中国经济的“双重”结构转型与非平衡增长

发布时间：2018-04-04 01:44

本文选题：“双重”结构转型　切入点：部门异质性　出处：《经济学(季刊)》2017年01期

【摘要】：本文构建了一个包含两个产业三个部门的动态经济增长模型,描述了近三十年来中国经济由农业部门向非农业部门、由国有部门向非国有部门的"双重"结构转型过程,以及所导致的部门间的非平衡增长。模型内在解释了产生经济"双重"转型的根源:由于部门之间的替代弹性都是大于1的,技术进步率的差异导致了国有部门和非国有部门之间的转型;要素收入份额的差异导致了农业部门和非农业部门之间的转型。此外,在平衡增长路径上,经济各部门出现了非平衡增长。最后,本文利用中国1978—2011年的数据,校准了模型主要参数,通过数值模拟验证了本文模型与现实数据的拟合度。
[Abstract]:This paper constructs a dynamic economic growth model consisting of two industries and three sectors, and describes the "dual" structural transformation of the Chinese economy from the agricultural sector to the non-agricultural sector and from the state-owned sector to the non-state-owned sector in the past three decades.And the resulting unbalanced growth across sectors.The model intrinsically explains the origin of the economic "double" transformation: because the elasticity of substitution between sectors is greater than 1, the difference of technological progress rate leads to the transformation between the state-owned sector and the non-state-owned sector;Differences in the share of factor income have led to a transition between the agricultural sector and the non-agricultural sector.In addition, in the balanced growth path, all sectors of the economy appeared unbalanced growth.Finally, the main parameters of the model are calibrated by using the data of China from 1978 to 2011, and the fitting degree between the model and the real data is verified by numerical simulation.
【作者单位】：暨南大学产业经济研究院;北京大学光华管理学院;中南财经政法大学经济学院;
【基金】：暨南大学产业组织与规制研究所、北京大学研究生院才斋奖学金项目(CZ201410) 国家自然科学基金重点项目“推动经济发达地区产业转型升级的机制与政策研究”(71333007)的资助
【分类号】：F124;F121

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