淮河流域经济发展方式转变评价研究

发布时间：2018-04-08 23:42

本文选题：淮河流域　切入点：贝叶斯模型平均　出处：《安徽财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：作为南北自然地理和人文地理的重要分界——淮河流域,拥有独特的区位优势、丰富的自然资源和便利的交通,是一个发展前景广阔的特殊区域。同时淮河流域的发展对我国经济发展具有重要的促进作用,不但有助于推动“中部崛起”战略的实施,而且对缓解区域经济发展不平衡具有重要意义。所以立足淮河流域的资源优势,通过对淮河流域经济发展方式转变的研究,来加快当地经济方式转变的进度,实现该区域经济综合实力的提升和腾飞具有现实的可行性以及作用意义上深远性、长久性。而淮河流域经济发展方式转变的实现亟需建立能够客观反应当地经济发展方式转变的科学的评价体系。如何保证评价体系的科学性和典型性是整篇研究的核心。本文在对经济发展方式转变内涵理解的基础上,借鉴现有关于经济发展方式转变评价体系的相关文献,罗列出大量反应淮河流域经济情况的相关指标,然后运用主成分分析的方法,结合淮河流域经济发展现状和在贝叶斯模型下持续、稳健、显著的影响淮河流域经济增长的因素,筛选出反应该地区特色的经济发展方式转变评价指标体系；最后选取熵值法对淮河流域经济发展方式转变进程进行科学评价。以此判定淮河流域经济发展方式转变所处的阶段,取得的成果,存在的问题。根据出现的问题进行政策调整,以此实现淮河流域各地市经济发展方式的尽快转变。
[Abstract]:As an important boundary between North and South natural geography and human geography, Huaihe River basin has unique geographical advantages, rich natural resources and convenient transportation, and is a special region with broad development prospects.At the same time, the development of Huaihe River Basin plays an important role in promoting the economic development of our country. It is not only helpful to promote the implementation of the strategy of "the rise of Central China", but also plays an important role in alleviating the imbalance of regional economic development.So based on the resources advantage of the Huaihe River Basin, through the research on the transformation of the economic development mode of the Huaihe River Basin, to accelerate the progress of the transformation of the local economic mode,It is feasible and far-reaching to realize the promotion and take-off of the regional economic comprehensive strength.However, it is urgent to establish a scientific evaluation system that can objectively reflect the transformation of local economic development mode.How to ensure the scientific nature and typicality of the evaluation system is the core of the whole study.Based on the understanding of the connotation of the transformation of economic development mode and the relevant literature on the evaluation system of the transformation of economic development mode, this paper lists a large number of relevant indicators reflecting the economic situation in the Huaihe River Basin.Then using the method of principal component analysis, combining with the present situation of economic development in Huaihe River Basin and the factors that influence the economic growth of Huaihe River Basin continuously, steadily and significantly under Bayesian model,Finally, the entropy method is selected to evaluate the transformation process of economic development mode in Huaihe River Basin.In order to determine the Huaihe River basin economic development mode transformation in the stage, achievements, problems.The policy adjustment is carried out according to the existing problems so as to realize the transformation of the economic development mode of various cities and cities in the Huaihe River Basin as soon as possible.
【学位授予单位】：安徽财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

【参考文献】