公共财政对居民消费需求的影响研究

发布时间：2018-02-22 22:15

本文关键词： 公共财政居民消费需求拉动内需　出处：《云南财经大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：消费需求是带动一国经济发展的不可忽视的动力源泉。近几年来，我国经济增长的重要支柱却是“投资”和“出口”。当“投资”与“出口”冷却之际，中国经济的增长需要寻求突破口，我们把目光投向了消费。消费拉动经济可以为经济带来持久的动力，并可以解决目前经济中出现的一些问题。而要想带动消费需求，其中不可忽视的则是居民的消费需求。我们是一个拥有13亿人口的大国，但是居民的消费对经济的贡献力量却很薄弱。为了释放居民消费应有的能量，为了使我国经济转入到另一个加速增长的轨道，我们研究公共财政对居民消费需求影响的问题，考察公共财政与居民消费需求的内在联系,为中央优化公共财政的结构和带动经济持续发展提供重要依据。研究公共财政对居民消费需求影响的问题，我们从城市居民和农村居民两个方向入手，不仅分析总量上的公共财政与城乡居民消费需求的关系，而且还分析结构上的公共财政对城乡居民消费需求的潜在影响。本文通过1978年到2011年我国时间序列数据进行实证研究，通过横向和纵向的比较得到：对于城镇居民而言，公共财政与消费需求呈现了“替代关系”，政府加大对文教、科技与卫生支出、社会保障支出和其他支出的投入可以拉动居民的消费需求。对于农村居民而言，当期的公共财政与居民消费呈现“替代关系”，而滞后一期的公共财政则与居民消费呈现“互补关系”，政府加大对基本建设支出、支农支出、文教、社会保障支出和科技与卫生的支出可以起到带动农村居民消费的需求。
[Abstract]:Consumption demand is the driving force that can not be ignored to drive a country's economic development. In recent years, the important pillar of our country's economic growth is "investment" and "export". When "investment" and "export" cool down, The growth of China's economy needs to seek a breakthrough, and we have turned our attention to consumption. The consumer-driven economy can bring lasting impetus to the economy, and it can solve some of the problems that have arisen in the current economy. But if we want to drive consumer demand, We are a large country with a population of 1.3 billion, but the contribution of consumption to the economy is very weak. In order to release the energy due to residents' consumption, and to turn our country's economy into another track of accelerated growth, we study the impact of public finance on the consumption demand of residents, and examine the internal relationship between public finance and residents' consumption demand. To provide an important basis for the central authorities to optimize the structure of public finance and drive the sustainable development of the economy. To study the impact of public finance on the consumption demand of residents, we start from the two directions of urban and rural residents. This paper not only analyzes the relationship between the total amount of public finance and the consumption demand of urban and rural residents, but also analyzes the potential influence of structural public finance on the consumption demand of urban and rural residents. Based on the empirical study of China's time series data from 1978 to 2011, this paper draws a conclusion through horizontal and vertical comparison: for urban residents, the public finance and consumption demand show a "substitute relationship", and the government increases the education and culture. Spending on science, technology and health, social security and other expenditures can boost consumption demand. For rural residents, The public finance of the current period presents a "substitute relationship" with the resident consumption, while the lagging public finance presents a "complementary relationship" with the resident consumption, and the government increases the expenditure on capital construction, agricultural support, culture and education. Social security spending and spending on technology and health can drive rural residents' consumption.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F126.1;F812

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