重庆市万州区城乡居民收入差距影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-03-09 12:07

本文选题：万州区　切入点：城乡居民　出处：《四川农业大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：城市与农村居民收入水平的差别一直是一个热点问题,它不仅仅是简单的经济问题或者社会问题,更是一个对我国未来的各项发展构成严峻挑战的政治问题。万州区作为重庆市第二大都市,城市与农村居民收入水平的差别大,区域发展不平衡,是西部地区的一个缩影,所以很有必要深入研究万州区城市与农村居民收入水平的差别的变化以及影响因素对其的作用机制。为了减少农村与城镇居民之间的收入上的较大水平的差别,应当着重于迅速提升农村居民的收入,使农村居民能够收入更多。这不但有利于万州区农村地区与城市地区的协调发展,并且对重庆市甚至是全国的城市与农村居民发展都具有重要的借鉴意义。本文在梳理前人学者有关研究成果的基础上,运用计量经济学分析方法,对1998至2012年重庆市万州区城市与农村居民收入水平的差别在时间序列上的变动特点,发展趋势以及其影响因素进行了实证研究。(1)对万州区城市与农村居民收入水平的差别的现状进行分析。分析结果表明,万州区城市与农村居民收入绝对差表现为不断的增大,收入比呈波动状态。对重庆市和全国城市与农村居民收入水平的差别的现状与万州区进行对比分析,分析结果表明万州区城市与农村居民收入水平的差别大致趋势与重庆保持一致,但是绝对差和收入比均略低于重庆市整体水平；相较于中国全国居民收入的平均值,万州区的城市以及农村居民的收入也比较稳定,大体与均值保持一致,绝对差低于全国城市与农村的居民收入水平,但是万州区城市与农村的居民收入比高于全国城市与农村的居民收入比。(2)对万州区城市居民和农村居民收入水平的差别影响因素进行分析。本文从工业化进程,城镇化率,经济发展状况,财政支出结构这四个方面进行研究,分别筛选了第二,三产业占产业总值百分比,非农村人口占总人口的百分比,地区生产总值,农业支出占财政支出的百分比四个因素,运用灰色关联模型,对所选的因子进行排序,经matlab计算,结果表明第二,三产业占产业总值百分比,非农人口占总人口比例,农业支出占财政支出为三个主要因素。运用多线性回归模型对选取因素进行分析,得出各个因素对城市居民和农村居民收入水平的差别的影响程度。回归结果表明,所有因素中,除了地区生产总值与万州区城市与农村居民收入比呈正相关,其余因素与万州区城市与农村居民收入比呈负相关。导致万州区的城市农村收入水平的差别的原因有很多,但是在这些因素中,最主要的还是第二,第三产业占产业总值的百分比,非农人口占总人口比重以及农业方面的支出占财政总支的百分比。(3)预测万州区城市与农村居民收入水平的差别的变动轨迹。运用灰色预测模型,对1998年至2012年的数据进行处理,结果表明,在接下来的五年里,万州区城市与农村居民收入水平的差别绝对差依然逐步扩大,收入比有逐步缩小的趋势,总体来说万州区城市与农村居民收入水平的差别有缩小的趋势。(4)提出了缩小万州区城乡居民收入差距的的对策建议。优化产业结构,加快工业化进程；破除城乡二元结构,加快城市化建设；加大对农业和农村的补贴力度,投入完善政策制度。
[Abstract]:City and rural residents' income difference has been a hot issue, it is not only a simple economic problem or social problems, is a severe challenge to China in the future development of the political issue. Wanzhou District of Chongqing city as the second city, city and rural residents' income difference, regional development don't balance, is a microcosm of the western region, so it is necessary to change factors in-depth study of Wanzhou District of the city and rural residents' income difference and its mechanism of action. In order to reduce the high level between rural and urban residents income on the difference, should focus on the income of rural residents increased rapidly so, rural residents can earn more. This is not only conducive to the coordinated development of rural areas in Wanzhou district and the city area, and the city of Chongqing and even the country's city and agriculture It has important significance. Based on the development of village residents combing the previous scholars on the research results, using econometric analysis method, the characteristics of changes of 1998 to 2012 in Chongqing District of Wanzhou city and rural residents' income level differences in the time series, the development trend and its impact factors (the empirical research. 1) the current situation of Wanzhou City area and rural residents' income difference were analyzed. The analysis results show that the District of Wanzhou city and rural residents' income difference is absolute increases, income ratio fluctuated. Compared with current Wanzhou District of Chongqing city and the city and the difference between the income of rural residents. The analysis results show that, Wanzhou city and rural residents' income difference and trend of Chongqing remain the same, but the absolute difference and income ratio were slightly lower than that of Chongqing The overall level of Chinese; compared with the average national income value, the District of Wanzhou city and rural residents' income is relatively stable, consistent with the mean absolute difference, lower than the National City and rural residents' income level, but the residents income of Wanzhou city residents and rural area ratio is higher than the national City and rural income than. (2) the factors influence District of Wanzhou city residents and rural residents' income level analysis. From the process of industrialization, urbanization, economic development, the four aspects of the fiscal expenditure structure research, were screened and second, third industries accounted for the percentage of non industrial gross, rural population percentage of the total population, GDP, agricultural expenditure for the percentage of the four factors, using the gray correlation model, sort the factors selected by MATLAB. The calculation results show that The second, third industry industry gross percentage of non-agricultural population, the proportion of the total population, agricultural expenditure for three main factors. Using multiple linear regression model to analyze the selected factors, obtained the influence degree of various factors on the difference between city residents and rural residents' income level. The regression results show that all factors, in addition to the production area gross and Wanzhou city and rural residents income ratio was positively related to other factors and the District of Wanzhou city and rural residents' income is negatively correlated. There are many reasons for city rural income difference in Wanzhou area, but in these factors, the most important is the second, third industries accounted for the percentage of gross industrial and non-agricultural the proportion of the total population, the percentage of fiscal expenditure for agriculture in total. (3) prediction of Wanzhou District of the city and rural residents' income level difference The change of trajectory. Using grey prediction model for processing, on 1998 to 2012 data show that in the next five years, Wanzhou city and rural residents' income difference absolute difference is still expanding, income ratio gradually narrowing trend of overall said District of Wanzhou city and rural residents' income level the difference between a narrowing trend. (4) put forward countermeasures and suggestions to narrow the income gap between urban and rural residents in Wanzhou district. To optimize the industrial structure, accelerate the process of industrialization; get rid of two structure in urban and rural areas, the city to speed up construction; to increase agricultural and rural investment subsidies, improve the policy system.

【学位授予单位】：四川农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F124.7

【相似文献】