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中国省际资源环境绩效评估及影响因素研究

发布时间:2018-01-19 13:13

  本文关键词: 资源环境绩效 动态绩效 参数面板模型 非参数面板模型 出处:《厦门大学》2014年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文


【摘要】:为了实现我国经济和社会可持续发展的重要任务,我国将建设资源节约型、环境友好型社会(简称“两型社会”)作为一项长期的重大战略。它要求在社会生产和消费的各个方面,都能以最小的资源环境成本为代价获得最大的经济利益和社会效益。因此,提高和改善资源环境绩效是建设节约型社会的核心和关键。本文旨在通过建立一套科学评价我国各地区资源环境绩效水平的评价体系来达到真实反映我国“两型社会”的建设状况,同时还研究经济、区域、人口等因素对于资源环境绩效水平的影响,为如何更好建设“两型社会”提供参考。 在此背景下,本文采用动态绩效评价方法改进了资源环境绩效表达式,评估了各省2003-2012年的资源环境绩效指数,然后对各省资源环境绩效水平进行收敛性检验,并对其变化趋势及空间差异进行分析。最后,运用参数面板模型与非参数面板模型,实证分析了地区GDP、产业结构、国际贸易、人口密度等指标对于资源环境绩效的影响,就实证的结果给出针对性的改善建议,并对未来的研究方向进行了展望。 论文主要结论有:1)我国的资源环境绩效水平从空间分布的角度来看,呈现从东到西逐级降低的特点。2)收敛性检验可以得到东部和西部地区的资源环境绩效水平的内部差异随时间推移没有消除的趋势,而中部地区则存在一定程度的收敛。3)经济的健康发展与否是当前资源环境绩效的决定因素。4)国际贸易因素的分析中发现我国的不发达地区在一定程度上成为了“污染避难所” 论文可能的创新点主要有:1)采用动态绩效评价方法评价我国各省级单位资源环境绩效水平,并运用收敛性检验考察其收敛性;2)采用非参数面板模型对于资源环境绩效影响因素进行分析研究,相对与参数面板模型提高了模型拟合优度,同时更深入分析了参数估计结果,不仅分析了资源环境绩效与GDP、产业结构、国际贸易、技术水平等因素的关系,还考察了这些因素之间的相互影响作用。
[Abstract]:In order to realize the important task of sustainable economic and social development of our country, our country will build the resource-saving type. Environmental friendly society (referred to as "two-oriented society") as a long-term important strategy, it requires in all aspects of social production and consumption. Are able to achieve the greatest economic and social benefits at the cost of minimum resource and environmental costs. To improve and improve the performance of resources and environment is the core and key of building a conservation-oriented society. This paper aims to establish a scientific evaluation system to evaluate the performance of resources and environment in various regions of China to truly reflect our country. " The construction of a two-oriented society. At the same time, the influence of economic, regional and population factors on the performance level of resources and environment is also studied, which provides a reference for how to better build a "two-oriented society". In this context, this paper uses the dynamic performance evaluation method to improve the expression of resource and environment performance, and evaluates the resource and environment performance index of each province from 2003 to 2012. Then we test the convergence of the provincial resource and environment performance level, and analyze the change trend and spatial difference. Finally, we use the parametric panel model and non-parametric panel model to analyze the regional GDP empirically. The effects of industrial structure, international trade and population density on the performance of resources and environment are discussed. The main conclusion of the paper is: 1) the performance level of China's resources and environment is viewed from the perspective of spatial distribution. The convergence test shows that the internal differences in the performance level of resources and environment in the eastern and western regions have not been eliminated with the passage of time. 2) the convergence test shows that the internal differences in the performance levels of the resources and environment in the eastern and western regions have not been eliminated over time. The central region has a certain degree of convergence. 3) the healthy development of the economy is the decisive factor of the current resource and environmental performance. 4). From the analysis of the factors of international trade, it is found that the underdeveloped areas of our country have to some extent become "pollution shelters". The possible innovation points of this paper are: (1) using dynamic performance evaluation method to evaluate the level of resource and environment performance of provincial units in China, and using convergence test to investigate its convergence; 2) the non-parametric panel model is used to analyze the influencing factors of resource and environment performance, which improves the goodness of fit of the model relative to the parametric panel model, and further analyzes the results of parameter estimation. This paper not only analyzes the relationship between resource and environmental performance and factors such as GDP, industrial structure, international trade and technology level, but also examines the interaction between these factors.
【学位授予单位】:厦门大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:X24;F124.5

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