization; the border region between Henan and Shandong should be the focus of strengthening poverty alleviation.Improve the traffic system to deepen the opening of the border; East Henan-northern Anhui-southwest Shandong border region relying on the advantage of folk cooperation tradition, seize the economic zone strategy of the times opportunities, meet the challenges;Shanxi-Hebei-western Shandong border area should rely on the existing traffic conditions and construct the economic belt along the line to broaden the channels of economic communication.In this paper, the boundary effect analysis framework is constructed to judge and measure the existence of the inter-provincial boundary effect in the Central Plains Economic Zone, and to systematically analyze and study the transformation mechanism of the boundary effect.It is hoped that it will have some reference value for the expansion of the boundary effect theory and will bring positive effect to the scientific promotion of the coordinated development of the provincial economy in the Central Plains Economic Zone.
【学位授予单位】：河南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

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