内蒙古能源消费与产业结构实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-23 11:55

本文选题：能源消费　切入点：产业结构　出处：《内蒙古科技大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：中国的发展问题一直是世界关注的重大课题，中国经济的发展及其发展方式对中国人民的生活方式和人民福祉会产生重大影响。内蒙古是中国西部重要的能源基地和工业基地，一直以来内蒙古丰富的能源储量是中国能源供应安全的重要保障，同时也造成了内蒙古主要依靠能源产业发展的经济结构和与之相配套的能源工业和重工业的快速发展，这种单一的经济结构发展模式在带动经济快速发展的同时，造成了能源消费量大、经济结构发展不均衡和生态环境污染较大的发展局面。长此以往，将会对经济、社会、环境的可持续发展带来不利影响，因此协调好内蒙古经济发展与能源消费的关系问题意义重大且任务迫切。论文分析了内蒙古能源消费总量以及能源消费结构的状况，分析发现：近年来内蒙古能源消费总量增长快速，内蒙古的能源消费结构中煤炭所占比重一直较大，而天然气、风能和太阳能等清洁能源所占比重较小，能源消费结构不合理。论文分析了内蒙古经济发展状况及其产业结构状况，分析发现：内蒙古经济结构中第二产业发展较快，第二产业在国民经济发展中具有举足轻重的地位，第一产业发展较平稳，第三产业的发展增速较慢，，还有很大的增长空间，内蒙古产业结构有待进一步的优化调整。论文构建了内蒙古能源消费与产业结构数学模型。模型分析发现：内蒙古能源消费对第二产业的发展的影响最大，第三产业次之，对第一产业的影响最小。内蒙古能源政策的制定和调整会对第二产业的发展和国民经济的发展造成较大影响。通过对内蒙古能源消费和产业结构预测研究得出：如果按照当前的发展模式和发展速度，不采取有效的经济政策和产业政策引导，内蒙古能源消费总量将会保持持续快速增长的趋势，能源消费结构依然会保持煤炭长期为主的状况，产业结构中第二产业偏重的局面短时间内也不会改观，完成“十二五”规划要求的能源消耗强度下降的任务目标压力较大，能源消费结构和产业结构有待进一步的优化调整。内蒙古可以通过调整和优化产业结构来优化能源消费结构，实现经济、社会和环境的持续健康发展。
[Abstract]:The issue of China's development has always been a major issue of concern to the world. The development of China's economy and its way of development will have a major impact on the way of life and well-being of the Chinese people. Inner Mongolia is an important energy and industrial base in the western part of China. The abundant energy reserves in Inner Mongolia have long been an important guarantee for the security of China's energy supply. At the same time, it has also resulted in the rapid development of the energy industry and heavy industry, which mainly depends on the economic structure of the development of the energy industry in Inner Mongolia. This single pattern of economic structure development not only drives the rapid development of economy, but also creates a development situation in which energy consumption is large, economic structure is not balanced and ecological environment is polluted. In the long run, it will be beneficial to the economy and society. The sustainable development of environment brings adverse effects, so it is of great significance and urgent task to coordinate the relationship between economic development and energy consumption in Inner Mongolia. This paper analyzes the total energy consumption and the energy consumption structure in Inner Mongolia, and finds out that the total energy consumption in Inner Mongolia has increased rapidly in recent years, the proportion of coal in the energy consumption structure of Inner Mongolia has been large, while the natural gas has been the main source of energy consumption in Inner Mongolia. The proportion of clean energy, such as wind energy and solar energy, is small and the structure of energy consumption is unreasonable. This paper analyzes the economic development and industrial structure of Inner Mongolia, and finds that the secondary industry develops rapidly in the economic structure of Inner Mongolia. The secondary industry plays an important role in the development of the national economy. The development of the primary industry is relatively stable, the growth rate of the tertiary industry is relatively slow, and there is still a lot of room for growth. The industrial structure of Inner Mongolia needs to be further optimized and adjusted. The paper constructs a mathematical model of energy consumption and industrial structure in Inner Mongolia. The model analysis shows that the energy consumption in Inner Mongolia has the greatest influence on the development of the secondary industry, followed by the tertiary industry. The formulation and adjustment of energy policy in Inner Mongolia will have a great impact on the development of the secondary industry and the development of the national economy. Through the research on the forecast of energy consumption and industrial structure in Inner Mongolia, it is concluded that:. If, according to the current development model and pace of development, Without effective economic and industrial policy guidance, the total amount of energy consumption in Inner Mongolia will maintain a sustained and rapid growth trend, and the energy consumption structure will remain dominated by coal for a long time. The situation of the secondary industry being biased in the industrial structure will not change in a short period of time. The task of reducing the intensity of energy consumption required by the 12th Five-Year Plan is under great pressure. Energy consumption structure and industrial structure need to be further optimized and adjusted. Inner Mongolia can optimize energy consumption structure by adjusting and optimizing industrial structure to realize sustainable and healthy development of economy, society and environment.
【学位授予单位】：内蒙古科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.22;F127

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