“十一五”产业结构优化研究

发布时间：2018-04-25 17:52

本文选题：产业结构优化 + 高度化　；参考：《山西财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：中国的工业化进程在实现数量上的高速增长和产业规模大幅扩张的同时，其增长方式、增长质量和效率已然成为新时期的重大问题，对我国产业结构优化进程的考察无疑在上述方面具有重要意义。本文以“十一五”时期为背景，从产业结构优化的内涵——高度化和合理化出发，通过分析全国产业结构的高度化和合理化水平，对产业结构是否真正实现了优化进行判断。并结合“十一五”期末与“十五”期末我国主导产业的变化，从另一个角度分析产业结构优化的进程。最终对我国31个地区产业结构优化的空间集聚效应和影响因素进行研究。在具体的测算方法上，本文新设计了一个衡量产业结构高度化的指标——结构超前值，同时借鉴Tornqvist MFP指数来衡量产业结构合理化水平，通过投入产出分析方法确定主导产业，并结合空间计量方法分析总量生产率的空间效应。结论表明，在“十一五”期间，我国产业结构具有较明显的高度化发展态势；但是产业结构合理化进程并不明显，，特别是产业结构的高度化和合理化进程并不一致，产业结构调整并没有取得“对经济发展方式转变具有促进作用”的优化效果。在通往新型工业化的道路上，经济结构调整和增长方式的转变仍然是我们亟需解决的重要问题。此外，我国的主导产业并没有发生明显变化，仍然集中在机械、电力、化工等领域。这也从另一个角度说明：“十一五”时期我国的产业结构调整并没有取得明显成效，主导产业并没有向着高科技、高附加值的方向发展。基于此，本文仅从地理空间的角度，对产业结构调整献策献力。从全局来看，“十一五”时期，我国31个地区总量生产率在空间上存在一定的集群效应。即各地区总量生产率在空间分布上存在着必然的内在联系，表现出了相似值之间的空间集群现象。不仅如此，总量生产率在局域上也存在着空间依赖性和空间异质性。我国31个地区之间的总量生产率并没有产生明显的空间溢出效应，只是通过临近地区总量生产率的误差冲击对本地区产生影响。因此，我们可以通过寻求跨区域合作，来解决当前产业结构存在的问题。
[Abstract]:In the process of industrialization in China, while realizing the rapid growth in quantity and the large expansion of industrial scale, its growth mode, growth quality and efficiency have become a major problem in the new era. There is no doubt that the investigation on the process of industrial structure optimization in China is of great significance in the above aspects. Based on the background of the 11th Five-Year Plan period and the connotation of industrial structure optimization, this paper analyzes the level of national industrial structure optimization, and judges whether the industrial structure really realizes the optimization. Combined with the changes of the leading industries in China at the end of the 11th Five-Year Plan and the end of the Tenth Five-Year Plan, this paper analyzes the process of optimizing the industrial structure from another angle. Finally, the spatial agglomeration effect and influencing factors of industrial structure optimization in 31 regions of China are studied. In the specific calculation method, this paper designs a new index to measure the industrial structure, which is the advanced value of structure, and uses Tornqvist MFP index to measure the level of industrial structure rationalization, and determines the leading industry by the method of input-output analysis. The spatial effect of total productivity is analyzed with spatial measurement method. The conclusion shows that during the period of the 11th Five-Year Plan, the industrial structure of our country has an obvious trend of high-level development, but the process of rationalization of industrial structure is not obvious, especially the process of upgrading and rationalization of industrial structure is not consistent. The adjustment of industrial structure has not achieved the optimization effect of "promoting the transformation of economic development mode". On the road to new industrialization, the adjustment of economic structure and the transformation of growth mode are still the important problems we need to solve. In addition, China's leading industries have not changed significantly, still concentrated in machinery, electricity, chemical and other fields. This also shows from another angle: during the 11th Five-Year Plan period, China's industrial structure adjustment has not achieved obvious results, and the leading industry has not developed in the direction of high technology and high added value. Based on this, this paper only from the perspective of geographical space, industrial structure adjustment contribution. From the overall situation, during the 11th Five-Year Plan period, the total productivity of 31 regions in China has a certain cluster effect in space. That is to say, there is an inevitable internal relation in the spatial distribution of the total productivity of different regions, which shows the phenomenon of spatial cluster between the similar values. Moreover, total productivity has spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity. There is no obvious spatial spillover effect of total productivity among 31 regions in China, but it is only affected by the error shock of total productivity in adjacent areas. Therefore, we can seek cross-regional cooperation to solve the current industrial structure problems.
【学位授予单位】：山西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F121.3

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