东西部地区政府投资对私人投资挤出效应的研究

发布时间：2018-02-04 03:39

本文关键词： 东西部地区政府投资私人投资挤出效应影响因素　出处：《西安电子科技大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：在当今世界,财政政策日益成为世界各国政府进行宏观调控的重要经济杠杆之一。由于财政政策的局限性,会导致相应的弊端。其中弊端之一,便是政府投资对私人投资产生的挤出效应。我国的财政政策也不例外,积极的财政政策导致挤出效应,并且关于这方面的研究成为热点,不断发展。研究政府投资和私人投资的影响关系不仅对我国的投资水平和效率有重要意义,对我国经济的稳定、健康发展也至关重要。由于发展水平、资源条件、区域位置等方面的差异,我国经济区域进行了区域划分。国内外对政府投资与私人投资的关系问题已有不少研究,但是大部分是对某一个国家或某一个地区总体进行的研究,而很少针对我国经济转型时期以及我国具体的实际情况进行明确的研究;研究内容上看,大部分都是通过数据进行实证分析得出挤出效应的结果,而没有进行结果产生的原因探究,并为东西部地区政府投资和私人投资和谐共存,以及经济稳定健康发展提供相应的政策建议。本文对东西部地区的挤出效应以及影响因素进行了研究,主要研究内容和成果有:1.通过国内外研究状况和成果的参阅和评价,结合当前我国经济发展中出现的热点问题,拟定研究主题;2.对政府投资、私人投资和挤出效应进行内涵界定,研究相互之间的关系,即政府投资对私人投资有三种影响:挤出效应、挤入效应、无影响;3.采用向量自回归方法分别对东西部地区政府投资对私人投资挤出效应的实证分析,结果表明东部地区政府投资对私人投资有挤出效应,且挤出程度较大,而西部地区政府投资对私人投资有挤入效应,但挤入程度较小;4.运用多元回归方法来进行东西部地区政府投资对私人投资产生不同挤出效应的原因,从产业结构、所有制结构、储蓄率和利率水平四个因素入手,分别对东西部地区进行线性回归分析,结果表明储蓄率和利率水平均对东西部地区政府投资对私人投资的挤出效应无显著影响,而东部地区的挤出效应是所有制结构导致,而西部地区较小的挤入效应是因为产业结构不合理及发展水平较低所致;5.针对东西部地区挤出效应的实证分析和各自影响因素的实证研究,提出相关政策建议,提出东部地区进行所有制改革,刺激社会资本的活力,促进各种资本共同发展;西部地区进行产业结构的升级和改善。本文的主要贡献是分区域对挤出效应进行对比分析研究,并对影响挤出效应的因素进行探究,从而提出具有针对性的、明确的政策建议以促进我国不同区域政府投资和私人投资的良好互动,从而促进我国经济稳定、健康地发展。
[Abstract]:In today's world, fiscal policy has increasingly become one of the important economic levers for governments in the world to carry out macro-control. Due to the limitation of fiscal policy, it will lead to the corresponding malpractice, one of which is malpractice. It is the crowding-out effect of government investment on private investment. The fiscal policy of our country is no exception, the positive fiscal policy leads to the crowding out effect, and the research on this aspect has become a hot spot. The study of the relationship between government investment and private investment is not only of great significance to the investment level and efficiency of our country, but also to the stability and healthy development of our economy. Resources conditions, regional location and other differences, China's economic regions have been divided into regions. At home and abroad on the relationship between government investment and private investment has been a lot of research. However, most of the research on a certain country or a region as a whole, and rarely on the economic transition period and China's specific actual situation of a clear study; In terms of research content, most of the results of extrusion effect are obtained through empirical analysis of data, but the reasons for the result are not explored, and the harmonious coexistence of government investment and private investment in the eastern and western regions. As well as the stable and healthy development of the economy to provide corresponding policy recommendations. This paper studies the extrusion effect and influencing factors in the eastern and western regions. The main research contents and achievements are as follows: 1.Through consulting and evaluating the domestic and foreign research situation and achievements, and combining the hot issues in the current economic development of our country, we formulate the research theme; 2. Define the connotation of government investment, private investment and crowding-out effect, and study the relationship between them, that is, government investment has three kinds of effects on private investment: crowding-in effect, crowd-in effect and no influence; 3. The empirical analysis of the effect of government investment on private investment in the eastern and western regions by using vector autoregressive method shows that the government investment in the eastern region has crowding-out effect on private investment, and the degree of crowding out is greater. However, government investment in the western region has a crowding effect on private investment, but the degree of crowding in is relatively small. 4.Using multiple regression method to analyze the causes of different crowding out effects of government investment on private investment in the eastern and western regions, starting with four factors: industrial structure, ownership structure, savings rate and interest rate level. The linear regression analysis shows that both the savings rate and the interest rate have no significant influence on the crowding out effect of government investment on private investment in the eastern and western regions. The extrusion effect in the eastern region is caused by the ownership structure, while the small crowding effect in the western region is due to the unreasonable industrial structure and the low level of development. 5. Based on the empirical analysis of the crowding out effect in the eastern and western regions and the empirical study of their respective influencing factors, the paper puts forward the relevant policy recommendations, and puts forward the ownership reform in the eastern region to stimulate the vitality of social capital. To promote the common development of all kinds of capital; The main contribution of this paper is to make a comparative analysis of the extrusion effect in different regions, and to explore the factors that affect the extrusion effect. The explicit policy suggestions can promote the good interaction between government investment and private investment in different regions of China, thus promoting the economic stability and healthy development of our country.
【学位授予单位】：西安电子科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

【相似文献】