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天山北坡经济带城市化综合测度研究

发布时间:2018-08-30 14:22
【摘要】:在中国,城市化的发展使得城市群得以应运而生。各级政府都逐渐发力于以城市群为载体的增长极,使之成为提升区域经济竞争力的重要力量。天山北坡经济带位于我国西部边陲新疆维吾尔自治区,是新疆经济最为发达的区域,聚集了新疆主要的优势资源和先进生产力,也是新疆对外开放的核心中枢、经济发展的引擎和社会文化发展的重心,是自治区活力最强、发展水平最高、潜力最大的经济区域。由于新疆内部各个经济联系体的政治、文化、经济与区位条件都不尽相同,因此提升天山北坡经济带城市化水平需要有自己特色的发展模式。本文通过对天山北坡经济带城市化进程中人口城市化与土地城市化分别进行研究,可以掌握天山北坡经济带城市化系统下人口城市化和土地城市化两个子系统发展演变的特点,进而对二者耦合协调进行时间演变与空间差异进行分析,从天山北坡经济带整体分析研究深入至内部10个成员城市的个体分析,了解其城市化进程与耦合协调程度的关系。另外,对天山北坡经济带城市化的驱动力与影响因子进行分析,亦可为其他区域性城市化综合测度提供借鉴。主要研究内容如下:分别选取多指标综合评价模型与三角模型作为天山北坡经济带人口城市化与土地城市化的评价模型,遴选具有代表性的33项指标构建指标体系,分别使用变异系数法与熵权法分别求算权重,计算出天山北坡经济带2005-2014年人口城市化经历低速发展与高速发展两个阶段,市场力是最主要的驱动因素;土地城市化处于发展期,且向繁荣期进行过渡,建成区面积与地均全社会固定资产投资额是影响度最强的影响因子。将人口城市化与土地城市化作为城市化综合评价的子系统,进行耦合协调分析。从时间序列上得到:天山北坡经济带城市化内部处于磨合状态,且呈现出由低度磨合趋向高度磨合的结果。从空间分异上得到:乌鲁木齐市、克拉玛依市、与石河子市城市化水平较高,且耦合协调发展度良好;昌吉市、阜康市与奎屯市城市化水平次之,耦合协调发展度中等;呼图壁县、玛纳斯县、沙湾县和乌苏市城市化水平则与上述城市有较大差异,耦合协调发展度一般且不稳定。
[Abstract]:In China, the development of urbanization makes urban agglomeration come into being. Governments at all levels are gradually exerting their efforts on the growth pole with urban agglomeration as the carrier, making it an important force to enhance the regional economic competitiveness. Located in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous region in the western border of China, the northern slope economic belt of Tianshan Mountain is the most economically developed region in Xinjiang. It gathers the main superior resources and advanced productive forces of Xinjiang, and is also the core center of Xinjiang's opening to the outside world. The engine of economic development and the focus of social and cultural development are the regions with the strongest vitality, the highest level of development and the greatest potential. Due to the different political, cultural, economic and regional conditions of each economic link in Xinjiang, it is necessary to improve the urbanization level of the economic belt on the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain. Through the study of population urbanization and land urbanization in the process of urbanization on the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain, this paper can grasp the characteristics of the development and evolution of population urbanization and land urbanization two subsystems under the urbanization system of the northern slope economic belt of Tianshan Mountain. Then the temporal evolution and spatial difference of the coupling and coordination between the two are analyzed. From the whole analysis of the northern slope economic belt of Tianshan to the individual analysis of the 10 member cities, the relationship between the urbanization process and the degree of coupling and coordination is understood. In addition, the analysis of the driving force and influencing factors of urbanization on the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain can also be used as a reference for other regional comprehensive measures of urbanization. The main contents of the research are as follows: the multi-index comprehensive evaluation model and the triangle model are selected as the evaluation models of urbanization and land urbanization in the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain, and 33 representative indexes are selected to construct the index system. The coefficient of variation method and entropy weight method are used to calculate the weights respectively, and it is calculated that the urbanization in the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain from 2005 to 2014 experienced two stages of low speed development and high speed development. Market power is the main driving factor, and the land urbanization is in the developing period. During the period of prosperity, the investment of fixed assets in the whole society is the most influential factor. The urbanization of population and the urbanization of land are regarded as the subsystems of the comprehensive evaluation of urbanization, and the coupling and coordination analysis are carried out. From the time series, it is concluded that the urbanization in the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain is in a running-in state, and it shows the result that the running-in tends to a high degree from the low degree of running-in. From the spatial differentiation, it is concluded that Urumqi, Karamay and Shihezi have a high level of urbanization and good coupling and coordination, Changji, Fukang and Kuitun are the second, and the degree of coupling and coordination is moderate. The urbanization level of Hutubi County, Manas County, Shawan County and Wusu City is quite different from that of these cities, and the degree of coupling and coordination development is general and unstable.
【学位授予单位】:新疆大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F299.27

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