中日韩自贸区经济效应的再分析——基于GTAP模型的研究

发布时间：2018-05-30 08:00

本文选题：中日韩自贸区 + 经济效应　；参考：《经济问题探索》2015年03期

【摘要】：随着国际区域经济一体化的深入发展以及中国自贸区战略的加快实施,目前正在谈判的中日韩自贸区的建立对三国具有重大的经济意义。本文采用GTAP模拟方法定量评估了中日韩FTA框架下三国经济效应的变动。研究结果显示,它将扩大区域内贸易规模,改变三国贸易条件,全面促进三国贸易结构以及生产结构调整,推动三国经济增长,提高消费者福利,实现三国互利共赢。因此,我国应积极发挥比较优势,拓展外贸出口增长空间;大力发展产业内贸易,加快调整产业结构;采取灵活策略,遵循"先易后难、循序渐进"的原则,稳步推进中日韩FTA进程。
[Abstract]:With the further development of international regional economic integration and the accelerated implementation of China's free trade zone strategy, the establishment of China, Japan and South Korea free trade zone is of great economic significance to the three countries. In this paper, GTAP simulation method is used to quantitatively evaluate the changes of the economic effects of the three countries under the FTA framework of China, Japan and South Korea. The results show that it will expand the scale of intraregional trade, change the trade terms of the three countries, promote the adjustment of trade structure and production structure, promote the economic growth of the three countries, improve the welfare of consumers, and realize the win-win situation of the three countries. Therefore, China should give full play to its comparative advantages, expand the space for export growth, vigorously develop intra-industry trade, speed up the adjustment of industrial structure, adopt flexible strategies, and follow the principle of "easy after difficult, gradual and orderly." We will steadily advance the FTA process between China, Japan and South Korea.
【作者单位】：上海海关学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学项目“加快推进中国自贸区战略升级研究”(14YJCGJW005)(主持人为匡增杰) 上海市教委科研创新项目“开放型经济新体制下中国自贸区建设的目标升级及战略创新研究”(15ZS090)。(主持人为匡增杰)
【分类号】：F752;F753.126

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