浙江省战略性新兴产业集聚对经济增长影响的统计研究

发布时间：2018-03-22 03:24

本文选题：战略性新兴产业　切入点：产业集聚　出处：《浙江财经大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：全球金融危机的爆发,使各国都纷纷聚焦于发展战略性新兴产业,以抢占未来经济科技发展的制高点。2009年开始,我国也提出以重大技术突破和重大发展需求为基础的新兴产业为重点发展方向,加快培育和发展战略性新兴产业,以期改变粗放式经济增长方式,对社会经济全局和长远发展具有重大引领作用,使国家经济走上绿色健康的可持续发展道路。浙江省作为我国东部经济大省,也积极主动地响应国家的号召,及时制定了战略性新兴产业的发展目标。浙江省政府在“十三五”规划中,对发展战略性新兴产业的任务进行重点规划:明确了要加快发展战略性新兴产业,加快科技城和高新园区的建设,打造高水平的战略性新兴产业集聚区,发挥集聚区在全省转型发展中的引领、辐射和带动作用。“十三五”时期将是浙江省率先实现初步建成创新性省份和全面建成小康社会目标最后冲刺的五年,创新驱动发展,支撑引领经济社会转型升级的需求更加迫切。因此,本文结合理论和实证角度来研究浙江省战略性新兴产业集聚对经济增长的影响,对于促进浙江省战略性新兴产业集聚的进一步发展,经济社会的转型具有重要意义。本文在梳理相关文献的基础上,对战略性新兴产业集聚以及集聚对经济增长影响进行理论概括,结合浙江省战略性新兴产业发展现状和产业集聚SWOT分析,构建战略性新兴产业集聚水平综合指数,准确和全面分析浙江省战略性新兴产业集聚状况;利用战略性新兴产业集聚水平综合指数构建空间计量模型实证分析浙江省战略性新兴产业集聚对经济增长的影响;结合理论进一步运用面板计量模型,实证分析浙江省战略性新兴产业集聚促进经济增长的传导路径。本文得到研究结论如下:第一,浙江省各市战略性新兴产业集聚水平均逐年递增,但空间发展具有差异性。根据浙江省战略性新兴产业集聚水平综合测度的结果,可以发现11个地级市的集聚水平在时间维度上都是逐年递增的;从空间维度上,杭州、宁波和温州的集聚水平相对较高,但是它们作为高集聚水平地区它们的辐射能力还有待加强;其次是绍兴、金华、嘉兴、台州、湖州、舟山,虽然它们的集聚水平一般,但可以利用所处地理位置的优势,逐步成为高集聚水平地区;得分最低的是衢州市和丽水市。第二,空间计量模型实证表明战略性新兴产业集聚具有空间关联性。Moran’s I指数显示浙江省各市战略性新兴产业集聚发展具有差异性,这进一步验证了浙江省战略性新兴产业集聚水平综合测度的可信度。同时,根据空间通用模型的实证结果可知,浙江省战略性新兴产业集聚对经济增长具有显著的推动作用,战略性新兴产业集聚水平每增加1个单位,地方经济就会增加0.082个单位。第三,面板计量模型验证了战略性新兴产业集聚主要通过技术进步和产业结构升级这两个路径来促进经济增长,并且发现技术进步路径对地方经济的促进作用更大。因此,提高科技发展水平和自主创新能力依然是目前浙江省战略性新兴产业集聚带动经济增长的主要路径。最后结合浙江省战略性新兴产业集聚现状分析及实证结果提出了相关政策建议:第一,提高战略性新兴产业产业集聚区的发展水平,合理规划空间分布;第二,积极培育战略性新兴产业集聚区的创新氛围,增强源头创新,突破核心关键技术;第三,加快发展主导产业,提升产业发展质量;第四,完善融资平台建设,综合利用财政资金和社会资金。
[Abstract]:The outbreak of the global financial crisis, so that all countries have focused on the development of strategic emerging industries, to seize the high ground of the future development of economy and technology in.2009, our country has put forward a new industry with major technological breakthroughs and major development needs as the basis for the focus of the direction of development, accelerate the development of strategic emerging industries, in order to change the extensive the mode of economic growth, has an important leading role to the social economy situation and long-term development, the national economy to go green and healthy road of sustainable development. Zhejiang province is the eastern part of our country economy, but also actively respond to the call of the country, timely development goal of strategic emerging industries. The government of Zhejiang Province in 13th Five-Year in planning for the development of strategic emerging industries to focus on planning tasks: clear to accelerate the development of strategic emerging industries, accelerate science and technology city and high The construction of the new park, to create a high level of strategic emerging industry gathering area, play area in the province's restructuring and development in the lead, radiation and leading role. "13th Five-Year" period in Zhejiang province is the first to achieve established innovative provinces and building a well-off society goal of the final sprint of five years, innovation driven development, guidance and support the economic and social transformation and upgrading more urgent needs. Therefore, this paper studies the Zhejiang province strategic emerging industry agglomeration on economic growth theory and empirical point of view, to promote the further development of Zhejiang province strategic emerging industry cluster, plays an important role in the economic and social transformation. In this paper based on the literature, the strategic emerging industries agglomeration and agglomeration theory summed up the impact on economic