中日韩能源需求与经济增长相关关系比较研究

发布时间：2018-03-24 04:18

本文选题：能源需求　切入点：经济增长　出处：《延边大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：能源是工业化发展、经济增长必不可少的重要资源,也是世界各国在激烈的国际竞争中竞相争夺的重要战略资源。中国经济在近年来取得了显著的发展成果,但是也存在着能源资源日益短缺,环境污染严重等问题。相对于同处东北亚的日本韩国来说,中国能源资源相对丰富,但由于中国人口总量大,人均资源占有量不足,目前中国已经成为世界主要的能源进口国,国内能源短缺问题显现,能源安全问题也成为中国经济社会发展的一个隐忧。在中国经济发展与能源资源短缺矛盾日益突出的今天,反观日本韩国作为能源禀赋不足的国家,却先后实现了工业化,迈入了发达国家行列,其中的经验和教训十分值得中国深思和借鉴。本论文在能源经济学和计量经济学相关理论基础上,分别对中日韩三国的社会经济概况与能源生产及消耗,能源需求变化及能源消费结构进行研究,并在此基础上运用向量误差修正模型(VECM)分别对中日韩三国能源需求与经济增长相关关系进行比较研究,结果显示,日本和韩国GDP增长对能源需求的解释程度远远小于中国,且工业比重和能源需求之间并不存在正相关关系,而中国的能源需求与工业产业比重显著正相关。国际原油价格与能源需求之间均存在负相关,而日本由于能源主要依靠海外进口,因此相对于韩国和中国,日本能源需求对国际原油价格变化的反应更为敏感。能源安全对一个国家经济社会的稳定与发展有着十分重大的意义,中日韩三国在能源领域充满竞争与合作。对中国来说,吸取日本和韩国循环经济发展中的经验和教训,学习日韩的能源加工利用技术,可以提高能源效率,优化产业结构,探寻适合自己的循环经济之路；对日本和韩国来说,加强与中国在东北亚地区能源开发利用合作是实现能源安全的必经之路。
[Abstract]:Energy is an essential resource for industrial development and economic growth, as well as an important strategic resource that all countries in the world compete for in the fierce international competition. China's economy has made remarkable achievements in recent years. However, there are also problems such as the increasing shortage of energy resources and serious environmental pollution. Compared with Japan and South Korea, which is also located in Northeast Asia, China is relatively rich in energy resources, but due to the large population of China, the per capita resources are insufficient. At present, China has become a major energy importer in the world. The domestic energy shortage problem appears, and the energy security problem has become a hidden concern in China's economic and social development. Today, the contradiction between China's economic development and the shortage of energy resources is increasingly prominent. On the other hand, Japan and South Korea, as the countries with low energy endowment, have realized industrialization and stepped into the ranks of developed countries. The experiences and lessons are worth pondering and drawing lessons from in China. Based on the related theories of energy economics and econometrics, this paper studies the social and economic situation, energy production and consumption, energy demand change and energy consumption structure of China, Japan and Korea respectively. On the basis of this, a vector error correction model (VECM) is used to study the correlation between energy demand and economic growth in China, Japan and Korea respectively. The results show that GDP growth in Japan and Korea explains energy demand much less than in China. There is no positive correlation between industrial proportion and energy demand, but there is a significant positive correlation between energy demand and industrial proportion in China, and there is a negative correlation between international crude oil price and energy demand. Japan's energy needs are more sensitive to changes in international crude oil prices than in South Korea and China, because Japan relies mainly on overseas imports. Energy security is of great significance to the economic and social stability and development of a country. The three countries of China, Japan, and South Korea are full of competition and cooperation in the field of energy. Learning the energy processing and utilization technology of Japan and South Korea can improve energy efficiency, optimize industrial structure, and explore the road of recycling economy suitable for Japan and South Korea. Strengthening cooperation with China in the development and utilization of energy in Northeast Asia is the only way to achieve energy security.
【学位授予单位】：延边大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.2;F416.2;F124.1;F131.26

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