基于ESDA-GWR方法的广东省收入差距空间演化及影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-01-19 22:46

  本文关键词： 广东 收入差距 探索性空间数据分析 地理加权回归 影响因素　出处：《商业研究》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在考虑空间异质性和缩小研究区域细化研究尺度的基础上,本文以广东省21个地市为研究单元,运用ESDA方法证明1980-2015年广东省各地收入水平存在显著空间自相关性:从局部自相关角度看,广东省各地市收入水平仍然存在较大差距,高-高收入集群与低-低收入集群距离较远,多年来变化不大;高收入群对低收入群有一定影响,对低收入集群没有明显影响。通过地理加权回归得出结论,全球化、市场化、区位、地方分权是导致广东收入不平等的主要原因。在单一变量GWR中,1995-2015年市场化和地方分权对广东省收入水平作用效果呈"倒U型",城镇化作用加剧了地区收入差距;在多变量GWR中,市场化和地方分权的"倒U型"变化趋势有所弱化,城镇化水平却表现出了"U型"变化趋势,且影响区域收入水平的效果被强化。
[Abstract]:On the basis of considering spatial heterogeneity and reducing the size of the study area, 21 cities in Guangdong Province are taken as the research units in this paper. ESDA method is used to prove that there is a significant spatial autocorrelation between 1980 and 2015. From the perspective of local autocorrelation, there is still a large gap in income levels in various cities in Guangdong Province. The distance between the high-high-income cluster and the low-income cluster is far, and the change is not obvious over the years. The high income group has certain influence on the low income group, but has no obvious influence on the low income cluster. Decentralization is the main cause of income inequality in Guangdong Province. In the single variable GWR, the effect of marketization and local decentralization on Guangdong income level from 1995 to 2015 is "inverted U-shaped". The role of urbanization has aggravated the regional income gap; In multivariable GWR, the trend of "inverted U type" of marketization and decentralization has been weakened, but the level of urbanization has shown a trend of "U-type", and the effect of affecting regional income level has been strengthened.
【作者单位】： 吉林大学东北亚研究院;
【分类号】：F124.7
【正文快照】： 一、引言改革开放以来,广东省连续30年经济体量排名全国第一。依据世界银行对收入水平的划分标准,2015年广东省人均GDP为10838美元,实现了中等偏上收入水平。事实上,广东省内收入差距依旧很大,珠三角地区与广东省其余地区的绝对收入差距持续扩大。自20世纪50年代以来,新古典主，

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