辽宁省OFDI对出口贸易结构优化的影响研究

发布时间：2018-04-09 04:01

本文选题：OFDI　切入点：出口贸易结构　出处：《辽宁大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：对外直接投资(下文简称OFDI)和对外贸易在经济的发展中均扮演着重要的角色。随着经济全球化的发展以及中国经济的崛起,中国OFDI及出口贸易方式均发生了很大的改变。但从全球来看,世界经济萧条,外部压力导致我国商品出口受到限制;从我国来看,经济处于三期叠加时期,产业结构不够优化,出口商品技术含量低,创新程度不够,这些导致我国出口市场面临较大压力。所以中国要充分利用国际国内的各种资源,加快新兴市场的开发,使得OFDI和出口贸易协同发展。在新一轮东北振兴的条件下,辽宁省作为东北地区唯一的沿海大省,应该借助其独有的港口优势大力发展OFDI以优化对外贸易结构,为东北地区的振兴作出努力。本篇论文主要分为六个部分来写,首先第一部分为绪论部分,主要是选题背景、意义,研究思路与方法以及本文的创新与不足;第二部分是理论基础,即OFDI的相关理论研究,对外贸易相关理论研究以及两者之间的关系研究;在OFDI与对外贸易的相关文献及理论研究基础上,第三部分详细论述了OFDI对出口贸易结构的影响机制,并从直接与间接两个方面进行分析,OFDI主要是通过市场导向、资源导向、效率导向和技术导向对出口贸易结构优化产生直接影响,通过边际产业转移效应、资源补缺效应、促生新型产业效应以及产业传导效应对出口贸易结构优化产生间接影响。接下来是第四部分,主要是利用2003-2015年辽宁统计年鉴的相关数据,首先从OFDI发展现状、规模、特点这儿个方面定性分析了辽宁省将对外投资的现实情况并总结出辽宁省OFDI发展主要呈现出OFDI总体规模不大、OFDI与FDI发展火衡等问题,然后从出口贸易概况、商品结构、区域结构、和方式结构这四个角度分析了辽宁省出口贸易的结构现状,发现辽宁省出口贸易结构存在出口市场过于集中、产品结构不够优化、各地区出口额不均匀等特点。在了解辽宁省OFDI和出口贸易结构的情况下,第五部分运用定量分析方法,围绕出口商品结构这个中心,运用单位根检验、协整检验进行实证分析,结果表明:OFDI对辽宁省出口贸易结构优化具有正效应,OFDI每增加1个单位,出口商品结构指数将增加0.0447个单位,但是从拟合度来看,这个正效应不是特别明显,分析原因主要是由由辽宁省OFDI总量不多导致的。最后是针对辽宁省出口贸易结构发展所存在的问题,从政府与企业两个方面提出了加快OFDI的发展以及其他优化出口贸易结构的建议。从而为辽宁省OFDI与出口贸易的协同发展作参考。使得辽宁省能够在新一轮东北经济振兴的舞台上发挥更大的作用。
[Abstract]:Foreign direct investment (OFDI) and foreign trade play an important role in economic development.With the development of economic globalization and the rise of Chinese economy, China's OFDI and export trade mode have changed greatly.However, from a global point of view, the world economy is depressed, and external pressure results in the restriction of China's commodity exports. From the perspective of our country, the economy is in the period of three superpositions, the industrial structure is not optimized enough, the technical content of export commodities is low, and the degree of innovation is not enough.These lead to greater pressure on our export market.Therefore, China should make full use of international and domestic resources, accelerate the development of emerging markets, and make OFDI and export trade develop in concert.Under the condition of a new round of northeast revitalization, Liaoning Province, as the only major coastal province in Northeast China, should vigorously develop OFDI with the help of its unique port advantages in order to optimize the structure of foreign trade and make efforts for the revitalization of Northeast China.This paper is mainly divided into six parts to write, the first part is the introduction, mainly the background of the topic, significance, research ideas and methods, as well as the innovation and insufficiency of this paper; the second part is the theoretical basis, that is, the related theoretical research of OFDI.The third part discusses the influence mechanism of OFDI on the export trade structure on the basis of the related literature and theoretical research of OFDI and foreign trade.This paper also analyzes the direct and indirect effects of OFDI on export trade structure optimization through market orientation, resource orientation, efficiency orientation and technology orientation, and the marginal industrial transfer effect and resource deficiency effect.Promoting new industrial effects and industrial conduction effects have indirect effects on export trade structure optimization.Next is the fourth part, which mainly uses the relevant data from the Liaoning Statistical Yearbook 2003-2015. First, from the current situation and scale of OFDI development,The characteristics here qualitatively analyze the reality of Liaoning Province's outward investment, and conclude that the development of Liaoning's OFDI mainly presents some problems, such as the overall scale of OFDI is not large and the development of OFDI and the development of fire balance, and then from the general situation of export trade, commodity structure, etc.This paper analyzes the present situation of export trade in Liaoning Province from the four angles of regional structure and mode structure. It is found that the export trade structure of Liaoning Province is too centralized, the product structure is not optimized, and the export volume of different regions is uneven.In the case of understanding Liaoning Province's OFDI and export trade structure, the fifth part uses quantitative analysis method, around the export commodity structure as the center, using unit root test, cointegration test to carry out empirical analysis.The results show that there is a positive effect on the optimization of export trade structure of Liaoning Province by 1 unit of OFDI. The index of export commodity structure will increase by 0.0447 units per unit of increase of OFDI, but the positive effect is not particularly obvious in terms of fitting degree.The reason is mainly caused by the small amount of OFDI in Liaoning Province.Finally, in view of the problems existing in the development of export trade structure of Liaoning Province, the paper puts forward some suggestions on accelerating the development of OFDI and other optimization of export trade structure from the two aspects of government and enterprise.Thus for Liaoning Province OFDI and export trade coordinated development for reference.So that Liaoning Province in the new round of northeast economic revitalization stage to play a greater role.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752.62;F125

【参考文献】