财政支出有偏性对经济结构失衡的长期与短期效应分析

发布时间：2018-01-12 12:38

本文关键词：财政支出有偏性对经济结构失衡的长期与短期效应分析　出处：《财经论丛》2017年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：当前我国经济面临严峻的下行压力,经济结构失衡问题愈为凸显。本文从财政政策的视角,探求地方政府财政支出有偏性与经济结构失衡之间的关系。文章以省际面板数据为数据源,通过建立面板模型和面板向量自回归模型,考察了财政支出结构与经济结构之间的长期关系,并分析了财政支出变动对经济结构造成的短期动态冲击效应。研究认为,长期看我国的财政支出有偏性与经济结构失衡之间存在相关性,并且公共投资促进了社会总投资的增加,但对居民消费和劳动报酬相对份额的提高具有抑制作用。在短期内,公共投资对社会总投资有正向的冲击作用,而对劳动者报酬有负向的冲击作用。最后,文章提出了结构性减少公共投资等政策建议。
[Abstract]:At present, China's economy is facing severe downward pressure, and the imbalance of economic structure is becoming more prominent. This article from the perspective of fiscal policy. This paper explores the relationship between the bias of local government fiscal expenditure and the imbalance of economic structure. This paper takes the inter-provincial panel data as the data source and establishes the panel model and the panel vector autoregressive model. This paper examines the long-term relationship between fiscal expenditure structure and economic structure, and analyzes the short-term dynamic impact of the change of fiscal expenditure on economic structure. In the long run, there is a correlation between the bias of fiscal expenditure and the imbalance of economic structure, and public investment promotes the increase of total social investment. In the short term, public investment has a positive impact on the total social investment, but a negative impact on the remuneration of workers. Finally. This paper puts forward some policy suggestions such as structural reduction of public investment.
【作者单位】：西南财经大学财政与税务学院;安徽大学商学院;四川天和汇智工程咨询有限公司;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金资助项目(15ZDA016) 教育部规划项目(15YJA790061)
【分类号】：F812.45;F121
【正文快照】： 一、导言虽然我国经济经过几十年的高速发展取得了举世瞩目的成就,经济总量已跃居世界前列。但是我国近年来一直面临着严峻的下行压力。国际方面,在美国经济复苏乏力、欧元区经济疲软、日本安倍经济学失效、其他各国经济普遍低于预期的形势下,我国出口动力不断减弱。而地缘政

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