国际区域合作意愿的演化机理研究

发布时间：2018-03-08 14:32

本文选题：国际区域合作　切入点：合作意愿　出处：《长春工业大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着经济的不断发展,经济全球化的脚步不断加强,国际区域合作成为经济发展的必然趋势。尽管在诸多因素的影响下形成了国际区域合作,但是国际区域合作的达成最重要的前提是各参与区域合作中主体国的合作意愿趋于一致。所以,对于国际区域合作意愿演变规律的研究,有利于揭示区域合作的形成原理。国际区域合作主体国的合作意愿趋于一致性是由其固有合作偏好和合作主体国间相互作用决定的,其运动规律具有系统动力学的特征。本文分析了国际区域合作的意愿特征,并描汇了合作意愿演化的轨迹。在线性状态下,合作意愿演化轨迹是单一稳态。在非线性状态下,合作意愿演化是双稳定状态。当合作主体国的固有合作偏好小于临界点时,系统有唯一的均衡值。而固有合作偏好大于临界点时,两个合作主体国的合作可能会出现两次突变。而在多个合作主体国进行合作过程中,本文研究以两种结构下的三个合作主体国合作行为,分为互动结构和代理结构进行分析。当固有偏见差异△μ13很高而耦合度低于临界值时,互动结构中主体国1与主体国3之间的沟通的效力很小,因为他们合作意愿所在之处是在耦合力的末端。在这种情况下的互动结构,主体国之间的交流尤其是对于极端主体国之间的交流是一种浪费,而作为代理结构中主体国间沟通的效率更高,因为极端主体国之间是不交流的。当固有偏见△μ13是中等或偏低时,除了主体国2对主体国1、3的影响力外,主体国1和3之间都会受到彼此的影响。因此在考虑到哪种结构对减少意愿不一致性更具有效力的情况下,互动结构中的主体国之间影响力对极端主体国的影响力更大。本文研究发现的这些结论基本揭示了国际区域合作意愿的演化机理。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of economy and the strengthening of economic globalization, international regional cooperation has become an inevitable trend of economic development, although international regional cooperation has been formed under the influence of many factors. However, the most important prerequisite for the achievement of international regional cooperation is the convergence of the cooperation will of the main countries participating in the regional cooperation. Therefore, the study on the law of the evolution of international regional cooperation will be carried out. It is beneficial to reveal the formation principle of regional cooperation. The consistency of the cooperation will of the main countries of international regional cooperation is determined by their inherent preference for cooperation and the interaction between the main cooperating countries. The law of motion has the characteristics of system dynamics. In this paper, the willing characteristics of international regional cooperation are analyzed, and the trajectory of the evolution of cooperative willingness is described. In the linear state, the trajectory of cooperative willingness evolution is a single steady state, and in the nonlinear state, the trajectory of cooperative will evolution is a single steady state. When the inherent cooperation preference of the main cooperative state is less than the critical point, the system has a unique equilibrium value, while the inherent cooperation preference is greater than the critical point. There may be two mutations in the cooperation between the two main cooperative countries. In the process of cooperation between the two main cooperative countries, this paper studies the cooperative behavior of the three cooperative subject states under two kinds of structure. When the inherent bias difference 渭 13 is very high and the coupling degree is lower than the critical value, the effectiveness of communication between the subject country 1 and the subject country 3 in the interaction structure is very small. Because their willingness to cooperate is at the end of the coupling force. In this case, the interaction structure, the communication between the host countries, especially the exchanges between the extreme subject states, is a waste. As agent structure, the efficiency of communication between subject states is higher, because there is no communication between extreme subject states. When the inherent bias 渭 13 is medium or low, except for the influence of subject state 2 on subject state 1 / 3, Each of the host States 1 and 3 is affected by each other... therefore, taking into account which structure is more effective in reducing inconsistency of will, The influence of the subject states in the interaction structure is greater than that of the extreme subject states. These conclusions in this paper basically reveal the evolutionary mechanism of the willingness of international regional cooperation.
【学位授予单位】：长春工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F114.4

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