空间异质性视角下的海峡西岸经济区区域经济差异分析

发布时间：2018-04-26 14:04

本文选题：空间异质性 + 区域经济　；参考：《福建农林大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：2004年福建省正式提出"海峡西岸经济区"战略构想,2009年国务院发布《国务院关于支持福建省加快建设海峡西岸经济区的若干意见》,这意味着"海峡西岸经济区"建设从地方战略上升为国家战略。广大学者围绕海峡西岸经济区的两岸经贸合作与交流、产业布局、城市群、功能等问题开展了一系列研究,但关于其区域经济差异的研究相对较少,尤其是基于空间异质性视角探讨海峡西岸经济区区域经济差异的研究鲜见报道。本文结合时间和空间两个维度,对2001-2015年海峡西岸经济区区域经济差异的时空演变机理进行研究,并提出相关建议,为缩小海峡西岸经济区区域经济差异、促进海峡西岸经济区协调发展提供理论依据。本文研究的主要内容与结论如下:(1)运用区域经济差异测度方法,揭示海峡西岸经济区区域经济差异的总体变化趋势,探索区域经济差异形成的来源及构成。研究结果表明:2001-2015年海峡西岸经济区区域经济的标准差和极差,分别以5.94%和4.06%的年平均增长速度增长,但其基尼系数与泰尔指数分别以3.58%和8.21%的年平均降低速度下降;"海峡西岸经济区"战略的提出与实施,在一定程度上缩小了海峡西岸经济区区域经济差异;东部沿海区、中部内陆区和西部辐射区三大地区间与地区内的区域经济差异总体均呈下降趋势;地区内泰尔指数的平均贡献率为74.52%,地区内区域经济差异是海峡西岸经济区区域经济总体差异的主要来源;三大地区内,东部沿海区区域经济差异呈下降趋势,中部内陆区区域经济差异呈上升趋势,而西部辐射区区域经济差异总体表现为波浪式上涨;东部沿海区泰尔指数的平均贡献率为44.98%,东部沿海区区域经济差异是地区内区域经济差异的主要来源。从缩小总体区域经济差异考虑,应将缩小地区内区域经济差异特别是缩小东部沿海区区域经济差异作为入手点。(2)运用区域经济差异评价模型,认识海峡西岸经济区区域经济的空间异质性的演变过程。研究结果表明:2001年、2005年、2010年和2015年区域经济发展水平综合指数的变异系数分别为47.66%、55.12%、43.59%和35.53%,海峡西岸经济区区域经济发展水平的空间差异变化趋势虽存在波动,但总体呈减少趋势,且其表现出从东部沿海向西部内陆递减的空间分布状态,具有明显的空间异质性;近年来,海峡西岸经济区区域经济的空间异质格局具有明显空间特征:经济发达地区均分布于东部沿海,经济较发达地区主要分布于中部和北部内陆,经济次贫困地区主要分布于北部和南部沿海,经济贫困地区则主要分布于西部内陆;此外,在福建省提出"海峡西岸经济区"构想前后,海峡西岸经济区的空间异质格局整体变化不大,而在国家给予支持后,其空间异质格局发生了较大的变化,主要表现为福建省整体区域经济水平有较大提升。(3)运用探索性空间数据分析方法,探索海峡西岸经济区区域经济的空间关联模式及其分布规律,并进一步探析区域经济的空间异质性。全局空间自相关研究结果表明:海峡西岸经济区区域经济具有显著的空间集聚特征,其全局空间自相关系数总体随时间呈增长趋势,相似区域间(HH或LL)趋于集聚的趋势还在不断加强。局部空间自相关结果表明:2001年、2005年、2010年和2015年HH模式和LL模式的比重之和的平均值高达78%,海峡西岸经济区两极分化问题较突出,局部空间异质结构主要通过HH模式和LL模式两类鲜明的空间分异区域体现出来,且区域间所呈现的空间依赖性比空间异质性更为明显,海峡西岸经济区的空间差异有缩小的变化趋势。海峡西岸经济区区域经济总体呈现出较为明显的东西空间异质格局,其空间关联模式具有以下分布规律:HH模式区域主要以福建东部沿海地区为中心集聚,向北部和中部内陆延伸,数量趋于增加;LH模式区域主要散布于福建沿海,数量趋于减少;LL模式区域主要分布于西部内陆和南部,其数量保持在总数的1/3以上;HL模式区域在空间上的分布较为零散。(4)从发展基础、政府调控、产业结构、资本投入和消费水平5个角度出发,分析海峡西岸经济区区域经济差异的影响因素,并运用地理加权回归(GWR)模型方法,揭示2001年、2005年、2010年和2015年海峡西岸经济区区域经济差异影响因素的空间异质性。研究结果表明:人均固定资产投资总额和人均社会消费品零售总额对海峡西岸经济区区域经济具有显著的促进作用,且这2个影响因素存在空间异质性;4个年份OLS回归模型的拟合优度分别为0.9658、0.964、0.7713和0.7544,而GWR模型的拟合优度分别为0.9834、0.9687、0.7932和0.7545,地理加权回归模型对海峡西岸经济区区域经济差异的解释效果总体优于普通最小二乘法回归模型。进一步分析2个影响因素的空间异质性,从加大资本投入和提高消费水平方面提出相关建议,以促进海峡西岸经济区协调发展。
[Abstract]:In 2004, Fujian province formally proposed the strategic concept of "the Economic Zone on the West Bank of the Straits". In 2009, the State Council issued a number of comments by the State Council on supporting the acceleration of the construction of the Straits West Bank Economic Zone by the State Council. This means that the construction of the "Economic Zone on the West Bank of the Straits" is rising from the local strategy to a national strategy. A series of studies have been carried out on cooperation and communication, industrial layout, urban agglomeration and function, but the research on regional economic differences is relatively few, especially on the study of regional economic differences in the Western Strait Economic Zone Based on spatial heterogeneity. This paper combines two dimensions of time and space to the west of the Straits of 2001-2015 years. The research on the spatial and temporal evolution mechanism of regional economic differences in the coastal economic zone and some suggestions are put forward to provide theoretical basis for reducing the regional economic differences in the West Bank of the Straits and promoting the coordinated development of the Economic Zone on the west coast of the Straits. The main contents and conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) the measurement method of regional economic differences to reveal the West Bank channel of the Straits The overall change trend of regional economic differences and the origin and composition of regional economic differences are explored. The results show that the standard difference and extreme difference between the 2001-2015 years of the Straits West Bank Economic Zone and the average annual growth rate of 5.94% and 4.06% respectively, but the Gini coefficient and the Tel index are equal to 3.58% and 8.21%, respectively. The proposed and implemented strategy of "the West Bank Economic Zone" has narrowed the regional economic differences in the West Bank Economic Zone to a certain extent, and the regional economic differences between the three regions and regions in the eastern coastal area, the central inland area and the western region of the western region are all decreasing; the average contribution rate of the regional internal tyre index is the average contribution rate. 74.52%, regional economic differences in the region are the main sources of regional economic differences in the West Coast Economic Zone; in the three major regions, regional economic differences in the eastern coastal areas are declining, the regional economic differences in the central inland areas are rising, and the regional economic differences in the western region are generally waved; The average