中国马铃薯出口东盟市场研究

发布时间：2018-05-24 04:44

本文选题：中国 + 马铃薯　；参考：《云南师范大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：马铃薯具有生产上的丰产性、生态上的适应性、经济上的高效益、营养上的丰富价值因而受到世界的关注，是重要的宜粮、宜菜、宜饲和宜做工业原料等具有多种用途的粮食和经济作物。其在粮食安全战略中位置凸显，联合国已将马铃薯纳入全球粮食系统，加强其在世界粮食安全和减轻贫困方面的重大作用。中国作为世界上生产马铃薯第一大国，马铃薯贸易在一定程度上关系到世界粮食安全，通过出口贸易创造的贸易效应越来越明显。中国-东盟自由贸易区的建立推动了区域经济一体化，中国-东盟农业合作进程加快.双边农业合作具有得天独厚的优势，中国马铃薯产业面临较大商机，中国-东盟马铃薯贸易空间及发展潜力巨大。本文以中国马铃薯出口东盟市场作为研究对象，在搜集大量文献和数据资料的基础上对马铃薯出口东盟市场进行市场供应需求、出口的定性及定量的综合研究。首先站在市场供求的角度上对东盟各国对马铃薯的供应和需求以及东盟各国马铃薯进口结构分析进行分析，以奠定中国马铃薯出口东盟市场的背景和基础。其次对中国对东盟马铃薯出口进行系统性分析，包括中国马铃薯出口东盟市场概况、中国马铃薯的竞争力分析,贸易额变动因素；再次基于面板数据的多元回归模型对影响中国马铃薯出口东盟市场的主要因素进行实证研究。最后，，提出中国马铃薯提高对东盟市场出口贸易的相关建议。本文可以得出以下结论：中国马铃薯出口东盟市场贸易额增长迅速；东盟十国在中国马铃薯出口市场占有重要地位，贸易额占中国总出口的一半以上；中国马铃薯出口东盟市场以未加工的鲜或冷藏马铃薯为主，加工产品比列比例很少；中国马铃薯在东盟市场的价格和质量竞争力处于中等水平，而且市场份额有待提升；需求效应对马铃薯出口额拉动作用增强，结构效应由负转正，竞争力效应由较大的促进效应转为较大的阻碍作用；在影响中国马铃薯出口东盟市场的显著因素中人口数量、市场份额、人均消费量具有积极的正作用、而种植马铃薯的面积和人均GDP表现为负作用。
[Abstract]:Potato has high yield, ecological adaptability, high economic benefit and rich nutrition value. It is an important food and vegetable. Suitable forage and suitable for industrial raw materials and other food and cash crops with many uses. Its position in the food security strategy has been highlighted by the United Nations, which has integrated potatoes into the global food system, strengthening its vital role in world food security and poverty alleviation. As the largest potato producer in the world, China's potato trade to a certain extent relates to world food security, and the trade effect created by export trade is becoming more and more obvious. The establishment of China-ASEAN Free Trade area promoted regional economic integration and accelerated the process of agricultural cooperation between China and ASEAN. The bilateral agricultural cooperation has the unique advantage, the Chinese potato industry faces the big opportunity, the China-ASEAN potato trade space and the development potential is huge. On the basis of collecting a great deal of literature and data, this paper makes a comprehensive study on the market supply demand, export and quantity of potato export to ASEAN market. Firstly, from the point of view of market supply and demand, the paper analyzes the supply and demand of potato in ASEAN countries and the structure of potato import in ASEAN countries, in order to lay the background and foundation of Chinese potato export to ASEAN market. Secondly, it makes a systematic analysis of China's potato exports to ASEAN, including the general situation of Chinese potato exports to ASEAN market, the competitiveness analysis of Chinese potatoes, and the changing factors of trade volume. Thirdly, based on panel data, the paper makes an empirical study on the main factors that affect the market of Chinese potato export to ASEAN. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions on how to increase the export trade of Chinese potato to ASEAN. This paper draws the following conclusions: the trade volume of China's potato export to ASEAN market is growing rapidly, the ten ASEAN countries occupy an important position in China's potato export market, and the trade volume accounts for more than half of China's total exports; Chinese potato exports to ASEAN market are mainly raw fresh or refrigerated potatoes, the ratio of processed products is very small, the price and quality competitiveness of Chinese potato in ASEAN market is in the medium level, and the market share needs to be improved. The demand effect on potato export increased, the structure effect changed from negative to positive, and the competitiveness effect changed from the larger promoting effect to the larger hindrance effect, and the population number among the significant factors affecting the export of Chinese potato to ASEAN market. Market share, per capita consumption had positive effects, while potato area and GDP per capita had negative effects.
【学位授予单位】：云南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F323.7;F752.62

【参考文献】