京津冀区域经济增长溢出效应的空间传导路径研究
发布时间：2018-11-26 07:28
【摘要】：区域经济一体化的发展是我国经济增长的一种方式,比如经济迅速发展的长三角、珠三角地区。但是与这两个地区相比较,京津冀地区经济发展相对落后并且区域经济一体化水平也较低。如何结合现有的经济发展条件,充分发挥京津冀区域的后发优势以实现整体的经济腾飞,并且促进该区域成为我国第三大经济增长极,并且带动周边地区经济快速增长,就成为一个亟待解决的问题。京津冀地区间经济发展水平差异较大,其中产业间对接比较困难,三地产业重叠很严重,而且竞争关系不明确,从而导致京津冀地区一体化水平较低。本文对京津冀地区三次产业的结构现状进行了相关分析。首先,采用产业关联度、区位熵等方法对主要行业进行分析。结果显示:京津冀地区产业结构各地不同,北京已经是"三二一"产业结构现状,并且第三产业是支柱产业;天津虽已实现从"二三一"结构转变为"三二一"结构,但是还需进一步深化;河北仍处于"二三一"结构。其次,本文采用SVAR模型对京津冀地区间产业进行分析,结果显示主要行业在当期同一行业的地区之间存在着明显的负相关关系。其中,北京的金融业、房地产业占有较大的影响力,天津与河北的工业占有较大的影响力,河北的农林牧渔业占有较大的影响力。进而,本文借鉴金融、大宗商品等关于传导路径的研究方法,筛选出六项经济指标对京津冀地区以及其他六大区域之间的传导路径进行分析,其中本文研究包括京津冀地区内部三地之间的传导机制,以及京津冀整体对全国其他地区的经济辐射两大部分。同时,针对京津冀地区如何更好地实现一体化,本文提出一些有建设意义的政策建议。
[Abstract]:The development of regional economic integration is a way of economic growth in China, such as the rapid economic development of the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta region. However, compared with these two regions, the economic development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is relatively backward and the level of regional economic integration is low. How to give full play to the advantages of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in order to realize the overall economic take-off, and to promote the region to become the third largest economic growth pole of our country, and to promote the rapid economic growth of the surrounding areas, according to the existing economic development conditions. It becomes an urgent problem. The economic development level of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is quite different, among which it is difficult to connect with each other, the overlap of the three real estate industries is very serious, and the competition relationship is not clear, which leads to the low level of integration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. This paper analyzes the current situation of three industries in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. First of all, the industrial correlation degree, location entropy and other methods are used to analyze the main industries. The results show that the industrial structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is different from each other. Beijing is already the status quo of industrial structure of "March 21", and the tertiary industry is the pillar industry. Although Tianjin has realized the transformation from "23-1" structure to "3-21" structure, it needs to be further deepened, and Hebei is still in the "231" structure. Secondly, the SVAR model is used to analyze the industries in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The results show that there is a significant negative correlation between the main industries in the same industry in the current period. Among them, Beijing's financial industry, real estate industry has a greater influence, Tianjin and Hebei industry has a greater influence, Hebei's agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry has a greater influence. Then, this paper draws lessons from the financial, commodity and other research methods on the conduction path, and selects six economic indicators to analyze the transmission path between the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the other six regions. This paper includes two parts: the conduction mechanism of the three places in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the economic radiation of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as a whole to the rest of the country. At the same time, aiming at how to realize integration better in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, this paper puts forward some constructive policy suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：北方工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127
本文编号：2357788
[Abstract]:The development of regional economic integration is a way of economic growth in China, such as the rapid economic development of the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta region. However, compared with these two regions, the economic development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is relatively backward and the level of regional economic integration is low. How to give full play to the advantages of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in order to realize the overall economic take-off, and to promote the region to become the third largest economic growth pole of our country, and to promote the rapid economic growth of the surrounding areas, according to the existing economic development conditions. It becomes an urgent problem. The economic development level of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is quite different, among which it is difficult to connect with each other, the overlap of the three real estate industries is very serious, and the competition relationship is not clear, which leads to the low level of integration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. This paper analyzes the current situation of three industries in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. First of all, the industrial correlation degree, location entropy and other methods are used to analyze the main industries. The results show that the industrial structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is different from each other. Beijing is already the status quo of industrial structure of "March 21", and the tertiary industry is the pillar industry. Although Tianjin has realized the transformation from "23-1" structure to "3-21" structure, it needs to be further deepened, and Hebei is still in the "231" structure. Secondly, the SVAR model is used to analyze the industries in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The results show that there is a significant negative correlation between the main industries in the same industry in the current period. Among them, Beijing's financial industry, real estate industry has a greater influence, Tianjin and Hebei industry has a greater influence, Hebei's agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry has a greater influence. Then, this paper draws lessons from the financial, commodity and other research methods on the conduction path, and selects six economic indicators to analyze the transmission path between the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the other six regions. This paper includes two parts: the conduction mechanism of the three places in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the economic radiation of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as a whole to the rest of the country. At the same time, aiming at how to realize integration better in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, this paper puts forward some constructive policy suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：北方工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127
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