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中国—东盟自由贸易区升级研究

发布时间:2018-05-02 23:36

  本文选题:中国—东盟 + 区域经济合作 ; 参考:《哈尔滨商业大学》2017年硕士论文


【摘要】:随着2015年11月23日,中国—东盟自由贸易区升级谈判的顺利达成,有关东盟自由贸易区的研究被学术界更加广泛的关注。东盟与中国山水相连,文化相通,种族相近,自古以来就与中国东南沿海以及南方各省贸易关系密切。上世纪90年代,随着改革开放的深入和国际形势的巨大变化,以及东盟经济体的不断发展,东盟各国再次引起我国的重视。2000年,时任国务院总理朱昒基提出了构建中国—东盟自由贸易区的构想,并得到了东盟各国高层的认可和积极响应;2002年中国与东盟签署了第一份协议——《中国—东盟全面经济合作框架协议》;2004年开始实施了 "早期收货计划",并于同年签署了《货物贸易协议》;2007年和2009年又分别签署了《服务贸易协议》和《投资协议》,标志着中国—东盟自由贸易区的建立已经排除了制度限制。并经双方约定从2010年1月1日起,中国—东盟自由贸易区(CAFTA)正式成立。中国—东盟自由贸易区成立至今,经过长达五年的贸易往来和双方政策的不断调整,终于在2015年11月23日,中国同东盟各国领导人达成了中国—东盟自由贸易区升级的最终合意,至此,中国—东盟自由贸易区正式进入了 2.0时代。通过对中国—东盟自由贸易区各国以往的数据进行整理,基于国际贸易理论、区域经济合作理论和地缘经济学理论,运用显性比较优势指数、综合贸易互补性指数、贸易结合度指数、产业内贸易指数、以及贸易引力模型等相应的经济学方法,从地缘政治学和地缘经济学角度分析了中国与东盟各国之间贸易往来和经济增长之间的关系以及相互影响的显著性因素。在分析有关影响中国—东盟自由贸易区升级的有利因素和不利因素的同时,也对中国—东盟自由贸易区升级前有关各方的政治效应和经济效应加以分析。在对北美自由贸易区和欧盟等成熟区域一体化组织的学习研究过程中,吸收北美自由贸易区关于原产地规则的制定、争端处理方式,以及欧盟有关对成员国的管理机制和欧洲统一的货币体系等成功经验的同时,提出出了升级后的中国—东盟自由贸易区建设,以及深化互利合作的相关对策。为实现中央的"十三五"规划和"一带一路"建设提供决策依据,也为日后我国其他自由贸易区的建设和发展提供充足的理论准备和经验借鉴。
[Abstract]:With the successful conclusion of the upgrading negotiation of China-ASEAN Free Trade area on November 23, 2015, the research on ASEAN Free Trade area has been paid more and more attention by academic circles. ASEAN is connected with Chinese mountains and rivers, and has close trade relations with the southeast coastal and southern provinces of China since ancient times. In the 1990s, with the deepening of reform and opening up and the great changes in the international situation, as well as the continuous development of ASEAN economies, ASEAN countries again attracted the attention of our country. In 2000, At that time, Premier Zhu Rongji put forward the idea of building a China-ASEAN Free Trade area. In 2002, China and ASEAN signed the first agreement-"China-ASEAN Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Cooperation". In 2004, the "early delivery Plan" began to be implemented. The Agreement on Trade in goods was signed in 1997, and the Agreement on Trade in Services and Investment Agreement were signed in 2007 and 2009 respectively, which indicates that the establishment of China-ASEAN Free Trade area has eliminated the institutional restrictions. From January 1, 2010, China-ASEAN Free Trade area (CAFTAA) was established. Since the establishment of the China-ASEAN Free Trade area, after five years of trade exchanges and continuous adjustment of bilateral policies, on November 23, 2015, The leaders of China and ASEAN have reached the final agreement of upgrading China-ASEAN Free Trade area (CAFTA). At this point, China-ASEAN Free Trade area (CAFTA) has entered the 2.0 era. Based on the international trade theory, the theory of regional economic cooperation and the theory of geo-economics, the author makes use of the explicit comparative advantage index to synthesize the complementary index of trade through the collation of the past data of the countries in the China-ASEAN Free Trade area. The corresponding economic methods such as trade integration index, intra-industry trade index, and trade gravity model, This paper analyzes the relationship between trade and economic growth between China and ASEAN countries and the significant factors influencing each other from the perspective of geopolitics and geoeconomics. This paper analyzes the favorable and unfavorable factors affecting the upgrading of China-ASEAN Free Trade area, and also analyzes the political and economic effects of all parties concerned before the upgrading of China-ASEAN Free Trade area. In the course of studying and studying mature regional integration organizations such as NAFTA and the European Union, we should absorb the rules of origin of NAFTA and the way in which disputes are handled. In addition to the successful experiences of the European Union on the management mechanism of its member states and the unified monetary system of Europe, the paper puts forward some countermeasures for the construction of the upgraded China-ASEAN Free Trade area and the deepening of mutually beneficial cooperation. It provides the decision basis for the realization of the 13th Five-Year Plan of the Central Committee and the construction of Belt and Road, and also provides sufficient theoretical preparation and experience for the construction and development of other free trade zones in China in the future.
【学位授予单位】:哈尔滨商业大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F742

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