人口规模、消费结构和环境效率

发布时间：2018-04-03 23:41

  本文选题：人口规模　切入点：消费结构　出处：《人口研究》2017年03期

【摘要】：人口规模的扩大和消费结构的转型是影响国民经济发展和资源永续利用的关键因素。文章通过超效率DEA方法测得环境效率,并基于STIRPAT模型实证分析我国人口规模、消费结构对环境效率的影响。研究结果表明:2000~2013年间全国各省环境效率整体呈现波动下降的趋势,区域差异较大。对于人口基数庞大的中国,现阶段人口规模的扩大对环境效率有着负向影响,消费结构作为人口与环境作用过程中的关键中间变量,根据不同的类型与环境效率之间呈现出不同的关系。具体来看,生存、享受型消费与环境效率呈现"U型"关系,拐点分别为60.18%与29.20%,发展型消费与环境效率呈现线性正相关关系。并且随着消费结构的升级,人口规模对环境效率的不利影响将得到明显的改善。
[Abstract]:The expansion of population scale and the transformation of consumption structure are the key factors affecting the development of national economy and the sustainable utilization of resources.In this paper, the environmental efficiency is measured by super-efficiency DEA method, and the effect of population size and consumption structure on environmental efficiency is analyzed empirically based on STIRPAT model.The results show that the environmental efficiency of all provinces in China is fluctuating and decreasing during the period of 2000 ~ 2013, and the regional difference is great.For China with a large population base, the expansion of population size has a negative impact on environmental efficiency at the present stage. Consumption structure is a key intermediate variable in the process of population and environment.There are different relationships between environmental efficiency and different types.The inflection point is 60.18% and 29.20%, and the relationship between developmental consumption and environmental efficiency is linear and positive.With the upgrading of consumption structure, the adverse effect of population size on environmental efficiency will be improved obviously.
【作者单位】： 湖南大学经济与贸易学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“推动我国区域经济、政治、社会、文化及生态协同发展研究 ”( 批准号11&ZD012) 的资助
【分类号】：C924.2;F126.1
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本文编号：1707414