contribution rate of the Tel index is 44.98%. The regional economic difference in the eastern coastal region is the main source of regional economic differences in the region. From the consideration of reducing the overall regional economic differences, the regional economic difference in the region should be reduced, especially in reducing the regional economic differences in the Eastern coastal areas. (2) the evaluation model of regional economic differences should be used. The research results show that the variation coefficients of the regional economic development level in 2001, 2005, 2010 and 2015 are 47.66%, 55.12%, 43.59% and 35.53% respectively, and the spatial difference trend of regional economic development level in the West Bank economic zone exists in spite of the variation trend. In recent years, the spatial heterogeneity of the economic zone of the west coast of the Strait has obvious spatial characteristics: the economic developed areas are all distributed in the eastern coastal areas and the more developed areas are mainly in the economically developed areas. In the middle and the northern inland, the economic sub poverty areas are mainly distributed in the northern and southern coastal areas, and the economically poor areas are mainly distributed in the western inland. In addition, the spatial heterogeneity of the West Bank Economic Zone in Fujian province has little change before and after the idea of "the economic zone of the Strait West Bank". Large changes have taken place in the heterogeneity pattern, mainly as the overall regional economic level of Fujian province has been greatly improved. (3) exploring the spatial correlation model and distribution pattern of regional economy in the West Bank Economic Zone by exploratory spatial data analysis method, and further exploring the spatial heterogeneity of regional economy. The results show that the regional economy of the West Bank of the Straits has significant spatial agglomeration characteristics, its global spatial autocorrelation coefficients are generally increasing with time, and the trend of convergence between similar regions (HH or LL) is still increasing. The local spatial autocorrelation results show that the ratio of HH and LL models in 2001, 2005, 2010 and 2015 is compared. The average value of the heavy sum is as high as 78%, the polarization problem of the economic zone in the West Bank of the Straits is more prominent, and the local spatial heterogeneity is mainly embodied in the two distinct spatial differentiation regions of HH and LL models, and the spatial dependence of the region is more obvious than the spatial heterogeneity, and the spatial difference of the Economic Zone on the West Bank of the Strait is reduced. The regional economy of the Economic Zone on the west coast of the Straits has a more obvious spatial heterogeneity pattern, and its spatial correlation pattern has the following distribution pattern: the HH model region mainly concentrating on the coastal area of Eastern Fujian, extending to the north and central inland, and increasing in quantity; the LH model area is mainly distributed along the Fujian edge. In the sea, the number of the LL mode is mainly distributed in the inland and south of the west, the number of the region is more than 1/3 of the total, and the distribution of the HL model area is scattered in space. (4) from the 5 angles of development basis, government regulation, industrial structure, capital input and consumption level, the analysis of regional economic differences in the economic zone of the Strait West Bank is analyzed. The spatial heterogeneity of the influence factors of regional economic differences in the economic zone of the Strait West Bank in 2001, 2005, 2010 and 2015 is revealed by using the GWR model method. The results show that the total investment in fixed assets per capita and the total amount of the per capita consumer goods are significant to the regional economy of the West Bank economic zone. The 2 factors have spatial heterogeneity, and the goodness of fit of the OLS regression models in the 4 years is 0.9658,0.964,0.7713 and 0.7544 respectively, while the goodness of fit of the GWR model is 0.9834,0.9687,0.7932 and 0.7545 respectively, and the geographical weighted regression model has a better effect on the economic differences in the West Bank of the Straits. The general least squares regression model is used to further analyze the spatial heterogeneity of the 2 factors, and to put forward some suggestions on increasing the capital investment and improving the consumption level, in order to promote the coordinated development of the Economic Zone on the West Bank of the Straits.

【学位授予单位】：福建农林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127

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