四川

发布时间：2018-04-26 19:33

本文选题：四川省 + “十二五”规划　；参考：《开发研究》2016年05期

【摘要】：采取熵权法和线性加权法对四川省"十二五"规划目标体系的整体实现度进行测量,结果显示,规划目标整体实现度达97.6%,其中所有约束性指标均已实现,说明四川省在经济效益和生态效益之间取得了较好的平衡。仅有个别指标与预期有一定偏差,包括城镇居民人均可支配收入、RD经费投入强度等指标。为此,用计量经济学的方法考察了这些未达目标的影响因素,发现人均工资水平和劳动率是影响城镇居民人均可支配收入的主要原因,地区经济水平、工业化水平和第三产业占比是影响农村居民纯收入的主导因素,而GDP总量和服务业增加值比重未达预期目标可能是由于目标设定过高,RD经费投入强度与预期目标偏差较大,除了目标设定偏高外,关键是社会资本进入不足。
[Abstract]:The entropy weight method and linear weighting method are adopted to measure the overall realization degree of the 12th Five-Year Plan goal system in Sichuan Province. The results show that the overall realization degree of the planning goal is 97.6, of which all the binding indicators have been achieved. It shows that Sichuan Province has achieved a good balance between economic and ecological benefits. Only a few indicators deviate from expectations, including the per capita disposable income of urban residents and the intensity of R D expenditure. In this paper, econometrics is used to investigate the influencing factors of the unattained target. It is found that the per capita wage level and the labor rate are the main factors affecting the per capita disposable income of urban residents, and the regional economic level is the main factor affecting the per capita disposable income of urban residents. Industrialization level and the proportion of tertiary industry are the main factors that affect the net income of rural residents, while the total GDP and the proportion of added value of the service industry do not reach the expected goal, which may be due to the excessive setting of the target and the deviation between the intensity of R D investment and the expected target. In addition to the high goal setting, the key is insufficient access to social capital.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学地理学与遥感科学学院;
【分类号】：F127

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