我国经济发展方式转变的整体趋势及区域差异研究

发布时间：2018-01-08 17:14

本文关键词：我国经济发展方式转变的整体趋势及区域差异研究　出处：《安徽工业大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：在参与世界经济的深度不断加深、广度不断扩展的背景下，我国工业化、城市化、市场化和经济国际化持续推进，但一系列资源性、结构性和社会性问题逐步凸显，传统经济发展方式已无法适应发展要求，甚至已成为可持续发展的决定性障碍，为保证经济社会发展的全面性、健康性、持续性，需要寻求一种更科学、更契合时代经济特征的发展方式。为此，我国在不断进行经济发展方式转变的积极探索，“十七大”报告提出“转变经济发展方式”的概念，“十二五”规划提出“以加快转变经济发展方式为主线”的要求，“十八大”报告进一步强调，“以科学发展为主题，以加快转变经济发展方式为主线，是关系我国发展全局的战略抉择。”至此，我国经济在历经30多年的高速增长后，逐步进入以加快转变经济发展方式作为总方向的战略转型关键期。本文首先从国内外局势出发，对转变经济发展方式的内涵、加快经济发展方式转变的必要性及其动力结构进行理论分析，其次借助软件SAS9.1和ArcGIS10.0，运用主成分分析、灰色关联分析、空间自相关分析和地理加权回归分析法，，对2000～2011年我国经济发展方式的转变进行纵向、动态的趋势评价，对2011年我国大陆31个省市、自治区的经济发展方式转变绩效进行横向、静态的区域差异评价。通过评价，得出以下主要结论：（1）我国经济在经过2002～2007年的高速发展之后，进入战略转型阶段，就经济发展方式转变的影响因素而言，市场化程度对经济发展方式转变的贡献度最大，民生保障、科技创新和城乡结构次之，资源环境、需求结构、经济效益和产业结构排位靠后。（2）2011年我国各省市、自治区的经济发展水平具有显著的空间差异性，具体表现为较强的空间集聚性，高值集聚区分布在长三角地区和京津地区，热点区基本是沿海地区及其毗邻地区，次热点区依附在热点区周边，少数中部地区和大部分西部地区为冷点区。（3）各分项指标存在着空间依赖（空间集聚）和异质性（空间异常），呈现明显的“高-高”、“低-低”空间集聚的同时，也存在“高-低”相依的空间异常；各分项指标的冷、热点区呈片状分布，具体空间分布各异。（4）经济效益、产业结构等影响因素共同决定经济发展空间格局。地区经济基础、政府制度、资源状况及区位条件等因素的不同，导致地区经济发展对各影响因素的敏感度不同，不同影响因素对同一地区经济发展水平的影响不同，同一影响因素对不同地区的影响也不同。
[Abstract]:Deepening in the participation in the world economy, the depth, breadth expansion under the background of China's industrialization, city, continue to promote the marketization and internationalization of the economy, but a series of resources, structural and social problems gradually highlight, the traditional mode of economic development has been unable to meet the requirements of the development, and has become a decisive obstacle to sustainable development. In order to ensure the comprehensive economic and social development, health, sustainability, to seek a more scientific, more in line with the characteristics of the era of economic development. Therefore, our country actively explore constantly change the mode of economic development, Congress report put forward the concept of the transformation of the mode of economic development "," 12th Five-Year "planning put forward to accelerate the transformation of the mode of economic development", "Eighteen" report further stressed that "the theme of scientific development, to accelerate the transformation of the economic development "Pattern is the main line, and it is a strategic choice that concerns the overall development of our country." so far, our economy has entered a critical period of strategic transformation to accelerate the transformation of economic development mode as a general direction after 30 years of rapid growth.
This paper from the view of the situation at home and abroad, the connotation of the transformation of economic development mode, accelerate the necessity and the power structure of the transformation of economic development mode of theoretical analysis, followed by the use of software SAS9.1 and ArcGIS10.0, using principal component analysis, grey correlation analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis and Geographic weighted regression analysis method, the transformation of economic development mode in 2000~2011 years of longitudinal, dynamic evaluation trend, in 2011 China's 31 provinces in the mainland, the performance change of the autonomous region's economic development mode of lateral, regional differences. Through the evaluation of the static evaluation, we draw the following conclusions:
(1) China's economy after 2002 to 2007 after the high-speed development, strategic transformation into the stage, influencing factors on the transformation of the economic development mode, the largest contribution to protect the livelihood of change in the degree of marketization of the mode of economic development, technological innovation and urban structure, resources and environment, demand structure, economic benefits and the industrial structure of ranking on the list.
(2) in 2011, China's provinces, the autonomous region's economic development level has significant spatial variability, the specific performance of strong spatial agglomeration, high value area distribution in the Yangtze River Delta region and the Beijing Tianjin region, the hot zone is basically the coastal area and its adjacent areas, hot zone surrounding attachment in the hot zone, a few central most of the west area and cold area.
(3) indices exist spatial dependence (agglomeration) and heterogeneity (spatial anomaly), the apparent "high high" and "low - low" spatial agglomeration at the same time, there are also "high low" dependent spatial anomaly; indices of cold and hot spots of flaky points cloth, specific spatial distribution is different.
(4) the economic benefits, factors affecting the industrial structure together determine economic development spatial pattern. Regional economic base, the system of government, resources and geographical conditions and other factors, resulting in regional economic development of various factors to the sensitivity of the different effect of different factors on the level of economic development in the same area with different factors an impact of the different regions are also different.

【学位授予单位】：安徽工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F121

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