甘肃省GDP与产业结构的统计分析预测

发布时间：2017-12-30 18:04

本文关键词：甘肃省GDP与产业结构的统计分析预测　出处：《兰州大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：经济发展是国民经济持续增长和各产业生产规模效益的结构性提高,产业结构不仅可以促进经济总量的增长,而且可以提高总体经济结构效益.随着我国其他地区经济发展的迅速加快,在全国经济社会发展中甘肃省的地位却日趋边缘化,所以调整其产业结构和转变经济发展方式迫在眉睫.从2006年的统计数据中,可以看到甘肃省第三产业在全年GDP中所占的百分比高达39.54%,比全国的指标还要稍微多出0.19个百分点,而我国西部区域的平均水平38.58%也在其之下,但比起我国东部发达地区它还是略低一些的.统计预测能在某种程度上为区域经济的发展前景做出相应的分析和应对措施,对拥有六大现代服务业的甘肃省而言,其具体产业结构的探讨还是很有必要的.本文首先从贡献率和拉动率两个方面来分析三大产业对甘肃省生产总值的影响,得出随着产业结构的变动,第三产业对甘肃省经济发展日趋重要.然后运用SPSS软件对相关数据做回归分析等处理来进一步探究第三产业发展与甘一肃省GDP之间的具体联系,最后重点对第三产业的构成做了深入的统计分析.
[Abstract]:Economic development is the structural improvements in the continuous growth of the national economy and the industrial production scale, industrial structure can not only promote the economic growth, but also can improve the overall economic structure efficiency. With the rapid speeding up economic development in other areas of our country, economic and social development in Gansu province by the position in the country has become increasingly marginalized, so adjust the industrial structure and change the mode of economic development is imminent. From the statistical data in 2006, we can see the percentage of Gansu Province third industry accounted for in the annual GDP of up to 39.54%, higher than the national index slightly more than 0.19 percentage points, while the western region of our country's average level of 38.58% in contrast, but compared to me in the eastern developed regions it is slightly lower. Statistical prediction can make analysis and corresponding measures of the prospects for the development of regional economy to a certain extent, to With six of the modern service industry of Gansu Province, to explore the specific industrial structure is still very necessary. This paper from the contribution rate and pulling rate two aspects to analyze the three major industries of Gansu province's GDP, obtained with the change of industrial structure, the third industry is becoming more and more important for the economic development of Gansu province. Then use the SPSS software to do regression analysis on data processing to further explore the specific relationship between the third industry and a GDP Gansu Province, which finally focus on the third industry to do the thorough statistical analysis.

【学位授予单位】：兰州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F719

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