居民消费率一般演进规律与我国的特殊性研究

发布时间：2018-04-24 02:04

本文选题：居民消费率 + 产业结构变迁　；参考：《经济纵横》2017年04期

【摘要】：提升居民消费率是构建扩大内需长效机制的关键。基于产业结构变迁模型研究发现,在产业结构升级过程中,随着人均收入的增长,居民消费率呈先降后升的U型演进规律。我国居民消费率虽然遵循这一规律,且在工业化进程中,居民消费率将长期处于下行空间,但还存在居民消费率相对于同一收入水平下的世界平均值显著偏低这一特殊性。其原因主要在于我国城市化率偏低,产业合理化水平有待提高。因此,提升居民消费率,长期主要需依靠持续的产业升级推动经济增长,而中短期可将加速城市化进程、促进各产业均衡发展作为政策重点。
[Abstract]:Raising the consumption rate is the key to build a long-term mechanism to expand domestic demand. Based on the model of industrial structure change, it is found that in the process of industrial structure upgrading, with the increase of per capita income, the consumption rate of residents decreases first and then rises. Although the resident consumption rate of our country follows this law, and in the industrialization process, the resident consumption rate will be in the downward space for a long time, but there is still the particularity that the resident consumption rate is significantly lower than the world average under the same income level. The main reason is that China's urbanization rate is low, the level of industrial rationalization needs to be improved. Therefore, in the long run, increasing the consumption rate of residents mainly depends on continuous industrial upgrading to promote economic growth, while in the short and medium term, accelerating the process of urbanization and promoting the balanced development of various industries can be regarded as the policy focus.
【作者单位】：南开大学经济学院;中国特色社会主义经济建设协同创新中心;北京大学国家发展研究院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金一般项目“国际分工体系重塑与中国产业转型升级战略的政治经济学研究”(编号:14BJL048) 中国特色社会主义经济建设协同创新中心项目“巴黎协议下国际分工格局调整与中国绿色低碳产业体系的发展路径研究” 南开大学亚洲研究中心项目“巴黎协议与中日韩碳减排合作研究”(编号:AS1620)的成果
【分类号】：F126.1

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