石家庄市土地资源对经济承载力的影响分析

发布时间：2018-01-13 08:16

  本文关键词：石家庄市土地资源对经济承载力的影响分析　出处：《河北经贸大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

  更多相关文章： 土地资源 经济承载力 评价指标体系 回归模型

【摘要】：土地是一切资源和环境的重要载体,解决人地矛盾、提高土地利用效率、实现土地资源可持续发展对于社会经济的快速发展、提高城市的经济承载力具有显著意义。本文在承载力概念的研究基础上,尝试将经济承载力概念界定为:一个地区,在其现有的人口、资源、生态以及社会经济发展条件下,所有生产要素组合可以承受的最优经济规模,代表着一个地区的经济发展规模与实际状况的匹配程度,并选用国内生产总值GDP作为经济承载力的研究指标,立足于相关理论,在参考前人研究成果的基础上,综合运用描述性统计和推断性统计,对石家庄市土地资源利用现状及其对经济承载力的影响进行研究。本文从生产力、生产稳定性、经济可行性、资源保护性、社会可接受性等五方面入手,综合考虑对土地资源利用具有显著影响作用的各个因素,建立土地资源利用的评价指标体系,共包括5个一级指标、22个二级指标。根据指标体系,对包括石家庄、邯郸、保定、唐山、太原、郑州以及济南在内的七个城市进行比较分析,根据综合评价结果指出石家庄市在土地利用方面存在的诸多问题。依据相关经济发展理论,构建国内生产总值GDP测算模型,通过用1996—2012年间石家庄市国民生产总值与土地资源相关指标数据作为样本,运用Eviews软件建立回归模型,并将2013年、2014年两年的相关指标数据带入模型,得到测算值,与GDP实际值进行比较分析,结果显示,测算值与实际值的差值比分别为-1.27%、-2.21%,一方面显示出模型误差较小,模型具有一定的可行性;另一方面,预测值均小于实际值,说明石家庄市明确在土地资源利用方面还存在一定的不足,对经济的发展还有一定的限制,同时也说明提高土地资源利用效率,实现土地可持续利用发展,对于石家庄经济承载力的提高、经济发展速度的加快具有明显的促进作用。
[Abstract]:Land is an important carrier of all the resources and the environment, to solve the contradiction between people and land, improve land use efficiency, realize the sustainable development of land resources for the rapid development of social economy, improve significantly the bearing capacity of the city economy. Based on the study of the concept of carrying capacity, to economic capacity is defined as a region in the existing population, resources, ecology, and social and economic development under the condition of optimum economic scale of all production factors combination can withstand, the matching degree represents a region's economic development scale and the actual situation, and the gross domestic product GDP as the research index of economic carrying capacity, based on the related theories, in based on the results of previous studies, using descriptive statistics and inferential statistics, influence on the present situation of land resources utilization in Shijiazhuang city and the economic bearing capacity This article from the productivity, production stability, economic feasibility, resource protection, social acceptability of the five aspects of the comprehensive consideration of various factors have significant influence on the use of land resources, the establishment of land resources utilization evaluation index system, including 5 level indicators, 22 level two indexes according to. The index system, including Shijiazhuang, Handan, Baoding, Tangshan, Taiyuan, compared seven city of Zhengzhou and Ji'nan, according to the comprehensive evaluation result shows that there are many problems in the aspects of land use in Shijiazhuang city. According to the relevant theory of economic development, construct the GDP calculation model of GDP, by 1996 - 2012 years in Shijiazhuang the relevant indicators of GDP and land resources as the sample data, using Eviews software to establish the regression model, and the related data in 2014 2013, two years Into the model, the estimated value and the actual value of GDP were compared, results show that the calculation value and the actual value of the difference between the ratios of -1.27%, -2.21%, on the one hand shows the model error is small, the model is feasible; on the other hand, the predicted values are less than the actual value, Shijiazhuang city land resources in the clear the area also has some shortages, for economic development and a certain limit, also improve the utilization of land resources, realize the sustainable utilization of land for development, Shijiazhuang economic capacity, by accelerating pace of economic development has a significant effect.

【学位授予单位】：河北经贸大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127;F301.2
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本文编号：1418194