国内产业转移对区域碳排放差异影响研究

发布时间：2018-04-17 13:24

本文选题：产业转移 + 碳排放　；参考：《湖南科技大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着全球气候变化问题的日益凸显、全球气候谈判历程的不断复杂、以及我国减排压力的不断加大，碳排放问题日益成为学术界关注的焦点问题之一，碳排放区域差异和区位转移是碳排放研究中的重要议题之一。然而，近几年来生产要素在区域流动更加活跃，以发达国家和地区为主的新一轮产业结构调整正在全球范围展开，产业转移和资本流动呈现新的特点和趋势，新一轮产业大规模转移正在如火如荼地进行。本文在总结国内外研究进展的基础上，通过区域间投入产出表数据，利用投入产出分析方法定量分析我国2002—2007年产业转移及产业转移所带来的碳排放区位转移量，并探讨其对区域碳排放的影响差异，为我国区域节能减排提供了政策建议。通过本文研究得出以下主要结论：第一，我国沿海产业转移以消费驱动型为主，出口驱动下产业转移比重相对较低，且整体表现出东部地区向其他地区转移的空间特征，符合产业梯度转移规律，其中北部沿海作为东部稍落后地区成为东部地区出口型产业转移重要承接地；通过计算17个行业区域间转移规模及空间流向，我们发现区域间产业转移以工业转移为主，农业和服务业转移比重较小，同时，，根据我们的测算，工业转移以东部沿海地区转出为主，尤其是采选业、金属冶炼及制品业、石化工业等资源能源型行业转移量大。第二，通过计算区域碳排放系数，并与产业转移量相乘，我们得出产业转移带来的碳排放区位转移量，发现2002—2007年间，不管是在规模上还是在空间范围上，我国碳排放区位转移都发生了很大的变化。受区域间产业转移的影响，碳排放区位转移以东南沿海区域向中部地区、西北地区转移为主，总体上碳排放空间范围开始向西部地区延伸，分开来看，出口驱动引起的碳排放转移增加比消费引起的碳排放转移增加快，主要体现在东南沿海地区出口对中部地区碳排放的诱发作用。第三，通过计算区域碳排放量，我们发现区域碳排放差异较大，东部沿海与中部地区碳排放量较大，其中，北部沿海、东部沿海和西部能源大省碳排放增加较快。因此，产业转移碳转出对东部沿海碳排放总量影响相对较小，区域碳排放压力更多来自本土产业减排，北部沿海地区、南部沿海地区和中部地区等碳净转出区表现出类似特征，仅程度不同。西北地区是碳转入最大地区，外部产业转移是区域碳排放的主体，产业转移减排压力远大于本土产业减排，东北、京津和西南等碳净转入区表现出同样特征，仅影响程度相对西北地区要小。第四，通过计算产业转移“碳泄漏”量，我们发现，东部沿海产业转移向中部地区、东北地区和西北地区分别泄漏了1291.71万吨、516.33万吨、979.88万吨碳，其中，中部地区出现二次泄漏现象，分别向西北地区、东北地区、西南地区泄漏了710.07万吨、-58.06万吨、-288.86万吨，总体碳泄漏量为363.15万吨。因此，我国产业转移存在较严重的“碳泄漏”现象，区域碳交易市场的建立迫在眉睫。
[Abstract]:With the increasing of global climate change , the complexity of the process of global climate negotiations and the increasing pressure of emission reduction in China , carbon emission has become one of the important issues in the research of carbon emission .

First , China ' s coastal industrial transfer is mainly consumption - driven type , the proportion of industrial transfer under export drive is relatively low , and the whole shows the spatial characteristics of the transfer of the eastern region to other regions , which accords with the law of industrial gradient transfer , in which the northern coast is the important receiving place for the export - type industry in the eastern region as the eastern part of the east .
Through the calculation of the transfer size and spatial flow of the 17 industries , we find that the transfer of industrial transfer is dominated by industrial transfer , and the transfer of agricultural and service industries is relatively small . At the same time , according to our measurement , the industrial transfer is mainly carried out in the eastern coastal area , especially in the mining industry , metal smelting , production industry , petrochemical industry and other resource energy type industries .

Second , by calculating the regional carbon emission coefficient and multiplying the industrial transfer quantity , we conclude that the carbon emission region transfer quantity brought by industrial transfer has changed greatly from 2002 to 2007 .

Third , by calculating the regional carbon emission , we found that the regional carbon emission is relatively large , and the carbon emission from the east coast to the central region is relatively large . Therefore , the carbon emission from the north coast , the east coast and the western energy source is increased faster . Therefore , the regional carbon emission pressure is relatively small , the regional carbon emission pressure is more from the local industry emission reduction , the external industry transfer is the main body of the regional carbon emission , the industrial transfer emission reduction pressure is much larger than that of the local industry emission reduction , the northeast , Beijing and Tianjin and the southwest and the like carbon net transfer area shows the same characteristics , only the degree of influence is small relative to the northwest region .

Fourthly , by calculating the amount of " carbon leakage " in the industrial transfer , we found that the transfer of the eastern coastal industries to the central region , Northeast China and Northwest China respectively revealed 1291 million tons of carbon , 516.33 million tons and 979.88 million tons of carbon , respectively . In the central region , there were secondary leakage , and the total carbon leakage rate was 363,150,000 tons . Therefore , there was a serious " carbon leakage " phenomenon in China ' s industrial transfer , and the establishment of regional carbon trading market is imminent .

【学位授予单位】：湖南科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;X22

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