中国对缅甸直接投资的贸易效应研究

发布时间：2018-01-26 23:31

本文关键词： 中国对缅甸直接投资中缅双边贸易贸易效应　出处：《云南财经大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：国际贸易与国际直接投资作为国家间至关重要的经济往来手段,在国与国的经济联系中发挥着不容小觑的作用。随着经济全球化的发展,大型跨国公司的诞生,国际直接投资也日渐发挥出更为重要的作用。经济全球化的进一步发展,催生出越来越多的跨国公司,国际直接投资的关键效用也日渐凸显。我国从上世纪七十年代推行改革开放以来,经济保持了健康高速的发展,综合国力大幅提升,与之前更加重视“引进来”的经贸政策相比,越来越重视“走出去”。积极发展对外直接投资对我国经济健康发展具有重要的战略意义。“一带一路”战略所倡导的化解国内产能过剩、促进中国企业“走出去”,对于促进经济发展方式改变与产业结构转型,拓展中国经济发展空间、保障国内经济持续健康发展、解决中国区域经济发展不均衡问题具有重要意义。缅甸具有优越的地理位置,地处南亚、东南亚的交汇点,从中国通过陆路进入印度洋,缅甸便是最优选择。“一带一路”中提到的“21世界海上丝绸之路”与“丝绸之路经济带”的两大方向的关节点也恰恰是缅甸所处的位置。并且除了地理方面的优势外,缅甸也拥有丰富的水电、矿产、燃气等重要的资源以及劳动力方面的优势,从资源禀赋与产业结构方面来看,中缅两国互补性很强。大力发展同缅甸的经贸投资关系,对于促进我国经济发展与巩固我国东南亚战略安全有着非同一般的意义。传统的国际投资理论认为,一国对另一国的对外直接投资会对两国间的进出口贸易产生影响。本文结合中缅两国经贸关系的事实,首先对中国对缅甸直接投资的现状、结构以及存在的风险进行了详细的分析,而后对中国与缅甸双边贸易的现状、结构以及存在的问题进行了仔细的研究。然后将直接投资与双边贸易的数据相结合通过实证检验的方法来分析中国对缅甸直接投资对贸易在长期以及短期中所发挥出的效用。通过实证检验结果可以看出,从长期来看中国对缅甸的直接投资对于中缅双边贸易起到促进性的作用。在文章的最后,按照国别从缅甸宏观的角度以及中国宏观、微观角度针对中国对缅甸直接投资提出具有针对性的建议与对策。希望能够更好地促进中国对缅甸的直接投资,并且在此基础上推进中缅双边贸易健康、协调、可持续地发展。
[Abstract]:International trade and international direct investment (FDI), as the most important means of economic communication between countries, play an important role in the economic relations between countries. With the development of economic globalization, the birth of large transnational corporations. With the further development of economic globalization, more and more multinational corporations are born. Since the implementation of reform and opening up in -30s, China's economy has maintained a healthy and high-speed development, and the overall national strength has been greatly improved. Compared with the previous economic and trade policy of "bringing in" more attention. More and more attention has been paid to "going out" and active development of foreign direct investment is of strategic significance to the healthy development of our economy. The "Belt and Road" strategy advocates the solution of overcapacity in China. Promoting the "going out" of Chinese enterprises will promote the transformation of economic development mode and industrial structure, expand the space for China's economic development, and ensure the sustained and healthy development of the domestic economy. It is of great significance to solve the problem of uneven regional economic development in China. Myanmar has a superior geographical position and is located at the intersection of South Asia and Southeast Asia, from China to the Indian Ocean by land. Myanmar is the best choice. The "21st Maritime Silk Road" and the "Silk Road Economic Belt" referred to in "Belt and Road" The two main directions of Burma are precisely where Myanmar is located. And in addition to geographical advantages. Myanmar also has a wealth of hydropower, minerals, gas and other important resources as well as labor advantages, from the perspective of resource endowment and industrial structure. China and Myanmar are highly complementary. It is of great significance to promote China's economic development and consolidate China's strategic security in Southeast Asia by vigorously developing economic and trade investment relations with Myanmar, according to the traditional international investment theory. Foreign direct investment from one country to another will have an impact on the import and export trade between the two countries. This paper combines the facts of the economic and trade relations between China and Myanmar, first of all, the current situation of China's direct investment in Myanmar. The structure and the existing risks are analyzed in detail, and then the current situation of bilateral trade between China and Myanmar is analyzed. The structure and the existing problems are carefully studied. Then, combining the data of direct investment and bilateral trade, the empirical test is used to analyze the long-term and short-term development of china's direct investment in Myanmar. The effectiveness of swing. Through the empirical test results can be seen. In the long run, China's direct investment in Myanmar plays a facilitating role in bilateral trade between China and Myanmar. At the end of the article, according to the country from the perspective of Myanmar macro as well as China macro. Aiming at China's direct investment in Myanmar, this paper puts forward some suggestions and countermeasures from a micro perspective. I hope to promote China's direct investment in Myanmar better, and on this basis to promote the healthy and coordinated bilateral trade between China and Myanmar. Sustainable development.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F125;F752.7

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