“三驾马车”对福建省经济增长的拉动作用分析

发布时间：2018-04-17 10:51

本文选题：三驾马车 + 经济增长　；参考：《福州大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：“十一五”期间福建省的经济实力显著增强,人民生活水平不断提高,产业结构调整加快推进。总体来看,福建经济呈现出良好的发展态势,但GDP结构仍不合理。因此,“十二五”时期是福建省经济增长方式转型的重要时期。但是,福建作为一个出口大省,其经济极易受到国内外经济形势和政治环境变化的影响。面对日益激烈的国际竞争格局,如果仍然偏重城市基础设施建设、房地产等非生产性投资带来的经济增长,福建经济将面临更加严峻的挑战,甚至危机。因此,福建经济发展必须在科学发展观的指导下,改变传统的经济增长方式,从投资和外需拉动为主导向内需拉动为主导转变,从生产主导型的增长方式转向消费拉动型的增长方式。从支出的角度看,GDP是投资、消费、净出口这三种需求之和,经济学上常把投资、消费、出口比喻为拉动GDP增长的“三驾马车”,三者的共同作用决定了经济发展的状况。一般而言,在经济发达地区,“三驾马车”共同推动经济增长；在经济欠发达地区,消费需求和投资需求的推动作用比较明显。所以,“三驾马车”在经济增长过程中的比例是否协调直接关系到经济增长的质量和速度。就目前来看,对经济增长的研究大多集中在供给方面,主要是从要素、技术和制度等方面研究对经济增长的影响。在供给小于需求的情况下,从供给方面研究经济增长的动力来源极为重要；但随着经济形势的转变,在需求小于供给的情况下,从需求方面研究经济增长的动力来源就显得极为必要。因此,本文首先利用《福建省统计年鉴-2013》相关数据分析消费、投资、净出口对福建省经济增长的贡献率、拉动率,消费积累的比例以及消费结构与经济增长的关系,据此来了解“三驾马车”与经济增长的关系。其次,本文从需求出发,利用福建省2007年和2010年的投入产出数据,对福建省的最终需求生产诱发作用、最终需求拉动效应进行分析。这些分析有助于我们发现福建省经济增长中存在的问题,了解福建经济系统中各部门经济增长的主要动力来源,并在此基础上对福建经济未来的发展提出相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:During the 11th Five-Year Plan period, Fujian's economic strength has increased significantly, the people's living standards have been continuously improved, and industrial restructuring has been accelerated.Overall, Fujian economy presents a good development trend, but the GDP structure is still unreasonable.Therefore, the twelve-five-year-plan period is an important period of economic growth mode transformation in Fujian Province.However, as an export province, Fujian's economy is easily affected by the changes of economic situation and political environment at home and abroad.In the face of increasingly fierce international competition, Fujian economy will face more severe challenges or even crises if it still pays attention to the economic growth brought by urban infrastructure construction, real estate and other non-productive investment.Therefore, under the guidance of the scientific development view, Fujian's economic development must change the traditional mode of economic growth and change from investment and external demand to domestic demand.From the production-oriented growth mode to the consumption-led growth mode.From the point of view of expenditure, GDP is the sum of three kinds of demand, such as investment, consumption and net export. In economics, investment, consumption and export are often compared to the "troika" that drives the growth of GDP, and the combined action of the three determines the state of economic development.Generally speaking, in the economically developed areas, the "troika" promotes the economic growth together, and in the underdeveloped areas, the propelling effect of the consumption demand and the investment demand is obvious.Therefore, the proportion of the troika in the process of economic growth is directly related to the quality and speed of economic growth.At present, the research on economic growth is mainly focused on the supply, mainly from the elements, technology and system to study the impact on economic growth.When the supply is smaller than the demand, it is very important to study the power source of economic growth from the supply side; but as the economic situation changes, when the demand is smaller than the supply,It is very necessary to study the power source of economic growth from the demand aspect.Therefore, this paper analyzes the contribution rate of consumption, investment and net export to Fujian's economic growth, the pulling rate, the proportion of consumption accumulation and the relationship between consumption structure and economic growth by using the relevant data of Fujian Statistical Yearbook -2013.Based on this, to understand the "troika" and economic growth relationship.Secondly, based on the input-output data of Fujian Province in 2007 and 2010, this paper analyzes the induced effect of final demand production and the final demand pull effect in Fujian Province.These analyses are helpful for us to find out the problems existing in Fujian's economic growth, to understand the main sources of economic growth in various sectors of Fujian's economic system, and on this basis to put forward corresponding policy recommendations for the future development of Fujian's economy.
【学位授予单位】：福州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

【相似文献】