重庆市新型城镇化与经济发展的相互关系研究

发布时间：2018-03-25 00:26

本文选题：新型城镇化　切入点：经济发展　出处：《云南财经大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：2014年,在国家新型城镇化规划纲要中,明确提出了走中国特色新型城镇化道路,全面提高城镇化质量的新要求。体现出在新常态下新型城镇化能够促进经济发展和转型的作用。我国政府提出在西部地区进行相应的城镇化发展的战略,重庆市成为该战略的主要对象之一,这在一定程度上标志着重庆市的发展已经受到我国政府的大力支持。重庆市处于我国中西部地区,是以传统工业为主的城市,相应的经济和城镇化还处于发展阶段。在传统的城镇化发展道路下,重庆市城乡差距较大、城镇化与经济发展不协调等问题较为突出,这些问题在中西部地区的城镇化建设中具有代表性。所以,在当前发展机遇中,重庆市要把握好机会,进行传统城镇化发展模式的改革,转变为新型城镇化发展的模式,提高重庆市城镇化建设中的质量和内涵,以此带动新型城镇化和经济的协调发展。本文对重庆市新型城镇化与经济发展的相互关系问题进行具体的研究,希望这些研究在一定程度上为我国中西部地区进行相应的改革提供一定的试验依据。本文借鉴已有研究成果,梳理了城镇化与经济发展的相关理论。发现城镇化建设水平与经济发展具有密切的相关性,城镇化的建设能带动消费、投资等内需的增加,从而带动经济的发展;与此同时,经济的发展会进一步推动城镇化的进程。本文首先以重庆市为研究对象,详细的描述重庆市新型城镇化发展的现状,以及在建设新型城镇化过程中,重庆市经济发展的现状。其次,运用时间序列数据进行回归分析,对重庆市1996-2015年经济增长与城镇化之间的动态发展关系进行了实证研究,从而得到结论:城镇化发展水平与经济增长之间具有长期的协整关系,且城镇化的发展对重庆市经济的增长起着积极的促进作用。另外,构建重庆市新型城镇化与经济发展的综合指标体系,在这个过程中将城镇化分为人口、经济、生态环境和社会这四个指标体系;将经济发展划分为经济实力、经济结构和居民生活水平这三个指标体系。运用因子分析法计算出新型城镇化综合指标和经济发展综合指标的得分,从而揭示它们的发展规律。运用协调发展度模型进行相应的实证,得到结论:重庆市新型城镇化发展与经济发展的协调能力总体上呈现出倒“U”的形状,且最近几年二者之间的协调能力越来越好。最后,本文根据实证结果以及该地区的实际情况,提出协调发展重庆市新型城镇化的一些政策建议。
[Abstract]:In 2014, in the outline of the national plan for new urbanization, the new urbanization road with Chinese characteristics was clearly proposed. The new requirements for improving the quality of urbanization in an all-round way reflect the role of new urbanization in promoting economic development and transformation under the new normal. Chongqing has become one of the main targets of this strategy, which to some extent indicates that the development of Chongqing has been strongly supported by the Chinese government. Chongqing is located in the central and western regions of China and is a city dominated by traditional industries. The corresponding economy and urbanization are still in the stage of development. Under the traditional road of urbanization, the gap between urban and rural areas in Chongqing is large, and the problems of urbanization and economic development are quite prominent. These problems are representative in the urbanization construction in the central and western regions. Therefore, in the current development opportunities, Chongqing should seize the opportunity to carry out the reform of the traditional urbanization development model and transform it into a new type of urbanization development model. In order to promote the coordinated development of new urbanization and economy, this paper makes a concrete study on the relationship between new urbanization and economic development in Chongqing. It is hoped that these studies will to some extent provide some experimental basis for the corresponding reform in the central and western regions of China. Combing the relevant theories of urbanization and economic development, it is found that the level of urbanization construction is closely related to economic development. The construction of urbanization can promote the increase of domestic demand, such as consumption and investment, thereby driving the development of the economy; at the same time, The development of economy will further promote the process of urbanization. Firstly, this paper takes Chongqing as the research object, describes in detail the present situation of the development of new urbanization in Chongqing, and in the process of constructing new urbanization, Secondly, using the time series data to carry on the regression analysis, has carried on the empirical research to the dynamic development relation between the economic growth and the urbanization in Chongqing from 1996 to 2015. It is concluded that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between the development level of urbanization and economic growth, and the development of urbanization plays a positive role in promoting the economic growth of Chongqing. This paper constructs a comprehensive index system of new urbanization and economic development in Chongqing, divides urbanization into four index systems: population, economy, ecological environment and society, divides economic development into economic strength, and divides urbanization into four index systems: population, economy, ecological environment and society. The economic structure and the living standard of the residents are the three index systems. The scores of the new comprehensive urbanization index and the economic development comprehensive index are calculated by using the factor analysis method. The conclusion is that the coordination ability of new urbanization and economic development in Chongqing is in the shape of "U" on the whole. Finally, according to the empirical results and the actual situation in the region, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions for the coordinated development of new urbanization in Chongqing.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F299.27;F127

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