京沪高速铁路开行方案评价及优化调整方法研究

发布时间：2018-06-24 08:20

本文选题：京沪高铁 + 客流规律　；参考：《北京交通大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：京沪高速铁路自开通运营以来,以其大运量、高速度、高舒适性的运输特点,吸引了大量京沪通道内的客流,很大程度上缓解了通道内的运输压力,也逐渐形成了其特有的客流规律。与此同时,沿线区域经济在快速发展,与民航、公路的竞争也日趋激烈,同时还不断有新建成的线路接入京沪高铁路网,在这些条件的作用下,使得通道内的客流量、客流结构不断发生变化。这就要求京沪高速铁路客运开行方案等核心产品设计要不断适应市场变化与需求,能够及时做出优化调整。在此背景下,本论文以京沪高速铁路为研究对象,研究一种满足京沪高速铁路运营需要的开行方案评价与优化调整方法,使企业能够根据运营效果及时对客运产品做出评价及调整。首先,论文以现有的车、流、票等历史数据和准实时数据为基础,从时间、空间等多个维度,深入分析了京沪高铁的客流规律。为京沪高铁开行方案评价及优化调整提供了的数据基础和决策依据。其次,遵循开行方案评价指标体系建立原则,分析了开行方案的影响因素,研究建立了面向京沪高速铁路开行方案的单列车评价指标体系和整体性评价指标体系,并给出评价指标的计算方法。再次,在比较分析现有开行方案综合评价方法的基础上,研究提出了一种基于聚类-主成分分析的两阶段综合评价方法,即首先对单列车进行基于聚类-主成分分析的评价和调整,再通过对整体方案进行分层分析做补充调整的综合评价方法,并给出具体评价的流程和步骤。然后,以京沪高速铁路开行列车为实际对象,针对单列车进行了主成分分析,得出评价主成分即为企业经济效益和旅客出行服务水平。在此基础上,对问题列车进行了评价,并给出调整建议。最后,对整体开行方案各层次指标进行了分析评价,补充了单列车因主成分分析造成信息损失的不足,完善了开行方案评价的系统整体性。
[Abstract]:The Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway has attracted a large number of passengers in the Beijing-Shanghai corridor because of its characteristics of large volume, high speed and high comfort since it was put into operation. To a great extent, it has alleviated the transport pressure in the channel. Also gradually formed its unique passenger flow law. At the same time, with the rapid development of the regional economy along the route, the competition with civil aviation and highways is becoming increasingly fierce. At the same time, there are constantly new lines connected to the Beijing-Shanghai and Shanghai high railway network. Under these conditions, the passenger flow in the passageway is made. The structure of the passenger flow is constantly changing. This requires that the design of core products such as the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway passenger transport development plan should be constantly adapted to market changes and needs and be able to make timely optimization and adjustment. Under this background, this paper takes the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway as the research object, studies a kind of plan evaluation and optimization adjustment method to meet the needs of the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway operation. To enable enterprises to make timely evaluation and adjustment of passenger transport products according to operational results. Firstly, based on the existing historical data and quasi-real time data, the paper deeply analyzes the rules of passenger flow of Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway from time, space and other dimensions. It provides the data basis and decision basis for the evaluation and optimization adjustment of Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway. Secondly, in accordance with the principles of establishing evaluation index system of bank opening scheme, this paper analyzes the influencing factors of the operation plan, and studies and establishes a single train evaluation index system and an overall evaluation index system for Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway operation plan. The calculation method of evaluation index is also given. Thirdly, a two-stage comprehensive evaluation method based on clustering and principal component analysis is proposed on the basis of comparing and analyzing the existing comprehensive evaluation methods. That is to say, the single train is evaluated and adjusted based on clustering principal component analysis (PCA), and then the comprehensive evaluation method based on stratified analysis of the whole scheme is introduced, and the process and steps of the evaluation are given. Then, taking the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway train as the actual object, the principal component analysis is carried out for the single train, and it is concluded that the evaluation principal component is the economic benefit of the enterprise and the level of passenger travel service. On this basis, the problem train is evaluated and the adjustment suggestions are given. Finally, the indexes of each level of the whole operation scheme are analyzed and evaluated, which complements the deficiency of information loss caused by the principal component analysis of a single train, and improves the system integrity of the evaluation of the operation plan.
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：U292

【参考文献】