FTA对中韩农产品贸易的影响

发布时间：2018-08-23 11:12

【摘要】：世界经济一体化和区域经济一体化的趋势下，建立双边自由贸易区已成为区域经济一体化的主要形式，地理位置接近的国家间或者经济体间建立双边自由贸易区较多。2002年起中韩已开始关于签约中韩自由贸易区协定的谈判。尤其是韩国对农产品市场开放较敏感的反映与试图在中韩自由贸易协定上排除农产品市场开放的问题。根据比较优势理论、产业内贸易理论和贸易强度理论，采用RCA、IIT及TCD模型等来分析两国农产贸易的现状与性质，，通过对中韩贸易统计数据的分析来了解两国农产品贸易结构。中韩建立自由贸易区对中韩农产品贸易的的主要影响为关税，利用GSIM模型将两国间关税率调整为零。以各种变数为指数化测算自由贸易协定产生的经济效应变化（消费者效应、生产者效应、关税收入和净福利）。建立中韩自由贸易区对中国来说是有利的，但是对韩国来说是不利的。两国建交以来韩国农业受到了严重的打击。最后笔者提示减少中韩建立双边自由贸易区的负作用的方案（自由贸易区的过渡期、农产品开放范围、建立中韩贸易仲裁机构）和加快产业转移（培养高级农业人才的必要性）。
[Abstract]:Under the trend of world economic integration and regional economic integration, the establishment of bilateral free trade zones has become the main form of regional economic integration. There are more bilateral free trade zones between countries or economies with close geographical location. Since 2002, China and South Korea have started negotiations on signing a free trade zone agreement between China and South Korea. In particular, Korea is sensitive to the opening of agricultural products market and tries to exclude the opening of agricultural products market from the free trade agreement between China and Korea. According to comparative advantage theory, intra-industry trade theory and trade intensity theory, RCA-IIT and TCD model are used to analyze the current situation and nature of agricultural trade between the two countries, and the structure of agricultural products trade between China and South Korea is analyzed through the analysis of trade statistics between China and South Korea. The main influence of the establishment of free trade zone between China and South Korea on agricultural trade between China and South Korea is tariff, and the tariff rate between the two countries is adjusted to zero by using GSIM model. The economic effects of free trade agreements (consumer effect, producer effect, tariff income and net welfare) are measured using various variables as indexed. The establishment of a free trade zone between China and South Korea is beneficial to China, but unfavorable to South Korea. South Korean agriculture has been hit hard since the two countries established diplomatic ties. At last, the author points out that it is necessary to reduce the negative effects of establishing bilateral free trade zone between China and South Korea (the transition period of free trade area, the open scope of agricultural products, and the establishment of Sino-Korean trade arbitration institution) and to speed up industrial transfer (the necessity of cultivating senior agricultural talents).
【学位授予单位】：上海交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F323.7;F752.7

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