中国与东南亚四国产能合作研究

发布时间：2017-12-31 10:36

本文关键词：中国与东南亚四国产能合作研究　出处：《外交学院》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：制造业是中国经济腾飞的核心产业,在经过数十年的高速发展后,中国的制造业遇到了发展的瓶颈,中低端制造业成本优势逐渐丧失,产能严重过剩,高端制造业竞争力不足。同时伴随着金融危机席卷全球,全球经济至今仍在深度调整中。中国的制造业在传统欧美市场需求下跌的打击下,国内产能过剩的问题更加的突出,如不能妥善解决,会严重拖累中国产业升级,甚至造成社会问题。同时,以东南亚地区为代表的发展中国家和地区受限于本国相对薄弱的工业能力,在基础设施建设、工业制成品供给等方面有巨大的需求,表现出了较好的发展势头和市场空间。在此时机,中国一方面鼓励国内企业走出去,一方面提出了“一带一路”战略,向众多的发展中国家发出了全面合作的倡议,实现互惠互利,完成共同发展的目标。马来西亚、泰国、越南、印度尼西亚这东南亚的四个国家经济发展向好,地理位置优越,有发展工业的良好条件,与中国也有着广泛的经济合作,是中国产能合作的理想伙伴。本文首先分析产能合作的动因,分别从中国与东南亚四国这两个角度,分析影响各方在产能合作领域的有利因素。然后分析中国与东南亚四国在产能合作的进展和趋势,列举典型的产能合作案例。之后对中国与东南亚四国产能合作进行了定量分析,通过GL指数分析双方的产业内贸易水平和变化趋势,通过RCA指数分析双方具有竞争优势的产业部门和变化趋势,讨论中国与东南亚四国有合作潜力的产业部门。接着从中国、东南亚四国和国际因素这三个角度,分析讨论了中国与东南亚四国产能合作的制约因素。对产能合作的路径和机制进行了讨论,分别从市场与政府、全球产业链进行了分析,选取数个重点合作领域为代表加以讨论,提出了可能的产能合作新思路;然后讨论了促进产能合作的路径,根据前面章节的讨论,提出促进产能合作的改进建议和对策。
[Abstract]:Manufacturing industry is the core industry of China's economic take-off. After tens of years of rapid development, China's manufacturing industry has encountered the bottleneck of development, the cost advantage of middle and low end manufacturing industry is gradually lost, and the production capacity is seriously overcapacity. High-end manufacturing is not competitive enough. With the financial crisis sweeping the world, the global economy is still in the depth of adjustment. China's manufacturing industry has been hit by the decline in demand in the traditional European and American markets. Domestic overcapacity is more prominent, if not properly resolved, will seriously drag down China's industrial upgrading, and even cause social problems. At the same time. The developing countries and regions represented by Southeast Asia are limited by their relatively weak industrial capacity and have huge demand in infrastructure construction and supply of manufactured goods. On the one hand, China encouraged domestic enterprises to go out; on the other hand, it put forward the "Belt and Road" strategy. Comprehensive cooperation initiatives have been launched to a large number of developing countries to achieve mutual benefit and achieve the goal of common development. Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam and Indonesia, the four Southeast Asian countries, are developing well. With favorable geographical location, favorable conditions for industrial development, and extensive economic cooperation with China, it is an ideal partner for China's capacity cooperation. Firstly, this paper analyzes the motivation of capacity cooperation. From the perspective of China and four Southeast Asian countries, this paper analyzes the favorable factors that affect the productive capacity cooperation of all parties, and then analyzes the progress and trend of capacity cooperation between China and Southeast Asian four countries. This paper enumerates typical cases of productivity cooperation, and then makes quantitative analysis on the production capacity cooperation between China and Southeast Asian countries, and analyzes the level of intra-industry trade and the trend of change through GL index. Through the RCA index analysis of the competitive advantage of both industrial sectors and trends, discuss the potential of cooperation between China and Southeast Asia industrial sectors. Then from China. From the three angles of the four countries in Southeast Asia and the international factors, this paper analyzes and discusses the restrictive factors of the capacity cooperation between China and the four countries in Southeast Asia, and discusses the path and mechanism of the capacity cooperation, respectively from the market and the government. The global industrial chain is analyzed, several key areas of cooperation are selected as representatives to discuss, and a possible new thinking of capacity cooperation is put forward. Then, the paper discusses the ways to promote capacity cooperation, and puts forward some suggestions and countermeasures to improve the capacity cooperation according to the discussion in the previous chapters.
【学位授予单位】：外交学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F125

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