中国规避中等收入陷阱的路径研究

发布时间：2018-04-05 07:27

本文选题：中等收入陷阱　切入点：产业结构　出处：《山西大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：中等收入陷阱是对拉美国家经济增长缓慢、经济持续徘徊不前现象的一种描述,其具体内涵是指当一个国家的人均收入达到中等收入水平(即人均GDP超过4000美元)后,由于转变经济发展方式缓慢,长期徘徊在中等收入区问,难以进一步向高收入国家迈进,导致经济持续增长动力不足,从而导致出现经济增长缓慢或停滞的状态。本文把中等收入陷阱归结为产业结构陷阱,在中等收入阶段,正是由于产业结构问题导致中等收入陷阱的存在。本文通过对比日本、韩国与巴西、阿根廷规避中等收入陷阱选择的路径,发现日本与韩国通过产业结构高级化与产业结构合理化成功规避中等收入陷阱,而巴西与阿根廷没有选择选择这一路径,导致巴西与阿根廷陷入中等收入陷阱。在此结论的基础上,本文首先分析中国产业结构高级化与产业结构合理化的进程,再对中国产业结构高级化与合理化程度和典型性国家进行对比,从而得出中国产业机构高级化与产业结构合理化进程较为缓慢,存在陷入中等收入陷阱的风险。最后本文从促进产业结构高级化与实现产业结构合理化两个角度提出中国规避中等收入陷阱的路径。本文认为技术发展水平与资本流向是导致中国产业结构高级化缓慢的原因,制度化因素是中国产业结构合理化的原因,因此本文从技术发展水平与金融体系两个角度提出促进中国产业结构高级化的路径,从农业制度与政府主导经济的角度提出促进产业结构合理化的路径。
[Abstract]:The middle-income trap is a description of the slow economic growth and persistent stagnation in Latin American countries. Its specific connotation is that when a country's per capita income reaches the middle-income level (that is, its per capita GDP exceeds US $4000),Because of the slow change of the mode of economic development and the long-term hovering in the middle income area, it is difficult to move further to the high-income countries, which leads to a lack of sustained economic growth momentum, which leads to a state of slow or stagnant economic growth.In this paper, the middle income trap is reduced to the industrial structure trap. In the middle income stage, it is the problem of the industrial structure that leads to the existence of the middle income trap.By comparing the paths chosen by Japan, South Korea, Brazil and Argentina to avoid the middle-income trap, this paper finds that Japan and South Korea successfully avoid the middle-income trap by upgrading and rationalizing the industrial structure.Brazil and Argentina did not choose to choose this path, resulting in Brazil and Argentina into a middle-income trap.On the basis of this conclusion, this paper first analyzes the process of the upgrading and rationalization of China's industrial structure, and then compares the degree of industrial structure with the rationalization of China's industrial structure and the typical countries.It is concluded that the process of upgrading and rationalization of industrial structure in China is slow and there is a risk of falling into the middle income trap.Finally, this paper puts forward the way to avoid the middle income trap in China from the two angles of promoting the upgrading of industrial structure and realizing the rationalization of industrial structure.This paper holds that the level of technological development and the flow of capital are the reasons for the slow upgrading of China's industrial structure, and the institutional factors are the reasons for the rationalization of China's industrial structure.Therefore, this paper puts forward the way to promote the upgrading of China's industrial structure from the perspectives of the level of technological development and the financial system, and the way of promoting the rationalization of industrial structure from the angle of agricultural system and government-led economy.
【学位授予单位】：山西大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F124.7;F121.3

【参考文献】