广东省消费结构演变趋势及升级研究

发布时间：2018-01-17 01:25

本文关键词：广东省消费结构演变趋势及升级研究　出处：《广东省社会科学院》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：“十二五”时期，扩大内需，特别是扩大消费需求，是广东加快转变经济发展方式的重要内容。从人均GDP发展水平看，当前，广东已进入7000—10000美元发展阶段。按照国际经验，这一阶段是消费需求特别是舒适型、发展型消费需求大幅提升的关键时期，但广东消费占GDP比重却长期偏低，有众多因素制约着广东消费结构的加快升级。如何引导和培育形成新的消费热点，破除制约广东消费结构升级的政策、体制和环境障碍，因势利导推动形成与广东产业结构相匹配的消费结构，是值得深入研究的重大课题。本研究以消费经济学、统计学等多学科理论为指导，综合使用定性和定量分析的研究方法，以消费结构为切入点，以广东居民为依托，分析广东城乡居民从改革开放以来的消费结构演变趋势，结合分析西方发达国家比较成熟的消费结构演变趋势、促进消费结构升级的政策措施，，以此预测广东消费结构的发展趋势，为政府促进消费结构更健康有序的转型升级提出政策建议。本研究的主要结论包括：改革开放以来，广东居民消费结构特征变化显著，生活必需品等生存型消费支出在总消费支出中的比重明显减少，享受发展型消费支出在消费支出中所占比重不断提高。政府应制定相应的政策鼓励生产创新、技术创新和金融创新来扩大居民的总体消费力。随着信息网络新产品、新技术、新服务层出不穷，信息消费迅速成为新一轮的消费热点。广东应加快产业结构调整，促进信息化与工业化相融合，促进信息消费。随着大力发展低碳经济，实施绿色发展战略，以节能、降耗、环保为代表的绿色环保产品在消费领域的比重上升，新的绿色产品消费时期将会到来。政府应出台相应补贴或奖励政策，对高端新型电子信息、LED、新能源汽车等高端产品加大补贴，同时也应鼓励居民对节能家电、小排量汽车和高效电机等产品的消费。随着经济全球化的进一步发展，我国商品市场的进一步开放，居民消费国际化趋势进一步增强，进入广东的中高档消费品不断增加，广东居民将面对更加国际化的消费环境。应加强消费市场监管，维护消费权益，为消费结构优化升级提供制度上的保障。本研究的创新之处： 1、较系统和完整地分析研究了广东城乡居民的消费结构演变规律及演变特征。 2、运用定性与定量相结合的方法预测了“十二五”时期广东消费结构的变化趋势。 3、指出了制约广东消费结构升级的各种制约因素和障碍。 4、提出了促进广东消费结构升级的新观点、新对策。
[Abstract]:During the 12th Five-Year Plan period, the expansion of domestic demand, especially the expansion of consumer demand, is an important part of Guangdong's accelerated transformation of its economic development mode. Guangdong has entered the development stage of 7000-10000 US dollars. According to international experience, this stage is the key period for the consumption demand, especially the comfortable type, and the developmental consumption demand to be greatly enhanced. However, the proportion of Guangdong consumption in GDP has been on the low side for a long time, there are many factors restricting Guangdong consumption structure to accelerate upgrading. How to guide and cultivate the formation of new consumption hot spots, and break down the policy that restricts Guangdong consumption structure upgrading. Institutional and environmental obstacles, which promote the formation of consumption structure in line with Guangdong's industrial structure, are important topics worthy of further study. This study is guided by multi-disciplinary theories such as consumer economics, statistics and so on, comprehensively using qualitative and quantitative research methods, taking consumption structure as the breakthrough point and relying on Guangdong residents. This paper analyzes the trend of consumption structure evolution of urban and rural residents in Guangdong since the reform and opening up, combined with the analysis of the more mature trend of consumption structure in western developed countries, and the policies and measures to promote the upgrading of consumption structure. In order to predict the development trend of consumption structure in Guangdong Province, the author puts forward some policy suggestions for the government to promote the transformation and upgrading of consumption structure in a more healthy and orderly manner. The main conclusions of this study include: Since the reform and opening up, the characteristics of Guangdong residents' consumption structure have changed significantly, and the proportion of subsistence consumption expenditure, such as necessities of life, in the total consumption expenditure has obviously decreased. The government should formulate corresponding policies to encourage production innovation, technological innovation and financial innovation to expand the overall consumption power of residents. With the emergence of new products, new technologies and new services of information network, information consumption has become a new consumption hot spot. Guangdong should speed up the adjustment of industrial structure and promote the integration of information and industrialization. Promoting information consumption. With the development of low-carbon economy and the implementation of green development strategy, the proportion of green environmental protection products represented by energy saving, consumption reduction and environmental protection has increased. The new green product consumption period will come. The government should introduce the corresponding subsidy or incentive policy, increase subsidies to high-end products such as high-end electronic information, new energy vehicles and so on. Residents should also be encouraged to consume energy-efficient appliances, small-displacement cars and efficient motors. With the further development of economic globalization, the further opening of China's commodity market, the trend of consumption internationalization of residents is further enhanced, and the number of high-end consumer goods entering Guangdong is increasing. Guangdong residents will face a more international consumption environment. We should strengthen the supervision of the consumer market, maintain consumer rights and interests, and provide institutional protection for the optimization and upgrading of consumption structure. The innovations of this study are as follows: 1. The evolvement law and characteristics of consumption structure of urban and rural residents in Guangdong are analyzed systematically and completely. 2. The change trend of Guangdong's consumption structure during the 12th Five-Year Plan period is predicted by combining qualitative and quantitative methods. 3, pointed out all kinds of restriction factors and obstacles that restrict Guangdong consumption structure upgrade. 4, put forward the new viewpoint of promoting Guangdong consumption structure upgrade, new countermeasure.
【学位授予单位】：广东省社会科学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F126.1

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