中国新四化对能源强度的影响

发布时间：2019-05-20 08:39

【摘要】：实现节能降耗是新四化的应有之义。关于此主题的研究多使用单一指标测度新四化,未充分体现"新"的内涵。本文采用2011-2014年中国30省(市)的数据,以重新构建的新四化指数为基础,评价新四化的区域发展情况,识别四个指标间的相互作用以及它们对能源强度的影响。首先,在以新四化指数进行区域发展评价时发现,中国省际新四化水平基本与其区域经济发展梯度相吻合。其次,计量模型结果表明,新型城镇化、信息化和农业现代化水平的提升明显改善了能源强度,但新型工业化水平的提升对能源强度的积极影响相对较小。此外,新四化在降低能源强度方面表现出边际效应递减的效果,当以新四化衡量的区域发展水平较高时,提升某一化水平对整体能源强度的改善效果降低,说明新四化影响能源强度的效应趋于收敛。因而,着力提高区际资源配置效率,优先提升落后省份的新四化水平,对推动中国能源强度的下降极为重要。
[Abstract]:The realization of energy saving and consumption reduction is the proper meaning of the new four modernizations. The research on this subject mostly uses a single index to measure the new four, which does not fully reflect the connotation of "new". Based on the data of 30 provinces (cities) in China from 2011 to 2014, based on the reconstructed index of the new four modernizations, this paper evaluates the regional development of the new four modernizations, and identifies the interaction among the four indicators and their impact on energy intensity. First of all, when evaluating the regional development of the new four modernizations index, it is found that the level of the new four modernizations between provinces in China is basically consistent with the gradient of its regional economic development. Secondly, the results of the econometric model show that the improvement of the level of new urbanization, informatization and agricultural modernization has obviously improved the energy intensity, but the positive impact of the improvement of the new industrialization level on the energy intensity is relatively small. In addition, the new four modernizations show the effect of decreasing the marginal effect in reducing the energy intensity. When the regional development level measured by the new four modernizations is high, the improvement effect of raising a certain level on the overall energy intensity is reduced. It shows that the effect of the new four modernizations on the energy intensity tends to converge. Therefore, it is very important to improve the efficiency of interregional resource allocation and give priority to the new four modernizations in backward provinces in order to promote the decline of energy intensity in China.
【作者单位】：西南财经大学经济学院;暨南大学经济学院;重庆市委党校经济社会发展研究所;
【基金】：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(JBK120506)
【分类号】：F426.2

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