重庆市金融业发展与产业结构变化的实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-30 07:25

本文选题：金融发展　切入点：产业结构优化　出处：《西南政法大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：金融是现代经济的核心,能提供一个将资金由盈余部门向短缺部门转化的渠道,资本要素的重新配置克服了储蓄者和投资者之间信息不透明的障碍,对宏观经济发展和微观企业运行产生重大影响,是产业结构的优化调整的重要影响因素之一,传统产业的升级改造和高新技术产业的发展壮大都离不开资金的支持。重庆直辖以来,实现了经济的飞速发展,但与中国其他经济发达地区相比还有不小差距,产业结构不合理,科技创新能力不强,发展层次偏低,今后一个时期,对产业结构优化调整是加快转变经济发展方式的根本出路。金融业已发展成为重庆的支柱产业,产业结构优化调整也呈渐进合理趋势发展,产业集群逐步形成,而在这个过程中,金融业发展对产业结构的变化发挥怎样的作用,发挥多大的作用,是一个值得探讨的问题,因此本文以此为切入点,重点研究重庆市金融业发展对产业结构变化的影响作用。本文首先梳理了国内外学者关于金融发展和产业结构的研究成果,对二者的内在作用机制进行了系统的理论分析,利用统计分析的方法描述了重庆市金融业和三次产业的发展现状,最后选取金融发展指标,分别从产业结构合理化和高度化发展两个方面进行了实证研究。实证分析结果显示：长期内,重庆市金融发展指标与产业结构优化指标存在协整关系；短期内,存在误差修正机制,将各变量之间的协整关系在长期内调整到均衡状态；格兰杰因果关系检验显示,金融结构指标与产业结构合理化指标存在双向因果关系,其他仅存在单向因果关系。研究结论是重庆市金融业发展对产业结构优化具有较为显著的正向促进作用,值得指出的是金融效率的提高对产业结构向高度化发展的促进作用较大。最后本文根据研究结论尝试提出了几点政策建议。
[Abstract]:Finance is the core of the modern economy, providing a channel for transforming funds from surplus to scarce sectors, and the reallocation of capital elements overcomes the barriers to information opacity between savers and investors. It has a great impact on the macro-economic development and the operation of micro-enterprises, and is one of the important influencing factors in the optimization and adjustment of industrial structure. The upgrading and transformation of traditional industries and the development and growth of high and new technology industries can not be separated from the support of funds. Since Chongqing became directly under the jurisdiction of Chongqing, it has achieved rapid economic development, but there is still a large gap compared with other economically developed regions in China. The industrial structure is unreasonable, the ability of scientific and technological innovation is not strong, the level of development is on the low side. In the future, optimizing and adjusting the industrial structure is the fundamental way out for speeding up the transformation of the mode of economic development. The financial industry has developed into a pillar industry in Chongqing. The optimization and adjustment of industrial structure also show a gradual and reasonable trend, and industrial clusters are gradually formed. In this process, it is worth discussing how and how much the development of the financial industry plays a role in the change of industrial structure. Therefore, this paper focuses on the impact of the development of Chongqing financial industry on the change of industrial structure. Firstly, this paper reviews the research achievements of domestic and foreign scholars on financial development and industrial structure, and makes a systematic theoretical analysis of the internal mechanism of the two. Using the method of statistical analysis, this paper describes the current situation of the development of financial industry and three industries in Chongqing, and finally selects the financial development index. The empirical results show that: in the long run, there is cointegration relationship between the financial development index and the industrial structure optimization index in Chongqing; in the short term, there is a cointegration relationship between the financial development index and the industrial structure optimization index. There is an error correction mechanism to adjust the cointegration between variables to equilibrium in the long run. Granger causality test shows that there is a two-way causality between financial structure index and industrial structure rationalization index. The conclusion of the study is that the development of financial industry in Chongqing has a significant positive effect on the optimization of industrial structure. It is worth pointing out that the improvement of financial efficiency can promote the development of industrial structure to a higher level. Finally, this paper tries to put forward some policy suggestions according to the conclusion of the research.
【学位授予单位】：西南政法大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.7;F127

【参考文献】