生产者服务贸易对产业结构优化作用的研究

发布时间：2018-03-16 09:45

本文选题：生产者服务贸易　切入点：产业结构优化　出处：《首都经济贸易大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：转变产业结构，促进经济增长方式转变，是我国目前经济改革面临的主要问题。贸易能改变一国的要素禀赋、比较优势等，带动相关产业的发展，进而改变产业结构。生产者服务贸易越来越成为世界服务贸易的主流，越来越多的学者开始研究生产者服务贸易。本文研究的核心是生产者服务贸易对产业结构优化的影响作用，研究的目的在于探讨生产者服务贸易是否对产业结构有积极地促进作用，寻找提高我国生产者服务贸易竞争力的途径，提出符合我国产业结构优化和经济增长的建议。本文在我国不断提出转变生产方式、转变经济增长方式和优化产业结构的大背景下，利用演绎和归纳、定性与定量相结合的方法来研究生产者服务贸易对产业结构优化的影响作用。首先，论述研究背景和研究意义，对国内外生产者服务贸易发展和产业结构优化的相关文献进行综述；其次，从理论方面回顾生产者服务贸易的发展和产业结构优化的逻辑结构；再次，，分析生产者服务贸易对产业结构优化的影响机制和两者的现状；最后，构建线性回归模型，在对各变量进行单位根检验的基础上分析变量间的协整关系，确定变量间存在线性的长期稳定关系，然后用格兰杰因果检验分析变量间的因果关系，做回归方程检验生产者服务贸易对产业结构优化的影响作用，得出结论，生产者服务贸易和产业结构有双向的因果关系。在此结论的基础上提出发展生产者服务贸易和产业结构优化的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Changing the industrial structure and promoting the transformation of the mode of economic growth are the main problems facing China's economic reform at present. Trade can change a country's factor endowment, comparative advantage, and so on, and promote the development of related industries. And then change the industrial structure. Producer service trade has become the mainstream of the world service trade. More and more scholars begin to study producer service trade. The core of this paper is the impact of producer service trade on the optimization of industrial structure. The purpose of the study is to explore whether producer service trade can positively promote the industrial structure, to find ways to improve the competitiveness of producer service trade in China, and to put forward some suggestions in line with the optimization of industrial structure and economic growth in China. Under the background of changing the mode of production, changing the mode of economic growth and optimizing the industrial structure in our country, this paper makes use of deduction and induction. Qualitative and quantitative methods are combined to study the impact of producer service trade on industrial structure optimization. Firstly, the research background and significance are discussed. The development of producer services trade at home and abroad and the optimization of industrial structure are reviewed. Secondly, the development of producer service trade and the logical structure of industrial structure optimization are reviewed theoretically. Thirdly, This paper analyzes the influence mechanism of producer service trade on industrial structure optimization and the current situation of both. Finally, a linear regression model is constructed to analyze the cointegration relationship between variables on the basis of unit root test. It is determined that there is a linear long-term stable relationship between variables, and then Granger causality test is used to analyze the causality between variables, and then the regression equation is used to test the effect of producer service trade on the optimization of industrial structure, and the conclusion is drawn. There is a two-way causal relationship between producer service trade and industrial structure. Based on this conclusion, some policy suggestions on the development of producer service trade and industrial structure optimization are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752.68;F121.3

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