全球化将进入更稳健的全球管理新常态

发布时间：2018-01-12 12:21

本文关键词：全球化将进入更稳健的全球管理新常态　出处：《新金融》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：2007年全球金融危机发生后,跨境资本流动已经崩溃,贸易停滞不前,只有跨境人员流动仍在增长。尽管当前的金融全球化程度比危机前要低,但称之为"去全球化"并不合适,而应是"更稳健的全球管理"。外国直接投资占跨境资本流动的份额更大;贸易数据并不像表面上那样令人担忧;跨境人员流动增速一直超过人口增速;数据、新闻、娱乐等都在互联网上实现了全球共享,且规模远远超过传统的跨境互动形式,数字全球化对增长的影响力比商品贸易更大。全球化只会变化,不会停滞,更不会逆转,全球管理的新常态也将更健康。
[Abstract]:In 2007, after the global financial crisis, cross-border capital flows had collapsed, trade had stagnated, and only cross-border flows of people were still growing, although the current level of financial globalization was lower than it had been before the crisis. But it is not appropriate to call it "deglobalisation", but rather "more robust global governance". Foreign direct investment (FDI) accounts for a larger share of cross-border capital flows; The trade figures are not as worrisome as they appear; Cross-border mobility of people has been growing faster than population growth; Data, news, entertainment and so on have been shared globally on the Internet, and on a much larger scale than traditional cross-border interactions, digital globalization has a greater impact on growth than trade in goods. Globalization will only change. There will be no stagnation and no reversal, and the new normal of global governance will be healthier.
【作者单位】：美国对外关系委员会;
【分类号】：F114.41
【正文快照】： 无论是赞成者还是反对者,人们都认为冷战结束之后的20年是全球化的时代。因为在此期间,资本、商品、人员的跨境流动稳步扩大。1989年,柏林墙倒塌。2007年,全球金融危机爆发。在这两件大事之间,国际资本流动占全球GDP的比例从5%上升到21%;贸易占比从39%上升到59%;同时,生活在出

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