中印基础设施投资与经济增长关系比较研究

发布时间：2018-01-02 14:06

本文关键词：中印基础设施投资与经济增长关系比较研究　出处：《首都经济贸易大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：中国和印度作为经济发展迅速的发展中国家,两国在经济发展状况、人口、历史、文化等方面有许多共同之处。中印两国政府都很重视基础设施投资对经济增长的促进作用,积极采取措施促进基础设施投资,希望以此带动经济增长。中印基础设施投资与经济增长的关系决定了两国基础设施投资政策的效果,因此,关于中印基础设施投资与经济增长关系的比较研究,对于中印基础设施投资和经济可持续增长至关重要。本文选取交通、电力、教育和科研四个具有代表性的基础设施部门的投资之和来代表中印基础设施投资,采用定量分析法和比较分析法,分别对中印基础设施规模及结构、中印经济增长现状及发展历程、中印基础设施投资与经济增长关系进行比较研究。然后基于Barro倒“U”理论,选取人均基础设施投资、人均资本与人均GDP三个变量,建立自回归分布滞后模型对中印基础设施投资最优规模进行测算,并比较基础设施实际投资规模与最优投资规模,判断中印基础设施投资与经济增长的关系。通过分析发现,2008年金融危机后中印基础设施投资与经济增长关系确实不同,印度基础设施投资对经济增长的促进作用更强,中国基础设施投资的增加减缓了经济增长速度,印度基础设施投资的增加会促进经济快速增长。造成中印两国基础设施投资与经济增长关系不同的原因主要为两国基础设施征地制度、宏观调控强度与市场机制完善程度、基础设施融资渠道和基础设施投资类型等方面存在差异。最后根据中印两国以上原因存在的差异,借鉴印度基础设施投资方面的优势,并规避印度基础设施投资方面的不足,对中国通过调节基础设施投资促进经济增长提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:China and India, as developing countries with rapid economic development, are in the state of economic development, population and history. The Chinese and Indian governments attach great importance to the role of infrastructure investment in promoting economic growth and actively take measures to promote infrastructure investment. The relationship between China and India's infrastructure investment and economic growth determines the effect of the two countries' infrastructure investment policies. Therefore, the comparative study on the relationship between Sino-Indian infrastructure investment and economic growth. It is very important for China and India to invest in infrastructure and sustainable economic growth. In this paper, the sum of four representative infrastructure sectors, transportation, electricity, education and scientific research, is selected to represent the investment in infrastructure between China and India. Using quantitative analysis and comparative analysis, the scale and structure of infrastructure in China and India, the current situation of economic growth and the development process of China and India are analyzed respectively. This paper makes a comparative study on the relationship between infrastructure investment and economic growth in China and India, and then selects three variables: per capita infrastructure investment, per capita capital and per capita GDP, based on the Barro inverted "U" theory. An autoregressive distributed lag model is established to estimate the optimal scale of infrastructure investment in China and India, and to compare the actual investment scale with the optimal investment scale. Judging the relationship between China and India infrastructure investment and economic growth. Through the analysis, it is found that the relationship between Sino-Indian infrastructure investment and economic growth is indeed different after the financial crisis in 2008. India's infrastructure investment has contributed more to economic growth, and the increase in Chinese infrastructure investment has slowed the growth rate. The increase in infrastructure investment in India will promote rapid economic growth. The main reason for the difference in the relationship between infrastructure investment and economic growth between China and India is the infrastructure land expropriation system between the two countries. There are differences in macro-control intensity and market mechanism perfection, infrastructure financing channels and infrastructure investment types. Finally, according to the differences between China and India. This paper draws lessons from the advantages of India's infrastructure investment and avoids the shortcomings of India's infrastructure investment, and puts forward policy recommendations for China to promote economic growth by regulating infrastructure investment.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F124;F135.1

【相似文献】