河北省产业结构研究与主导产业选择

发布时间：2018-05-07 02:20

本文选题：区域经济 + 产业结构　；参考：《辽宁大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：区域经济的发展，除了经济总量上的增长之外，另一不可忽视的方面就是产业结构的演变。经济体系中各个产业的构成比例，就业人员的构成比例，以及其他资源的结构比重，都对经济整体的可持续发展有到头重要的作用。通过对区域产业结构的研究，结合区域资源禀赋，寻找适合区域经济发展的主导产业，可以加快经济的增长，使经济资源达到最优配置。当前经济发展已经进入信息科技时代，高技术、高附加值产业是各国各地区政府追逐的对象，最近几年，光伏产业也由当初的高新技术产业伦为产能过剩行业。有的地方成功实现了产业转型升级，同时又有许多区域因跟风付出了惨重的代价。纠其原因，是不能够充分的了解当地的产业结构和要素禀赋，没有发挥地区的比较优势。就河北省来说，经济总量一直处于全国前列，但过于依赖重工业，产业结构单一，对外界需求波动的抵抗力差，能源消耗高，环境破坏也很严重。因此，河北省转变经济发展方式已经迫在眉睫，如何走出粗放发展的老路，进行产业升级。本文从经济增长分解角度，资本、劳动力、技术水平方面对河北经济进行简单分析；然后运用投入产出表计算河北省各产业的直接消耗系数和间接消耗系数，推算42个产业部门的关联系数，包括前向关联系数、后向关联系数、旁侧关联系数。研究通过对设备制造业的影响力系数，生产制约度系数的分析，综合河北人力资源、资本、技术，认为装备制造业是河北省支自主创新能力较强的产业。与其它主要行业相比，装备制造业具有创新人才多、创新环境优和创新产出高的优势。在本文的最后一节，为主导产业的发展提供政策建议。
[Abstract]:The development of regional economy, in addition to the growth of economic aggregate, another aspect can not be ignored is the evolution of industrial structure. The proportion of each industry, the proportion of employed personnel and the structure of other resources play an important role in the sustainable development of the economy as a whole. Through the study of the regional industrial structure and the combination of the regional resource endowment, we can find the leading industry suitable for the regional economic development, which can accelerate the economic growth and make the economic resources achieve the optimal allocation. The current economic development has entered the information technology era, high technology, high value-added industry is the target pursued by the governments of various countries and regions. In recent years, photovoltaic industry has also changed from the original high-tech industry to the overcapacity industry. Some places successfully achieve industrial transformation and upgrading, but also many regions to pay a heavy price for following the trend. The reason is that the local industrial structure and factor endowment can not be fully understood, and the regional comparative advantage has not been brought into play. As far as Hebei Province is concerned, the total economic volume has always been in the forefront of the whole country, but it is too dependent on heavy industry, the industrial structure is single, the resistance to external demand fluctuation is poor, the energy consumption is high, and the environment damage is very serious. Therefore, it is urgent to change the mode of economic development in Hebei Province, how to step out of the old road of extensive development and upgrade the industry. This paper makes a simple analysis of Hebei's economy from the angle of economic growth decomposition, capital, labor force and technology level, and then calculates the direct consumption coefficient and indirect consumption coefficient of each industry in Hebei Province by using the input-output table. The correlation coefficients of 42 industrial departments are calculated, including forward correlation coefficient, backward correlation coefficient and side correlation coefficient. Through the analysis of the influence coefficient and production restriction coefficient of the equipment manufacturing industry, and synthesizing the human resources, capital and technology of Hebei Province, it is considered that the equipment manufacturing industry is the industry with strong independent innovation ability in Hebei Province. Compared with other major industries, the equipment manufacturing industry has the advantages of more innovative talents, better innovation environment and higher innovation output. In the last section of this paper, policy recommendations are provided for the development of leading industries.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F121.3;F127

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