生活基础设施、互补效应与居民消费
本文关键词:生活基础设施、互补效应与居民消费 出处:《山东大学》2014年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文
更多相关文章: 生活基础设施 发展现状 比较 互补效应 居民消费
【摘要】:近年来居民储蓄率的高位维持及欧美国家在2008年遭受金融危机后,进口需求的疲软;还有这两年固定资产投资过度引发诸多不良后果导致我国转变经济增长方式的欲求越来越迫切。作为“三驾马车”之一的消费,对其的扩大成为了解决上述问题的关键,基于这一现实背景,本文对作为扩大居民消费能力影响密切的消费环境因素中生活基础设施部分进行了相应研究。 由于同居民耐用品消费存在紧密的互补性关系,各类生活基础设施发展状况的好坏、供给水平的高低直接影响到相关商品的需求和相应消费支出的变动。尽管已存在不少对基础设施和居民消费间关系的研究,但多数都仅从经典宏观经济增长模型入手,考虑了基础设施作为投资的一部分对最终产出,进而间接对居民消费可能产生的挤入和挤出效应,忽略互补性这一直接作用渠道。正因如此,以往文献所揭示的基础设施与居民消费支出间的关系存在某种程度上不全面、不准确的问题。 结合近十年来我国各省市不同类型生活基础设施发展水平的代理指标数据,文章应用随机系数计量方法从互补性渠道检验了不同省份不同类型生活基础设施对居民耐用品消费的定量影响。结果显示出东中西部地区以及各个省市的生活基础设施供给差异对居民的耐用品消费产生了不同程度、方向的作用。上述工作从某种意义上修正了已有研究的缺陷,更精确的测算出两者间的实际关系。 除此之外,在运用指标构建、统计数据描述等方式对我国各类生活基础设施的发展水平进行国内外分析、比较后,我们发现供水、供电等类型在国际上处于相对领先的位置,其余类型则较为滞后;东中西部地区的生活基础设施发展水平存在较大差距,尤其体现在电力、通信方面。 综上所述,为不同地区生活基础设施的发展侧重提供借鉴,为缩减区域间居民消费能力的差异、促进整体消费水平的提升提供参考是本文的主要贡献所在。
[Abstract]:In recent years, household savings rate remain high and the European and American countries suffered in the 2008 financial crisis, weak import demand; and the two years of excessive investment in fixed assets caused many adverse consequences resulting in China's transformation of the mode of economic growth needs more and more urgent. As the "three horse car" of the expansion of consumption, become aware of the key to solve these problems, based on the realistic background, this paper researched on as the expansion of consumer ability to influence the life infrastructure close consumption environment.
Because the residents of durable goods are complementary to the close relationship between the development of infrastructure, life quality, supply will directly affect the level of the relevant commodity demand and corresponding consumer spending changes. Although there are a lot of research has been on infrastructure and consumer relations, but most of them only from the classical macro economic growth the model of the infrastructure investment as a part of the final output, and thus indirectly to consumption possible squeeze and crowding out effect, the direct effect of ignoring complementary channels. Therefore, the relationship between the literature reveals the infrastructure and consumer spending between different extent the problem of inaccurate.
Combined with the proxy data level of our country's various provinces and cities of different types of infrastructure development in recent ten years, the application of measurement methods of random coefficient test quantitatively the influence of different provinces and different types of living infrastructure supplies consumption on the resistance of residents from the complementary channels. The results show that the Eastern and western regions and infrastructure supply in various provinces and cities differences in consumption of durable goods to the residents have different degree of effect. The direction of fixed defects of existing research in the sense that more accurately calculated between the actual relationship.
In addition, in the use of indicators, domestic statistics to describe the way of life in our country infrastructure development level analysis, comparison, we found that the water supply, power supply and other types of relatively in the leading position in the world, the other type is relatively lag behind; there is a big gap between the Eastern and western regions of the living infrastructure the level of development, especially in electric power, communication and so on.
To sum up, we should provide references for the development of the living infrastructure in different regions, and provide references for reducing the differences between the residents' consumption ability and promoting the overall consumption level.
【学位授予单位】:山东大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F299.24;F126.1
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