河南省人口结构对产业结构的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-04 05:30

本文关键词：河南省人口结构对产业结构的影响研究　出处：《西华师范大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

更多相关文章： 河南省 老龄化 产业结构 经济发展

【摘要】：当前,经济发展方式的转变问题备受瞩目,产业结构优化升级是经济发展的重要推动力。我国正处于经济转型的重要时期,产业结构的优化程度直接影响着经济发展的趋势。作为经济发展的基本要素,人口结构与产业结构之间有着比较复杂的互动机制。长期以来,我国的人口资源一直是吸引外资的一个重要优势,但随着老龄化时代的到来以及人口红利优势的逐渐消失,我国劳动力数量由充足转向短缺,劳动力成本上升,这将阻碍我国产业结构的优化升级。人口数量的多少并不是决定人口结构好坏的唯一标准,而是应该从人口结构内在各因素方面着手,优化人口结构,使之与现阶段的产业结构调整相适应,以促进我国经济又好又快发展。河南省是我国的人口大省,粮食产量占全国绝大比重,在中部崛起中占据关键地位,交通地理位置优越,河南省在全国经济发展中贡献较大。但河南省在经济发展的过程中存在很多隐患,2014年底,全国农村人口比重为45.23%,而河南省农村人口比重为54.8%,远高出全国平均水平,除了甘肃、云南、贵州与西藏地区外,河南省居于农村人口之最,除此之外河南省老龄化问题也越来越突出,老龄化程度加剧,劳动力教育水平低等问题较严重。改革开放以来,虽然河南省在产业结构上有了历史性的突破,但与全国其他各省市相比还有着较大的差距,加上人口结构的不合理,所以导致了河南省整体的经济水平并不高,只有合理的人口结构才有助于产业结构的优化升级,才能促进经济的健康发展。本文通过对河南省产业结构与人口结构进行分析,找出人口结构对产业结构升级的影响机制,为河南省产业结构升级,促进经济发展提供参考,同时提出相应的政策建议。本文主要包括以下几个部分:第一章:绪论。陈述了本文的研究背景、选题目的以及选题意义,对国内外学者对产业结构与人口结构之间关系的文献进行研究与整理,并简要介绍本文的研究内容、研究方法以及创新与不足之处;第二章:相关理论介绍。主要包括相关的人口结构和产业结构方面的理论,以及对产业结构的界定;第三章:河南省人口结构现状以及产业结构现状分析。主要从河南省人口结构中的年龄结构、城乡结构、文化结构以及产业结构来分析人口结构的现状。从河南省三大产业现状以及产业升级现状来分析产业结构现状;第四章:河南省人口结构对产业结构升级影响的实证分析。通过相关数据进行一系列的计量分析,研究河南省人口结构对产业结构升级的影响。第五章:相关政策建议。在理论分析以及实证分析的基础上,从人口结构的角度对河南省产业结构升级提出相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:The transformation of the mode of economic development has attracted much attention, the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure is an important driving force for economic development. China is in an important period of economic transformation, the degree of the industrial structure optimization directly affects the economic development trend. As the economic development of the basic elements, there is a complex interaction mechanism between population structure and industrial structure. For a long time, China's population has been an important advantage to attract foreign investment, but with the gradual disappearance of the arrival of the era of aging, the demographic dividend advantage, the number of China's labor force by adequate steering shortages, rising labor costs, which will hinder the upgrade of industrial structure in China. How much is not decided is the only standard of population structure of the population, but should proceed from the internal factors of population structure, optimize the population structure, and make the current production Industry structure adjustment to adapt, to promote sound and rapid development of China's economy. Henan province is China's most populous province, grain output accounted for the vast proportion, play a key role in the rise of central China, traffic location, Henan province contribution in the development of national economy. But there are many hidden dangers in Henan province. In the process of economic development by the end of 2014, the proportion of the rural population is 45.23%, while the proportion of rural population in Henan province was 54.8%, far higher than the national average, in addition to Gansu, Yunnan, Guizhou and Tibet area, Henan province in the rural population of Henan Province, in addition to the problem of aging has become increasingly prominent, aging the degree of intensification, low educational level of the labor force problem is more serious. Since the reform and opening up, although Henan province has made a historic breakthrough in the industrial structure, but in other provinces is still a big gap, and The population structure is not reasonable, resulting in the Henan Province, the overall economic level is not high, only the upgrading and optimization of rational population structure is helpful to the industrial structure, to promote the healthy development of the economy. This article through to the Henan Province industrial structure and population structure analysis, find out the influence of population structure on the mechanism of the upgrading of industrial structure and upgrading the industrial structure of Henan Province, to provide reference to promote economic development, and puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations. This paper mainly includes the following parts: the first chapter: introduction. The research background of this paper, choose the topic and the significance of the topic, research and collation of domestic and foreign scholars on the relationship between industrial structure and population structure the literature, research content and briefly introduces the research methods and innovations and deficiencies; the second chapter: the introduction of related theories. It mainly includes population structure and related The industrial structure theory, and the definition of the industrial structure; the third chapter: the analysis of Henan province population structure status and structure status of industry. Mainly from the population structure of Henan Province in the urban and rural structure, age structure, cultural structure and industrial structure to analyze the current situation of population structure. To analyze the current situation of the industrial structure from the present situation of the three major industries of Henan province and industrial upgrading situation; the fourth chapter: the empirical analysis of the influence of population structure in Henan Province on the upgrading of the industrial structure. The econometric analysis through a series of related data, influence of population structure in Henan Province on the upgrading of the industrial structure. The fifth chapter: the related policy suggestions. In the theoretical analysis and empirical analysis based on the proposed upgrade the policy suggestion to the industrial structure of Henan province from the perspective of population structure.

【学位授予单位】：西华师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F127;C924.2

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