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京津唐地区投资结构与经济增长关系研究

发布时间:2018-04-22 15:26

  本文选题:投资结构指标 + 经济增长 ; 参考:《辽宁大学》2014年硕士论文


【摘要】:金融危机中,中国经过了出口减少、居民消费增长乏力,对经济恢复作用不显著;国家实施4万亿的财政投资来阻止企业倒闭,为世界所瞩目。由于投资具有乘数效应和加速原理,使得投资在经济增长中的作用显著。固定资产投资结构的变动对经济增长的作用是基础性的。物质资本的循环使用可以通过预算、贷款、外资和自筹资金的途径,回到经济中,通过不同投资主体对产业投资效益的定位决定投资使用方向,前者投资结构在产业层面上的变动体现了经济发展阶段特征,后者设备更新上的投资比例反映了科技投资的水平。人力资本投资通过产学研相结合的政策,更好为经济增长服务。固定资产投资不仅反映制度的影响因素,也反映着经济发展阶段的特征,从固定资产投资的结构变动来理解京津唐的经济增长规律,结合政策分析变动原因及得出政策启示。 关于统计资料的分析,得出物质资本存量的贡献率36.48%,说明经济增长依赖物质资本投资,而技术进步贡献率只有9.12%。政府投资和外商投资是经济增长的格兰杰原因,外商投资是民间投资的格兰杰原因。自筹资金是经济增长的格兰杰原因,经济增长是国内贷款的格兰杰原因。设备购置是经济增长的格兰杰原因,经济增长是建筑安装的格兰杰原因。使用结构、产业结构是主体结构的格兰杰原因,使用结构是产业结构的格兰杰原因。 针对以上问题,提出以下措施:提高产学研结合力度;改善外商投资环境;加快医疗体制改革和文化投资市场化;加快投资体制改革;提高发展第三产业投资效益;提高设备等的占有率需要靠财政政策的促进作用。
[Abstract]:In the financial crisis, China's exports have been reduced, residents' consumption growth is weak, and the role of economic recovery is not obvious. The state has implemented 4 trillion of financial investment to prevent enterprises from closing down, which has attracted the attention of the world. Because investment has multiplier effect and acceleration principle, investment plays an important role in economic growth. Fixed assets investment structure changes to the role of economic growth is fundamental. The recycling use of material capital can be made through the channels of budget, loans, foreign investment and self-financing, and return to the economy, and determine the direction of investment through the positioning of different investment bodies to the industrial investment efficiency. The changes of the former's investment structure at the industrial level reflect the characteristics of the stage of economic development, while the proportion of the latter's equipment renewal reflects the level of the investment in science and technology. Human capital investment through the combination of industry, education and research policies, better serve for economic growth. Fixed asset investment not only reflects the influencing factors of institution but also reflects the characteristics of economic development stage. From the structural changes of fixed assets investment, the law of economic growth of Beijing, Tianjin and Tang dynasties is understood, and the reasons of change are analyzed in combination with the policy and the policy enlightenment is obtained. According to the analysis of statistical data, the contribution rate of material capital stock is 36.48, which shows that economic growth depends on material capital investment, while the contribution rate of technological progress is only 9.12%. Government investment and foreign investment are Granger reasons for economic growth, while foreign investment is Granger reason for private investment. Self-financing is the Granger cause of economic growth, economic growth is Granger reason for domestic loans. The purchase of equipment is the Granger cause of economic growth, and economic growth is the Granger cause of construction installation. Using structure, industrial structure is Granger reason of main body structure, use structure is Granger reason of industrial structure. In view of the above problems, the following measures are put forward: to improve the combination of industry, university and research; to improve the environment of foreign investment; to accelerate the reform of the medical system and the marketization of cultural investment; to speed up the reform of the investment system; to improve the investment efficiency of developing the tertiary industry; Increasing the share of equipment and so on needs to rely on the promotion of fiscal policy.
【学位授予单位】:辽宁大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F127

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