政府推动型城市化促进了县域经济发展吗

发布时间：2018-05-01 02:16

本文选题：政府推动型城市化 + 撤县设区　；参考：《统计研究》2017年05期

【摘要】：文章基于"撤县设区"改革的政策实验,使用一种纯数据推动的合成控制评估思路,分析了政府推动型城市化模式对县域经济发展的影响。研究结果表明:(1)政府推动型城市化,在大多数地区发挥了中心城市经济发展的辐射和援助作用,但是短期内未能带来人口的实质性城市化;(2)在影响渠道上,这一城市化进程增强了县域财政的收支能力,同时强化了辖区政府在公共服务事务上的支出,进而发挥着对县域经济发展的促进作用。但是本文的研究也表明,在政府推动型高速城市化背景下,需要警惕假性城市化及延缓县域经济发展的双重隐患,过快或干预过多的城市化模式也可能会损害经济的健康发展。
[Abstract]:Based on the policy experiment of the reform of "withdrawal of counties and districts", using a pure data-driven synthetic control evaluation idea, this paper analyzes the influence of the government-driven urbanization model on the development of county economy. The research results show that the government-driven urbanization plays a role of radiation and assistance in the economic development of central cities in most areas, but in the short term it fails to bring substantial urbanization to the population. This process of urbanization strengthens the revenue and expenditure ability of the county government and the expenditure of the district government on the public service affairs, thus playing a role in promoting the development of the county economy. But the research of this paper also shows that under the background of high speed urbanization driven by the government, it is necessary to guard against the double hidden danger of false urbanization and delaying the development of county economy. Too fast or too much intervention in urbanization mode may also harm the healthy development of economy.
【作者单位】：武汉大学经济与管理学院;中南财经政法大学财政税务学院;美国哥伦比亚大学研究生院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金青年项目“收入不平等代际传递与财政支出干预设计:评估技术及应用”(项目编号:71503187)、国家自然科学基金青年项目“政府投资激励政策的效应评估及优化设计:基于准自然实验与微观计量技术分析”(项目编号:71503270)资助武汉大学自主科研项目(人文社会科学)研究成果 “中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金”的资助
【分类号】：C812

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