延边州金融发展与经济增长关系实证分析研究

发布时间：2018-03-04 14:07

本文选题：延边州　切入点：经济增长　出处：《延边大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：金融是市场经济发展的产物,其本身也属于市场经济的一部分。从世界各国经济发展实践来看,经济增长和金融发展两者是相互促进、紧密联系的,经济增长最直接的表现形式就是货币的增长,从而带动金融规模的增长,同时,金融规模的增长和结构的改善又将通过货币这一纽带为经济增长的提供动力。延边地区作为经济欠发达的少数民族地区,经济发展水平和金融业发展水平都有待提高,而到底是经济发展水平制约金融业发展水平还是金融业发展水平制约经济发展水平?基于此因,本文运用现有较为成熟的金融发展和经济增长理论以及实证研究方法,研究延边州金融发展与经济增长之间的因果关系,并找出其中存在的问题,从而试图找到延边金融发展与经济增长均衡协调发展的政策建议。本文研究的主要内容是：本文运用严谨的计量分析方法深入研究延边州金融发展与经济增长二者之间的内在联系,经济增长采用地区GDP为衡量指标,金融发展则兼顾金融规模和金融效率两个方面,选用延边地区金融相关率、金融业从业人数占社会总就业人数比重以及金融资产投资转化率三个指标来衡量延边地区金融发展情况。运用单位根检验、Johansen协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应分析以及方差分解分析等计量分析方法,分析延边金融发展和经济增长之间的数量因果关系。通过分析发现,延边州金融业发展是经济增长的格兰杰原因,且二者之间仅存在单向因果联系,而更进一步发现,延边州金融规模的增长对经济增长的贡献最大,而金融效率则比较滞后,甚至在一定程度上制约了延边州经济的增长。由此可见,延边州金融发展存在比较明显的非均衡的结构性问题。
[Abstract]:Finance is the product of the development of the market economy, and it itself is also a part of the market economy. Judging from the economic development practice of various countries in the world, economic growth and financial development are mutually reinforcing and closely linked. The most direct form of economic growth is the growth of money, which leads to the growth of financial scale. At the same time, the growth of financial scale and the improvement of structure will provide the impetus for economic growth through the link of currency. Yanbian area as an underdeveloped minority areas, the level of economic development and financial development level needs to be improved, and whether the level of economic development restricts the level of financial development or the level of financial development to restrict the level of economic development. Based on this reason, this paper studies the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in Yanbian Prefecture, and finds out the existing problems by using the existing mature theories of financial development and economic growth as well as empirical research methods. This paper tries to find the policy recommendations for the balanced development of financial development and economic growth in Yanbian. The main contents of this paper are as follows:. This paper uses the rigorous econometric analysis method to deeply study the internal relation between the financial development and economic growth of Yanbian Prefecture. The economic growth adopts the regional GDP as the measurement index, while the financial development takes into account the financial scale and financial efficiency. In order to measure the financial development of Yanbian area, the financial correlation rate, the proportion of the number of people employed in the financial industry to total employment and the conversion rate of financial assets investment are selected to measure the financial development in Yanbian area, and the Johansen cointegration test is used to measure the financial development in Yanbian area. Granger causality test, impulse response analysis and variance decomposition analysis are used to analyze the quantitative causality between financial development and economic growth in Yanbian. The development of financial industry in Yanbian prefecture is the Granger cause of economic growth, and there is only a one-way causal relationship between them. Furthermore, it is found that the growth of financial scale in Yanbian prefecture contributes the most to economic growth, while the financial efficiency lags behind. Even to a certain extent, it restricts the economic growth of Yanbian prefecture, so it can be seen that there are obvious structural problems in the financial development of Yanbian Prefecture.
【学位授予单位】：延边大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.7;F127

【参考文献】