growth, combined with the current development of strategic emerging industries in Zhejiang province and industry agglomeration S WOT analysis, construction of strategic emerging industry agglomeration index, accurate and comprehensive analysis of Zhejiang province strategic emerging industry agglomeration status; constructing empirical analysis of spatial econometric model of Zhejiang province strategic emerging industry agglomeration effect on economic growth by the strategic emerging industry agglomeration index; combining the theory further using panel econometric models, empirical analysis of Zhejiang Province strategic emerging the conduction path of industrial agglomeration to promote economic growth. The conclusion of this paper are as follows: first, the agglomeration level of Zhejiang province strategic emerging industries are increasing year by year, but the spatial development is different. According to the Zhejiang provincial strategic emerging industrial cluster comprehensive measurement results can be found in the agglomeration level of 11 cities are increasing year by year in the time dimension; from the dimensions of space, Hangzhou, Ningbo and Wenzhou, the agglomeration level of relative But they are higher, as the radiation ability of high concentration level areas they have to be strengthened; followed by Shaoxing, Jinhua, Jiaxing, Taizhou, Huzhou, Zhoushan, although their agglomeration level, but can use the geographical location advantages, has gradually become a high level gathering area; the lowest score is the city of Quzhou and Lishui. Second, empirical evidence shows that the spatial econometric model of strategic emerging industrial cluster with.Moran 'spatial correlation s I index shows that Zhejiang province strategic emerging industry cluster development is different, which further verified the Zhejiang province strategic emerging industry agglomeration level comprehensive measure of reliability. At the same time, according to the empirical results show that the general model of space, Zhejiang province strategic emerging industry agglomeration has a significant role in promoting economic growth, increase agglomeration level of strategic emerging industries 1 units, the local economy will Add 0.082 units. Third, econometric model to verify the strategic emerging industry agglomeration mainly through technological progress and the upgrading of the industrial structure of the two path to promote economic growth, and promote the technological progress path found on the local economy more. Therefore, to improve the science and technology development level and ability of independent innovation is still the strategic in Zhejiang province the main path of emerging industrial agglomeration promoting economic growth. Finally, Zhejiang province strategic emerging industry agglomeration status analysis and empirical results and puts forward relevant policy suggestions: first, to improve the level of development of strategic emerging industries in industrial agglomeration, rational planning of spatial distribution; second, actively cultivate the strategic emerging industry cluster innovation environment, enhance the source of innovation, breakthroughs in key technologies; third, accelerate the development of leading industries, enhance the quality of industrial development; fourth, improve the financing level We should build the platform and make full use of financial and social funds.

【学位授予单位】：浙江财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127;F276.44

【参考文献】