新疆人口系统与区域经济系统协调性评价及影响因素研究——基于PSR分析框架的实证分析
发布时间：2018-11-19 22:05
【摘要】：该文在"人口—经济—政府"PSR分析框架下,通过耦合协调度模型对新疆人口系统与区域经济系统协调性水平进行评价,运用多元线性回归模型对新疆人口系统与区域经系统协调发展的影响因素进行实证分析。结果表明:新疆人口系统与区域经济系统协调度虽然逐年提高,但协调质量仍较低;五个自变量中,政府消费比重、农业生产效率和投资率影响方向为正,失业率和农村居民消费水平指数增长率影响方向为负,且政府消费比重、失业率、农业生产效率以及投资率协调度的影响程度依次递减。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the coordination level between population system and regional economic system in Xinjiang is evaluated by coupling coordination degree model under the framework of "population-economy-government" PSR analysis. This paper makes an empirical analysis on the factors influencing the coordinated development of population system and regional economic system in Xinjiang by using multiple linear regression model. The results show that the coordination degree between population system and regional economic system in Xinjiang is increasing year by year, but the quality of coordination is still low. Among the five independent variables, the influence direction of government consumption, agricultural production efficiency and investment rate is positive, the influence direction of unemployment rate and consumption level index growth rate of rural residents is negative, and the proportion of government consumption and unemployment rate are negative. The influence degree of agricultural production efficiency and investment rate coordination degree is decreasing in turn.
【作者单位】： 石河子大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重点项目“‘稳定—发展’双重目标下新疆人口空间格局优化的路径与政策研究”(15AGL023)
【分类号】：F127;C924.24
，
本文编号：2343557
[Abstract]:In this paper, the coordination level between population system and regional economic system in Xinjiang is evaluated by coupling coordination degree model under the framework of "population-economy-government" PSR analysis. This paper makes an empirical analysis on the factors influencing the coordinated development of population system and regional economic system in Xinjiang by using multiple linear regression model. The results show that the coordination degree between population system and regional economic system in Xinjiang is increasing year by year, but the quality of coordination is still low. Among the five independent variables, the influence direction of government consumption, agricultural production efficiency and investment rate is positive, the influence direction of unemployment rate and consumption level index growth rate of rural residents is negative, and the proportion of government consumption and unemployment rate are negative. The influence degree of agricultural production efficiency and investment rate coordination degree is decreasing in turn.
【作者单位】： 石河子大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重点项目“‘稳定—发展’双重目标下新疆人口空间格局优化的路径与政策研究”(15AGL023)
【分类号】：F127;C924.24
，
本文编号：2343557
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